«It turns out that the model - simulated
trends over the region are matching up quite well with the observed warming that we're seeing,» said NOAA's Knutson.
It is interesting that the eastern pole sometimes cools among the strong warming
trend over this region.
In 1880 — 1919, before the appearance of the strong warming
trend over this region, WEIO tended to be anomalously colder than EEIO most of the time, and thus we see the strong negative events show in Fig. 4, since we have used the climatology of the entire period from 1880 to 2004 as the reference.
Finds that TX90pct and TN90pct trends are larger and exhibit more significance for warm spells, implying that non-summer events are driving annual
trends over some regions
Not exact matches
This week's chart shows how U.S. dividend stocks have outperformed the S&P 500
over the past year, a
trend we have also seen in other
regions, as ultralow bond yields have intensified the hunt for income.
These tables also illustrate, however, that exporters have made some gains in sales to other countries;
over the past year, growth in exports of manufactures and services to many countries outside the Asian
region have been stronger than
trend growth rates recorded earlier in the 1990s.
This one common attribute of defeatism and being practically exhibited by the Npp.The President continue to receive greater publicity even within the opposition media enclave than the flagbearer of the opposition because of the perfect management he enjoys and because he is governing well and introducing people's centered policies.The other advantage the current President has
over his main contender is his ability to easily alter his Government's image in a direction which fits in with the mood of the public.This
trend was easily seen during his tour across the
regions and the responses and addresses delivered by the noble chiefs.
Dr Ghassem Asrar, Director of JGCRI, a co-author of study, said: «Among global
regions, there was notable variability in
trends in estimated emissions
over recent decades.
According to researchers, the results show that the use of the internet to investigate heart symptoms is widespread across many
regions and suggest that search
trends can be a useful resource for tracking heart disease
over time and in different
regions.
We can detect the start of a
region - wide downturn after 1970, with a large proportion of the trees continuing this
trend over recent years.»
Indeed, the dampened late 20th century winter warming
over a substantial part of Greenland, particularly the western and southern
regions emphasized by the network of stations analyzed by Vinther et al, is known (see e.g. this NOAA page) to be associated with a
trend toward the positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation («AO») pattern.
The upward
trend has continued
over the last few years, with two of the 10
regions breaking their previous 40 - year record, according to Chao.
Climate impacts research is in its infancy compared to science on the physical climate, for a number of reasons: attributing cause and effect isn't easy; neither is collecting data
over timescales and
regions long and large enough such that it's possible to draw any meaningful
trends from their analysis.
As online dating does not pose any restriction
over region so international dating is now becoming a
trend.
This week's chart shows how U.S. dividend stocks have outperformed the S&P 500
over the past year, a
trend we have also seen in other
regions, as ultralow bond yields have intensified the hunt for income.
In celebrations of its 25th year, this year's show will host a series of seminar sessions looking back on the tourism revolution in the MENA
region over the last quarter of a century, while exploring how the industry will shape up
over the next 25 years, in light of geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, huge technological advances and, of course, the increasing
trend of responsible tourism.
At GDC 2018, Nintendo revealed that the sales
trends for the North American eShop show that Switch and 3DS owners in the
region prefer digital purchases
over physical.
If one examines our model's control simulations for the 1982 - 2006 period, which show a
trend towards increasing hurricane activity
over this period, and correlates this activity with SST in the Main Development
Region, and then tries to use this correlation to predict the 21st century behavior of the model, it clearly doesn't work.
It was of course a classic «cherry pick» — find a
region or time period when there is a cooling
trend and imply that this contradicts warming
trends on global scales
over longer time periods.
Indeed, the dampened late 20th century winter warming
over a substantial part of Greenland, particularly the western and southern
regions emphasized by the network of stations analyzed by Vinther et al, is known (see e.g. this NOAA page) to be associated with a
trend toward the positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation («AO») pattern.
In contrast to the surface warming
trend of the Indian Ocean, Alory et al. (2007) found a subsurface cooling
trend of the main thermocline
over the Indonesian Throughflow
region, that is, near EEIO, in 1960 — 99, the interval using the new Indian Ocean Thermal Archive.
We also hypothesize that shoaling of the thermocline
over the EEIO, corresponding to a subsurface cooling
trend (Alory et al. 2007), can make this
region more susceptible to the wind — thermocline feedback and leads to frequent occurrences of positive events in recent decades.
So, if the data
trend up to now and the models agree, then the projections —
region by
region — should be fairly robust, at least
over the next century.
Of these, two models showed insignificant
trends in the
region in which Pam developed, and the rest showed positive
trends averaging around 0.5 m / s per decade, considerably less than the observed
trend over the last 30 years.
The communication challenge, in trying to promote climate concern by focusing on particularly brutal conditions in a particular place, say Washington, D.C., is that the only statistical robustness showing
trends comes through tracking wide
regions over time.
It presents a significant reinterpretation of the
region's recent climate change origins, showing that atmospheric conditions have changed substantially
over the last century, that these changes are not likely related to historical anthropogenic and natural radiative forcing, and that dynamical mechanisms of interannual and multidecadal temperature variability can also apply to observed century - long
trends.
The argument is then that the reason
trends outside the Atlantic are weak is that they aren't being influenced by the AMO; the other explanation is that the other
regions are already
over the threshold, so that the Atlantic basin is more sensitive to changes in SSTs and atmospheric moisture than the other
regions... or the data may be poor.
Getting past the insults and accusations and (ultimately useful) fights
over statistical approaches to studying climate
trends in
regions (or eras) with sparse data, it's clear to me that this is an area where science will out, in the end.
does not show the drying
trend shown in other
regions of the world
over the last 30 years or so.
[A] remarkably decreasing Gaa
trend (− 0.27 W m − 2 yr − 1) exists
over the central tropical Pacific, indicating a weakened atmospheric greenhouse effect in this area, which largely offsets the warming effect in the aforementioned surrounding
regions.
Snowfall varies across the
region, comprising less than 10 % of total precipitation in the south, to more than half in the north, with as much as two inches of water available in the snowpack at the beginning of spring melt in the northern reaches of the river basins.81 When this amount of snowmelt is combined with heavy rainfall, the resulting flooding can be widespread and catastrophic (see «Cedar Rapids: A Tale of Vulnerability and Response»).82 Historical observations indicate declines in the frequency of high magnitude snowfall years
over much of the Midwest, 83 but an increase in lake effect snowfall.61 These divergent
trends and their inverse relationships with air temperatures make overall projections of regional impacts of the associated snowmelt extremely difficult.
For the entire Northern Hemisphere, there is evidence of an increase in both storm frequency and intensity during the cold season since 1950,1 with storm tracks having shifted slightly towards the poles.2, 3 Extremely heavy snowstorms increased in number during the last century in northern and eastern parts of the United States, but have been less frequent since 2000.11,15 Total seasonal snowfall has generally decreased in southern and some western areas, 16 increased in the northern Great Plains and Great Lakes
region, 16,17 and not changed in other areas, such as the Sierra Nevada, although snow is melting earlier in the year and more precipitation is falling as rain versus snow.18 Very snowy winters have generally been decreasing in frequency in most
regions over the last 10 to 20 years, although the Northeast has been seeing a normal number of such winters.19 Heavier - than - normal snowfalls recently observed in the Midwest and Northeast U.S. in some years, with little snow in other years, are consistent with indications of increased blocking (a large scale pressure pattern with little or no movement) of the wintertime circulation of the Northern Hemisphere.5 However, conclusions about
trends in blocking have been found to depend on the method of analysis, 6 so the assessment and attribution of
trends in blocking remains an active research area.
Consequently, the three Australian scientists conclude that «although there may be evidence of regional increasing
trends in flood hazard, the hypothesis that there is a significant increase in flood hazard when averaged
over all the data - covered
regions of the globe is not supported by this analysis.»
The SSPs describe plausible alternative
trends in the evolution of society and natural systems
over the 21st century at the level of the world and large world
regions.
Yet,
over rapidly developing countries such as China and India, significant increasing
trends in AOD are seen in these source
regions and their surrounding downwind oceans, particularly during the dry winter / postmonsoon months when the atmosphere is relatively stable, thus favoring accumulation of aerosols.
The minimum temperatures of all treatments were kept at 15 °C because «night - time temperatures
over the last 50 years in the large majority of wheat - growing
regions across Australia have not shown an increasing temperature
trend in all seasons.»
The magnitude (and in some
regions, even the sign) of the projected temperature and precipitation
trends over Europe, Russia and parts of the Middle East vary considerably across the ensemble depending on the evolution of the NAO in each individual member.
The second link is completely irrelevant as it is looking at
trends over small
regions over short timescales, so the noise is going to be huge.
This huge fail is amplified because the South Pole
region that includes Antarctica has done the opposite - literally a cooling temperature
trend over the last 35 years.
Actually Fielding's use of that graph is quite informative of how denialist arguments are framed — the selected bit of a selected graph (and don't mention the fastest warming
region on the planet being left out of that data set), or the complete passing
over of short term variability vs longer term
trends, or the other measures and indicators of climate change from ocean heat content and sea levels to changes in ice sheets and minimum sea ice levels, or the passing
over of issues like lag time between emissions and effects on temperatures... etc..
We find that the reported discrepancy can be traced to two main issues: (1) unforced internal climate variability strongly affects local wetness and dryness
trends and can obscure underlying agreement with WWDD, and (2) dry land
regions are not constrained to become drier by enhanced moisture divergence since evaporation can not exceed precipitation
over multiannual time scales.
Although strong winter warming in the Peninsula
region (Turner et al. 2005) and
over West Antarctica has been a focus of other studies (Steig et al. 2009; Ding et al. 2010), we found that winter
trends in West Antarctica have not been statistically since 1979 (Table 3), though they are significant at Faraday / Vernadsky.
According to Stone, cases where the link between human - generated greenhouse gas emissions and local warming
trends were weak were often due to the fact that the climate observational record was insufficient in those
regions to build a clear picture about what has been happening
over the past several decades.
Higher spring and summer temperatures, along with an earlier spring melt, are also the primary factors driving the increasing frequency of large wildfires and lengthening the fire season in the western U.S.
over recent decades.13 The record - breaking fires this year in the Southwest and Rocky Mountain
Region are consistent with these
trends.
For the larger 50S — 90S
region a
trend over 1880 — 2015 can be calculated, at 0.03 °C / decade, if a minimum of 15 % of valid data points is accepted.
It revealed that starvation and predation were the most common and consistent chick killers
over the years, but that hypothermia was the leading cause of death during years with heavy rainstorms, which became more prevalent throughout the study period — a
trend that is consistent with climate models projecting the effects of climate change in the
region.
Values are given for the Atlantic and two North Pacific
regions after 1948, although reliability improves
over time, and
trends contain unquantified uncertainties.
Climate impacts research is in its infancy compared to science on the physical climate, for a number of reasons: attributing cause and effect isn't easy; neither is collecting data
over timescales and
regions long and large enough such that it's possible to draw any meaningful
trends from their analysis.
To test this, I would like to compute the
trend integrated
over latitude bands («zonally averaged») for
regions that are land - only for the various temperature field reconstruction methods.
A recent study of water vapor
trends above North America based on radiosonde measurements from 1973 to 1993 finds increases in precipitable water
over all
regions except northern and eastern Canada, where it fell slightly.