Sentences with phrase «trend than an analysis»

I do not need a «robust analysis of uncertainty» to conclude that the accepted trends are calculated from garbage data, and can have no possible result other than to produce a much higher trend than an analysis that properly accounted for these factors.

Not exact matches

Perhaps most importantly, one must remember the basic tenet of technical analysis that states a longer - term trend always holds more weight than a shorter - term trend.
A recent analysis by researchers at the Federal Housing Finance Agency found that home values had risen faster in the heart of big cities than anywhere else in the country over the last 25 years, a sign of their turnaround and a trend Mr. Trump, as a real estate developer, is likely to be aware of.
Obviously, clear awareness of the current trend analysis is always better than a stand - alone result; nevertheless, the 50 threshold can be utilized as a simple benchmark to assess corporate activity.
This analysis strongly confirms the downward trend of the average ten - year forward real returns from the cheapest grouping (PEs of less than six) to the most expensive grouping (PEs of more than 21).
Our analysis shows that an investor would have achieved more than double the risk - adjusted performance of a median equity trend strategy by trading a diversified strategy across many diverse markets.
Bringing more than 30 years of culinary experience, Atkins assists customers and manufacturers with menu development, recipe support, nutritional analysis, food trends, staff training, food handling, equipment utilization and labor optimization.
Annual recap of 2015's top trends and predictions for 2016 from Packaging Strategies, the unbiased provider of packaging intelligence and analysis for more than 33 years.
Drive growth by leveraging key industry and concept trend analysis along with actionable data from more than 1,000 consumers.
Understand consumer attitudes and consumption behaviour by leveraging key menu and concept trend analysis along with actionable data from more than 1,000 consumers.
Drive growth by leveraging key industry and menu trend analysis along with actionable data from more than 1,000 consumers.
BMC publications include more than 25 Market Report and Focus Report studies offering trends, data and analysis of various sectors of the the beverage industry and snack food market.
But a trend analysis will need more than what Dr. Bawumia offers.
A trend analysis we have conducted over the last five years reveals that this year's approved fees should not have been less than GHS 1,320 for boarders and GHS 715 for day students,» Mr. Iddrisu said.
Although federal R&D data are less than perfect, the OMB figures, supplemented by data obtained directly from the agencies, do provide a good basic source of material for conducting an analysis of R&D budget trends.
And according to a detailed analysis by Nan Zhou and colleagues at the China Energy Group of the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in California such trends, coupled with the breakneck pace of China's development, means peak stuff could arrive there much sooner than anticipated.
In its annual analysis of trends in global carbon dioxide emissions, the Global Carbon Project (GCP) published three peer - reviewed articles identifying the challenges for society to keep global average warming less than 2 °C above pre-industrial levels.
The ROI analysis also showed a nonsignificant trend toward lower baseline BPND in marijuana abusers than in controls in ventral striatum (controls, 3.20 ± 0.3; abusers, 2.97 ± 0.59; P = 0.11) and no differences in caudate (controls, 2.80 ± 0.36; abusers 2.76 ± 0.57) or putamen (controls, 3.42 ± 0.41; abusers, 3.35 ± 0.57).
Compared to analyses released in January 2013, the trend for certain calendar months has changed more than others.
The odd man out in the analysis is the surface temperature trend which is much higher than the trends derived by other techniques.
315/4: 30 Analysis of more than 800,000 genotypes from individuals born in the United States reveals trends in increasing genetic diversity during the 20th century.
In women (60 cases), associations of GI and foods rich in refined sugars or refined starches with inflammatory disease mortality were more pronounced than in the analyses considering all potentially inflammatory disease — related causes of death [adjusted HRs (95 % CI) in tertiles 2 and 3: 2.68 (1.06, 6.79) and 4.97 (2.00, 12.36)(P for trend: 0.0002) and 1.36 (0.67, 2.76) and 2.11 (1.09, 4.10)(P for trend: 0.02), respectively].
Perhaps the authors of the «NMC Horizon Report: 2011 K - 12 Edition» — part of a series of research - based analyses of trends in ed tech by the New Media Consortium — said it best: «The digital divide, once seen as a factor of wealth, is now seen as a factor of education: Those who have the opportunity to learn technology skills are in a better position to obtain and make use of technology than those who do not.»
Tests may need to be used for more than trend analysis — we may actually want accurate information on individual students, teachers, or schools.
But they talked more about the added workload involved in entering data into the systems than about actual retrieval, analysis, and use of trend data for decision making.
There's perhaps no more comprehensive analysis of the current trends than the annual Smashwords Book Industry Predictions, written each year by founder and CEO Mark Coker.
Press The Buttons sprang to life in March 2005 and over the years I've written more than three thousand articles of news commentaries, industry trend analysis, and personal essays.
Pete # 13, I think the idea is not so much that AMO contributes to the global warming trend, but rather that it overlays the modern temperature record in such a way that a «naive» analysis ignoring it will find a slightly greater trend than is really there.
A Fourier analysis would show that global temperature averages over the past 200 years would EXACTLY MATCH the sum of a finite number of sign waves far more accurately than your «sinusoidal curve superimposed on a linear trend
You've illustrated, far better than I could, just how naively some people approach trend analysis.
But wouldn't that change the analysis — first, the linear trend is now only 0.06 C per decade and secondly, the Nina 3.4 region and ENSO are bigger influences than previously thought.
Autocorrelation analysis is a very useful technique for identifying trends and periodicities in the data, in a manner that is often more precise than can be obtained with simple visual inspection.
With a nonlinear trend, what happened from 1880 to 1910 is relatively less important than it would be in an analysis based on a linear trend — Jim]
In our analysis we found that an urban development strategy focused on access for all, rather than for a minority who use cars, with congestion pricing, realistic parking charges, and speed limits low enough to stop the slaughter of pedestrians and cyclists would as a co-benefit also reduce oil use and CO2 emissions from cars to barely more than twice today's levels in 2020, way below the trends.
One thing I would have liked to see in the paper is a quantitative side - by - side comparison of sea - surface temperatures and upper ocean heat content; all the paper says is that only «a small amount of cooling is observed at the surface, although much less than the cooling at depth» though they do report that it is consistent with 2 - yr cooling SST trend — but again, no actual data analysis of the SST trend is reported.
Tung and Zhou repeat the analysis of Foster and Rahmstorf 2011 (PDF) in Figure 5 while also removing the AMO, and obtain an anthropogenic warming trend over the last 33 years of 0.07 °C / decade, less than half of Foster and Rahmstorf's 0.17 °C / decade.
«In regards to sea surface temperature, scientists have shown that across the board, data collected from buoys are cooler than ship - based data,» one of the study's co-authors wrote, adding, «Scientists have developed a method to correct the difference between ship and buoy measurements, and we are using this in our trend analysis
So I'm more confident in 30 - year spans than 17 - year spans, and more confident still of purpose - built analyses with appropriate justification case - by - case than 17 - year general broadstroke approaches, but yes, at this time for broad claims of trends of 16 years or lower (and increasingly as that figure gets lower), I have not enough confidence to consider them meaningful on their own, and I do for 17 - year trends.
Any trend analysis for + / - AGW anomaly more granular than this does not rise to much of a confidence level, and ought be deprecated.
For the entire Northern Hemisphere, there is evidence of an increase in both storm frequency and intensity during the cold season since 1950,1 with storm tracks having shifted slightly towards the poles.2, 3 Extremely heavy snowstorms increased in number during the last century in northern and eastern parts of the United States, but have been less frequent since 2000.11,15 Total seasonal snowfall has generally decreased in southern and some western areas, 16 increased in the northern Great Plains and Great Lakes region, 16,17 and not changed in other areas, such as the Sierra Nevada, although snow is melting earlier in the year and more precipitation is falling as rain versus snow.18 Very snowy winters have generally been decreasing in frequency in most regions over the last 10 to 20 years, although the Northeast has been seeing a normal number of such winters.19 Heavier - than - normal snowfalls recently observed in the Midwest and Northeast U.S. in some years, with little snow in other years, are consistent with indications of increased blocking (a large scale pressure pattern with little or no movement) of the wintertime circulation of the Northern Hemisphere.5 However, conclusions about trends in blocking have been found to depend on the method of analysis, 6 so the assessment and attribution of trends in blocking remains an active research area.
the 1.5 to 2 m observations of minimum temperatures that are used as part of the analysis to assess climate system heat changes (e.g., such as used to construct Figure SPM - 3 of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [2007] and of Parker [2004, 2006] study) lead to a greater long term temperature trend than would be found if higher heights within the surface boundary layer were used.
But it seems that the focus of the papers is a meta - analysis of the trends rather than a trend critique.
and b) the urban heat effect (see recent paper by McKitrick), the consensus on a warming trend would appear differently; add to that the fact that some analysis show that the 75 - 95 higher temperatures may be partly due to effectiveness of anti-pollution policies, and you may realise that a consensus on higher temperatures may be based on sand rather than anything else.
It seems that you completely missed my point, which is essentially avoided too by Judith Curry's intention to do a post hoc analysis of this year's temperature record, rather than to attempt a trivial statistical prediction of short - term trend, and to offer a covering explanation of the interpretation of such.
In a separate trend analysis of winter temperatures (Oct - Apr), we found that temperatures in the months of March and April in the last 25 years, 1988 — 2012, were significantly warmer by 2 and 1 degrees Celsius (3.5 and 2 degrees Fahrenheit), respectively, than temperatures for the same months in the 25 years when the experiments were conducted, 1958 — 1982 (see File S4 for more detailed information).
They are simply a first estimate.Where multiple analyses of the biases in other climatological variables have been produced, for example tropospheric temperatures and ocean heat content, the resulting spread in the estimates of key parameters such as the long - term trend has typically been signicantly larger than initial estimates of the uncertainty suggested.
Uncertainties of estimated trends in global - and regional - average sea - surface temperature due to bias adjustments since the Second World War are found to be larger than uncertainties arising from the choice of analysis technique, indicating that this is an important source of uncertainty in analyses of historical sea - surface temperatures.
The fact that ARGO sampling pretty much misses out one of the fastest warming regions in the world while having no such deficiencies in regions of cooling means any analysis using only ARGO data will produce trends lower than the true global average, unless the analysis somehow accounts for this bias.
This is the nature and limitation of representative sampling and content analysis, a technique necessary in order to analyze trends across 5 news organizations, two years, and more than 1800 news and opinion articles.
The new analysis reveals that global trends in recent decades are higher than reported in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and the central estimate for the rate of warming during the first 15 years of the 21st century is at least as great as the last half of the 20th century.
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