But in my post, I explained why he is wrong to use global ice area, rather than looking at
the trends at each pole.
Not exact matches
It is essentially irrelevant whether the insolation has changed
at that level, both when trying to understand the regional south
pole climate changes, and long term climate
trends on Mars.
If you look the same
trend in Siberia, Northern Canada or Sea
at 80th parallel, all of them show a strong amplification and push the average of North
pole temperature increasing.
On Mr. Will's defense of his accuracy, particularly on
trends in sea ice
at both
poles as they related to global warming, it's worth pointing out a few things.
It is essentially irrelevant whether the insolation has changed
at that level, both when trying to understand the regional south
pole climate changes, and long term climate
trends on Mars.
But even taking the long view, the
trends are towards less and less ice
at the
poles.
H.
at the
pole the distance
at which
trends are highly correlated is around 1100 - 1200 km.
Such events have been occurring in both hemispheres so it is likely that the observed cooling
trend is occurring
at both
poles.
Eg, even over a 30 - year period (statistically significant WRT climate change), the range of decadal
trends starts
at -0.05 C for the South
pole, and is greatest
at 0.45 C
at the North
pole.
My conclusion is that a careful observation of weather patterns over the entire globe and, in particular, ascertaining whether there is a net average surface movement of air towards the
poles or towards the equator should reveal whether there is an overall global warming or cooling
trend at any particular time.
I will use the different
trends at the two
poles to illustrate this while also pointing out why the different tales are so interesting.
I will use the different
trends at the two
poles to illustrate this while also pointing out why the different tales are so -LSB-...]
What I want to see is for this
trend to continue but for the
poles to be warm relative to the lower latitudes
at this level.
Question; Could greater atmospheric mixing in areas between the Tropics and the
poles quite easily, or
at least potentially, mask an underlying solar driven global warming
trend?
And if you look
at the ice
at each
pole, the ice in the Arctic has been on a shrinking
trend.