Sentences with phrase «trends in a warming world»

The same issue has played out in discussions of hurricane trends in a warming world.

Not exact matches

With consumption growing, oil supplies tight, and the world in a warming trend, the search is on for better energy sources — clean coal, safe nuclear reactors, and more far - reaching ideas like artificial photosynthesis.
Northern latitude tundra and boreal forests are experiencing an accelerated warming trend that is greater than in other parts of the world.
«At face - value, many of the climate trends in Antarctica seem counter-intuitive for the warming world.
Velders says his team came up with higher warming estimates than IPCC because their model accounts for trends that others don't, such as the faster - than expected adoption of HFCs driven by the Montreal Protocol, and an air - conditioning boom in the developing world.
Global warming is a long term trend in rising temperatures around the world.
2) Three years ago, I tried to get a handle on whether UHI was responsible for the recent warming trend in most of the temperature datasets by comparing the trends for the UAH / MSU 2LT channel and the Jones et al. surface data for some of the world's «empty places».
These records show both the influence of the long - term trend in global warming — caused by the continued release of heat - trapping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere — as well as an exceptionally strong El Niño that is altering weather around the world.
Even though we will continue to see cold outbreaks in a warming world, the trend in the vast majority of the cities analyzed shows that these extreme cold nights are happening less often.
«Despite colder than average temperatures in any one part of the world, temperatures over the planet as a whole continue the rapid warming trend we've seen over the last 40 years,» said Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City, at the press conference.
Whether any of these trends warm up to you or not, they definitely exist — and they represent the new world order in fashion that is the bloggisphere.
Their views of sea trends through this century still vary widely, while they agree, almost to a person, that centuries of eroding ice and rising seas are nearly a sure thing in a warming world.
This week, PNAS published our paper Increase of Extreme Events in a Warming World, which analyses how many new record events you expect to see in a time series with a trend.
The curves, displaying results using both Goddard's temperature data and those from the Hadley Center for Climate Prediction in England, show a much smoother trend toward a warmer world (with very clear drops associated with volcanic eruptions).
Even if the study were right... (which it is not) mainstream scientists use * three * methods to predict a global warming trend... not just climate computer models (which stand up extremely well for general projections by the way) under world - wide scrutiny... and have for all intents and purposes already correctly predicted the future -(Hansen 1988 in front of Congress and Pinatubo).
Arctic researchers caution that there is something of a paradox in Arctic trends: while the long - term fate of the region may be mostly sealed, no one should presume that the recent sharp warming and seasonal ice retreats that have caught the world's attention will continue smoothly into the future.
I have to raise an objection to the phrase «the only region of the world that has defied global warming» — that might be neglecting a certain area in the Pacific where England 2014 has identified a very obvious point where the «Pacific conveyor» was bringing in the last decade up a lot of cold water from the deep ocean and has possibly played a major role in the specific trends for that period.
But for the moment, twin trends are exacerbating the threat: the urban rush in developing countries, in which millions of poor people are settling on fragile slopes and floodplains, and rising odds of rain falling in dangerous downpours in a warming world.
This view is echoed by Kerry Emanuel in comments on the paper in the Washington Post, where he suggests that the impact of wind shear changes relative to warming SSTs in the real world, as diagnosed from trends observed thus far, may be overstated by the V+S study:
Thus, modeling exercises have for decades now shown some pretty persistent patterns of recurrence, such as drying trends under warming in certain areas (notably the Mediterranean basin, including the Middle East) and the American Southwest — patterns we see in the real world.
has an excellent overview of energy trends in the world — and what would need to happen for the world to curtail its greenhouse gas emissions and avoid significant global warming.
With the uneven warming trends likely to continue, poor nations have a case for demanding rich world assistance to cope with climate change... Poor countries have «contributed the least, but in terms of temperature effects, they will suffer the most».
Generally, the remaining uncorrected effect from urban heat islands is now believed to be less than 0.1 C, and in some parts of the world it may be more than fully compensated for by other changes in measurement methods.4 Nevertheless, this remains an important source of uncertainty.The warming trend observed over the past century is too large to be easily dismissed as a consequence of measurement errors.
TLT has been shown to be a near perfect match trend for the only untampered surface data in the world, USCRN over the USA, thus validating the use of over TTT which is not trend matched and has a spurious warming trend.
They are (1) the trend data inconclusiveness, (2) there are scientific grounds for eventual reduction of shear winds in a warming world, and (3) possible eventual temperature difference decreases in a warming world.
Global temperatures are a real mish mash and it woud be interesting to judge your comment against real life single series temperatures to see if it stands up, whereby it can be seen that some areas of the world have not followed the warming trend but their cooling signal has been smothered by a warming one, probably from the thermometers placed in newly urbanised areas.
«Despite colder than average weather in any one part of the world,» said GISS Director Gavin Schmidt, «temperatures over the planet as a whole continue the rapid warming trend we have seen over the last 40 years.»
Exceeding the 400 parts per million level of worldwide atmospheric carbon dioxide later this decade continues a troubling trend which brings the world closer to the potential to reach a global warming tipping point in which global warming accelerates rapidly as the potent greenhouse gas methane is liberated from the frozen state that it has been in for millions of years.
If current trends in global warming continue unmitigated, some of the world's most well - known and historically significant cultural landmarks — including the Statue of Liberty in New York City, the Tower of London in the United Kingdom, and the archaeological sites of Pompeii in Italy — could be destroyed by rising global sea levels over the next 2,000 years, according to new research.
AP's Borenstein in a PANIC: «Obama left with little time to curb global warming»...» cooling trend illustrates how fast the world is warming» — December 14, 2008
The study authors warn that the world has 30 years to reverse the ominous trend before global warming surpasses the 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit (2 degrees Celsius) target set at a 2009 climate summit in Copenhagen.
Here are some additional linear regressions for some of the oldest data sets in the world - all show the same slight warming trend over centuries and climate variability.
The fact that ARGO sampling pretty much misses out one of the fastest warming regions in the world while having no such deficiencies in regions of cooling means any analysis using only ARGO data will produce trends lower than the true global average, unless the analysis somehow accounts for this bias.
«In 1994, Nature magazine published a study of mine in which we estimated the underlying rate at which the world was warming by removing the impacts of volcanoes and El Niños (Christy and McNider 1994)... The result of that study indicated the underlying trend for 1979 - 1993 was +0.09 °C / decade which at the time was one third the rate of warming that should have been occurring according to estimates by climate model simulations.&raquIn 1994, Nature magazine published a study of mine in which we estimated the underlying rate at which the world was warming by removing the impacts of volcanoes and El Niños (Christy and McNider 1994)... The result of that study indicated the underlying trend for 1979 - 1993 was +0.09 °C / decade which at the time was one third the rate of warming that should have been occurring according to estimates by climate model simulations.&raquin which we estimated the underlying rate at which the world was warming by removing the impacts of volcanoes and El Niños (Christy and McNider 1994)... The result of that study indicated the underlying trend for 1979 - 1993 was +0.09 °C / decade which at the time was one third the rate of warming that should have been occurring according to estimates by climate model simulations.»
The pattern of temperatures shows a rise as the world emerged from the last deglaciation, warm conditions until the middle of the Holocene, and a cooling trend over the next 5000 years that culminated around 200 years ago in the Little Ice Age.
Just prior to the 2009 COP15 climate summit in Copenhagen, then UK prime minister Gordon Brown told the world: «We should never allow ourselves to lose sight of the catastrophe we face if present warming trends continue.
As has been well documented, global warming has gone AWOL and in some regions of the world, global cooling trends have materialized, which scientists across the world are starting to express concern with.
These trends are expected to continue and even intensify in a warming world.
James Hansen, emporer of the NASA data for whom the rest of us are just «court jesters» dismissed both the restatement and the lack of warming trend in the US as irrelevent because the US only makes up about 2 % of the world's surface.
Keeling was a joke, in less than two years of «data gathering» he claimed to have shown a trend and concluded that man - made levels were rising — pretending to be measuring «pristine background levels of carbon dioxide» from the top of the world's highest active volcano, surrounded by active volcanoes on top of a great hot spot creating volcanoes in warm seas rocked by thousands of earthquakes every year.
, according to NASA scientists: «Coincidence, conspired to dampen warming trends» — Excuse number 10 for global warming «pause» or «standstill» — NASA's Gavin Schmidt & colleagues finds «that a combination of factors, by coincidence, conspired to dampen warming trends in the real world after about 1992» — Latest excuse for global temperature standstill mocked by skeptics: «Apparently, if you go back and rework all the forcings, taking into account new data estimates (add half a bottle of post-hoc figures) and «reanalyses» of old data (add a tablespoon of computer simulation) you can bridge the gap and explain away the pause.»
Even if the whole world is in a warming trend can't there be a natural explanation or cause for this?
But over the last century, during which the IPCC claims the world experienced more rapid warming than any time in the past two millennia, the world did not experience significantly greater trends in any of these extreme weather events.
More record highs than record lows is exactly what you'd expect in a warming world and the trend has been tipping toward more and more highs compared to lows for decades.
The trend line of real - world temperature, in bright blue, falls well below the entire orange region representing the interval of near - term global warming predicted by the IPCC in 1990.
A combination of factors, by coincidence, conspired to dampen warming trends in the real world after about 1992.
In other words, if it continues, the recent trend in sea ice loss may triple overall Arctic warming, causing large emissions in carbon dioxide and methane from the tundra this century (for a review of recent literature on the tundra, see «Science stunner: Vast East Siberian Arctic Shelf methane stores destabilizing and venting; NSF issues world a wake - up call: «Release of even a fraction of the methane stored in the shelf could trigger abrupt climate warming»In other words, if it continues, the recent trend in sea ice loss may triple overall Arctic warming, causing large emissions in carbon dioxide and methane from the tundra this century (for a review of recent literature on the tundra, see «Science stunner: Vast East Siberian Arctic Shelf methane stores destabilizing and venting; NSF issues world a wake - up call: «Release of even a fraction of the methane stored in the shelf could trigger abrupt climate warming»in sea ice loss may triple overall Arctic warming, causing large emissions in carbon dioxide and methane from the tundra this century (for a review of recent literature on the tundra, see «Science stunner: Vast East Siberian Arctic Shelf methane stores destabilizing and venting; NSF issues world a wake - up call: «Release of even a fraction of the methane stored in the shelf could trigger abrupt climate warming»in carbon dioxide and methane from the tundra this century (for a review of recent literature on the tundra, see «Science stunner: Vast East Siberian Arctic Shelf methane stores destabilizing and venting; NSF issues world a wake - up call: «Release of even a fraction of the methane stored in the shelf could trigger abrupt climate warming»in the shelf could trigger abrupt climate warming»).
«While they have been boosted by the underlying warming trend, we don't have any strong evidence that the factors driving short - term Arctic variability will increase in a warming world.
assuming what you say about skeptics changing topic as you describe is accurate, and at this point I do we are talking about data that is less than 200 years old, out of which extraordinary claims are made as to how that data relates to distant past and future trends tough sell assuming that all adjustments to the data are scientifically sound, It is very difficult for me to believe that measurements that have gone through so many iterations can be trusted to.0 and.00 in most other sciences, I doubt they would tough sell (the photo of the thermometer is downright funny) in terms of goal post moving I observe predicted heat being re-branded as «missing» a prediction of no snow re-branded as more snow a warming world re-branded to a «warm, cold, we don't know what to expect» world topped off with suggestions that one who thinks the above has some sort of psychological disorder extraordinary claims demand extraordinary evidence especially when you are teaching children that their world is endangered
Third: There was no cooling in the 1920s; in fact that was the start of a multidecadal warming trend that lasted until just after World War II (followed by a brief cooling trend, possibly due to increased aerosols dimming incoming sunlight together with some pretty big volcanic eruptions which did the same thing).
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