We have an infrastructure for disaster mitigation that has had tremendous successes over many decades (e.g., look at loss of life
trends over a century).
If I have
a trend over a century caused by a response (say) to rising CO2 or solar variability, then the auto - correlation will be larger than if I just had non-climatic noise (of whatever colour).
-- I calculated potential intensity trends over the period 1980 - 2012 & The disparity between the reanalysis potential intensity trends over the past 30 years and the projected
trends over this century suggests either that most of the observed increase in potential intensity (and actual intensity of high category storms) is due to natural variability,....»
There are such large differences in
the trends over these centuries both for temperature and for TSI (the only consistency is that the trends are all positive) that any attempt to analyse the influence from these data is hopeless.
At the risk of oversimplifying, the effects of groundwater storage can be differentiated between shallow - aquifer effects that modulate global sea level on year to year and decade to decade timeframes, versus deep aquifer effects that modulate sea level
trends over centuries and millennia.
Here are some additional linear regressions for some of the oldest data sets in the world - all show the same slight warming
trend over centuries and climate variability.
Not exact matches
But this
trend has significantly reversed
over the past two
centuries.
Clearly,
over the last
century retail has changed a lot, but if you analyze the
trends, success comes down to three factors: Convenience, spontaneity and experience.
I used smoothed silver prices
over the last
century to filter out short term fluctuations to highlight the basic
trend of silver prices.
Demographic
trends have shifted dramatically in the U.S.
over the past half
century toward an older population, and hence potential growth has to be structurally lower today, even as we hire great numbers of people (to say nothing of deploying ever greater numbers of robots).
But
trends in rationalism and scientism
over the last two
centuries turned it into a «value - free» social science» to some, just a form of applied mathematics.
Twentieth -
Century Catholic Theologians: From Chenu to Ratzinger by fergus kerr blackwell, 240 pages, $ 29.95
Over the last decade, a Scottish Dominican named Fergus Kerr has produced a series of books designed to orient readers to contemporary
trends.
once more: look at the data and then deduce your own hypothesis to explain the glaringly sharp spike on the right side of the x / y chart which plots global temperature
trends over the last 2
centuries.
But, given the development of liberalism
over the past two
centuries, this would seem to require a deliberate act of the will contrary to long «unfolding and deep «seated historical
trends.
The 1990s is now regarded as the crucial decade which will determine population
trends over the next
century.
Gateway attributes it success
over the past quarter -
century to not only growing by expansion, but by being dynamic and keeping pace with market
trends.
The research, commissioned by Linda McCartney Foods to celebrate the famous vegetarian food brand's 25th birthday, looked back at food
trends over the past quarter of a
century and forward to the next quarter.
«If the
trends continue through this month, the people of this city will have had the safest year on record in
over half a
century,» said Mayor Bill de Blasio, who presided
over the briefing with NYPD Commissioner James O'Neill.
Dr. Stephen Vermette, a SUNY Buffalo State climatologist and geography professor, recently analyzed data on climate
trends in Western New York
over the last half -
century.
First, they compared simulated and observed temperature
trends over all 15 - year periods since the start of the 20th
century.
Because of the strong recent warming, the updated
trend over 1906 to 2005 is now 0.74 ± 0.18 degree C. Note that the 1956 to 2005
trend alone is 0.65 ± 0.15 degree C, emphasizing that the majority of 20th -
century warming occurred in the past 50 years.
By drawing on the World Bank's projections of socioeconomic development
over the next quarter
century, researchers at the World Health Organization set out to forecast global
trends in death and disease.
The researchers documented that the North Pacific High has become more variable
over the past
century, and that these
trends have been imprinted on physical and biological indicators from the continental slope to the Sierra Nevada and beyond.
There's a historic
trend in that direction based on observations
over the last
century or more.
The epicenter of agricultural production has moved north and west
over the past half -
century, and that
trend will likely continue at an accelerated pace due to global warming, a new study finds.
The model also fails to fully account for the dramatic technological, economic, and demographic
trends that have swept the world
over the past
century, says economist Holger Strulik, a visiting professor at Brown University.
In the following sections we highlight
trends in fungicide development and use
over the last
century in light of the ever - changing spectra and intensities of fungal pathogens, which have often occurred as a consequence of changing cropping systems.
While the nation's weather in individual years or even for periods of years has been hotter or cooler and drier or wetter than in other periods, the new study shows that
over the last
century there has been no
trend in one direction or another.
Indeed, the dampened late 20th
century winter warming
over a substantial part of Greenland, particularly the western and southern regions emphasized by the network of stations analyzed by Vinther et al, is known (see e.g. this NOAA page) to be associated with a
trend toward the positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation («AO») pattern.
The interval
over which we expect cooling of the interior is when ozone depletion was accelerating (1960s through late 20th
century) and this is precisely when we reproduce the cooling
trend both in the reconstruction (primarily during the Austral fall season) and the model simulation experiments discussed in the paper.
In the paper Retreating Glacier Fronts on the Antarctic Peninsula
over the Past Half -
Century published this week in Science, we presented new data describing
trends in 244 marine glacier fronts on the Antarctic Peninsula
over the last 50 years.
The findings suggest that Antarctic sea ice has fluctuated substantially through the last
century, rather than experiencing the sort of steady
trend seen in the Arctic
over many decades.
This shows annual precipitation
trends over the 20th
century.
The Sun's slightly variable output accounts for some of earth's temperature fluctuations, but the steady warming
trend, seen
over centuries, will probably continue for surprising reasons.
Past analyses have found ENSO was responsible for 15 to 30 % of interseasonal variability but little of the global warming
trend over the past half
century (Jones 1989, Wigley 2000, Santer 2001, Trenberth 2002, Thompson 2008).
Meteorologist Bernadette Woods Placky explains why global temperatures have been on an upward
trend for
over a
century, and why that hot streak is unlikely to end.
Knutti et al. (2002) also determine that strongly negative aerosol forcing, as has been suggested by several observational studies (Anderson et al., 2003), is incompatible with the observed warming
trend over the last
century (Section 9.2.1.2 and Table 9.1).
Modest fashion is surely one of the most inspiring fashion
trends of the
century, which is why it has taken
over the world in recent times.
As a general
trend during the 20th
century, academic expertise came to prevail
over character as public schooling's clear priority.
Burke blames the national
trend of lower scores on «increasing federal intervention
over the past half -
century... the resulting burden of complying with federal programs, rules, and regulations, have created a parasitic relationship with federal education programs and states, and is straining the time and resources of local schools.
It is long past time to move to the next level of reform and accountability — the extrinsic type — and this is the
trend we must and will see
over the next several decades in what I believe will be the civil rights revolution of the 21st
century, which I think will play out simultaneously on the two tracks I have just mentioned: the delivery system for education and the means by which we prepare and compensate educators, primarily teachers.
California, New York and Texas, all states that have been profoundly altered by immigration
trends over the last half -
century, are among the most segregated states for Latino students along multiple dimensions.
The analysis focuses on the ELA components of the standards, but what it says about the assumptions driving them and how they were constructed is important: «The blanket condemnation made by the CCSS authors that school reading texts have «
trended downward
over the last half
century» is inaccurate» — particularly so, the authors of the study found, in the K - 3 grades.
It looks like the SUV
trend has finally caught up with the manufacturer that's sat atop the automotive pyramid for
over a
century.
In clean, bright, and provocative language, a cultural critic and historian discusses
trends in art, literature, music, and history
over the past five
centuries.
In celebrations of its 25th year, this year's show will host a series of seminar sessions looking back on the tourism revolution in the MENA region
over the last quarter of a
century, while exploring how the industry will shape up
over the next 25 years, in light of geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, huge technological advances and, of course, the increasing
trend of responsible tourism.
• The methanetrack.org website has shown significant increases in atmospheric methane concentrations
over Antarctica this austral winter (which I believe are due to increases in methane emissions from the Southern Ocean seafloor due to increases in the temperature of bottom water temperatures), and if this
trend continues, then the Southern Hemisphere could be a significant source of additional atmospheric methane (this
century).
They claim that GCM simulations produced
trends over the twentieth
century of 1.6 to 3.74 ºC — which is simply (and bizarrely) wrong (though with all due respect, that one seems to come directly from Mr. Gregory).
If one examines our model's control simulations for the 1982 - 2006 period, which show a
trend towards increasing hurricane activity
over this period, and correlates this activity with SST in the Main Development Region, and then tries to use this correlation to predict the 21st
century behavior of the model, it clearly doesn't work.
Huang, Shaopeng, Pollack, Henry N., and Shen, Po - Yu (2000) «Temperature
trends over the past five
centuries reconstructed from borehole temperatures,» Nature, 403 (17 February 2000), 403, 756 - 758.