Maybe something along the lines of the last 40 years of accumulated
tropical cyclone energy.
What if total
tropical cyclone energy in the North Atlantic does increase greatly with AGW as some believe?
Not exact matches
The Accumulated
Cyclone Energy (ACE) index of
tropical cyclone activity also indicated a below - average season in the North Atlantic.
As the planet warms from increasing greenhouse gases, more
energy is going into the oceans, which is an important component in the strength of hurricanes (also known as
tropical cyclones).
Why can't the average
tropical cyclone tap into the
energy of a (baroclinic, hence associated with wind shear) jet stream, rather than being weakenned by it?
If
tropical cyclone occurrence decreases, less of the heat is dissipated, and unless ocean circulation in some way compensates by transporting the additional thermal
energy elsewhere (i.e. for example out of the «main development region» of the Atlantic) some day a storm will tap the enhanced
energy source.
Accumulated
cyclone energy (ACE) is a measure used by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to express the activity of individual
tropical cyclones and entire
tropical cyclone seasons, * particularly the North Atlantic hurricane season.
(2) low to mid-latitude coastal regions are already facing a greater likelihood of very intense
tropical cyclones that are drawing
energy from significantly warmer ocean waters.
Indeed, the very strong interannual variability of global hurricane ACE (
energy) highly correlated to ENSO, suggests that the role of
tropical cyclones in climate is modulated very strongly by the big movers and shakers in large - scale, global climate.
tropical cyclones, climate change, global warming, extreme weather, hurricanes, typhoons, trend analysis, general linear model, applied statistics, accumulated
cyclone energy, ACE index,
cyclone activity, trend analysis
I have devoted 30 years to conducting research on topics including climate feedback processes in the Arctic,
energy exchange between the ocean and atmosphere, the role of clouds and aerosols in the climate system, and the impact of climate change on the characteristics of
tropical cyclones.
«With the exception of the South Pacific Ocean, all
tropical cyclone basins show increases in the lifetime - maximum wind speeds of the strongest storms... Our results are qualitatively consistent with the hypothesis that as the seas warm, the ocean has more
energy to convert to
tropical cyclone wind.»
The paper urges caution in using economic losses of
tropical cyclones as justification for action on
energy policies when far more potentially effective options are available.
It finds in all cases that efforts to reduce vulnerability to losses, often called climate adaptation, have far greater potential effectiveness to reduce damage related to
tropical cyclones than efforts to modulate the behaviour of storms through greenhouse gas emissions reduction policies, typically called climate mitigation and achieved through
energy policies.
When comparing a category 5 and a category 6
tropical cyclone of the same duration, given the difference in their intensity characterized by maximum wind speed, the kinetic
energy of the category 6 storm of 165 to 185 knots would be 139 % — 175 % higher than the category 5 storm of 140 knots, Lin said.
Brightness temperatures, a measure of microwave
energy coming out of Earth's atmosphere, are useful in estimating the intensity of convection in
tropical cyclones.
The warmer the water, the more
energy gets sucked in the air and the faster a
tropical cyclone develops into a hurricane and the more powerful this hurricane can grow — other complex meteorological factors left aside.
Now it is indeed hard to stop a full - blown hurricane, but you can perhaps starve a
tropical cyclone by trying to cut off part of its
energy supply.
It is this extra
energy released from the warm water freezing which turns an ordinary
cyclone into a powerful
tropical cyclone.
Hybrid storms and climate change: Sandy, continues Emanuel, is a «hybrid storm» — in other words, it has characteristics of
tropical cyclones (hurricanes) that get their
energy from the warm ocean surface, but also of winter
cyclones that get their
energy from temperature contrasts in the atmosphere.
My favorite talk in the regular sessions was «Power Law and Scaling in the
Energy of
Tropical Cyclones» by A. Corral, A. Osso; J. LLebot.
In the researchers» words: «About 60 % of all
tropical cyclones moving from waters off of Africa pass through 61.5 ° W south of 25.0 ° N, the remaining 40 % either moving north of 25.0 ° N, dying out or re-curving to the east of 61.5 ° W.» Chenoweth and Divine note that LACE is «highly correlated» with Carribbean basin - wide Accumulated Cyclone
Energy (ACE) since 1899.
Hurricanes (Fig. 7) and other
tropical cyclones can be thought of as heat engines that take
energy in by evaporating warm ocean water, and eject it at a colder temperature near the tropopause after air rises and water condenses in the eyewall [14].
CAS = Commission for Atmospheric Sciences CMDP = Climate Metrics and Diagnostic Panel CMIP = Coupled Model Intercomparison Project DAOS = Working Group on Data Assimilation and Observing Systems GASS = Global Atmospheric System Studies panel GEWEX = Global
Energy and Water Cycle Experiment GLASS = Global Land - Atmosphere System Studies panel GOV = Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) Ocean View JWGFVR = Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research MJO - TF = Madden - Julian Oscillation Task Force PDEF = Working Group on Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting PPP = Polar Prediction Project QPF = Quantitative precipitation forecast S2S = Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project SPARC = Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate TC =
Tropical cyclone WCRP = World Climate Research Programme WCRP Grand Science Challenges • Climate Extremes • Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity • Melting Ice and Global Consequences • Regional Sea - Ice Change and Coastal Impacts • Water Availability WCRP JSC = Joint Scientific Committee WGCM = Working Group on Coupled Modelling WGSIP = Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction WWRP = World Weather Research Programme YOPP = Year of Polar Prediction
It will also be interesting to see plaintiffs explain this graph of accumulated
cyclone energy in the light of their theory that man - made global warming is increasing hurricane strengths and frequencies (ACE is a sort of integration of hurricane and
tropical storm strengths over time).
Both hurricanes and typhoons are strong
tropical cyclones, which are storms that form over warm ocean waters, have a well defined center of circulation, and feed off of heat
energy from the ocean.