Sentences with phrase «tropical cyclone track»

AER scientists have developed techniques to process an ensemble of over fifty tropical cyclone track forecasts from all leading US and international hurricane modeling centers.

There is clearly a good deal of variation in the inherent predictability of tropical cyclone track from one case to another.

To attack this information gap, the research team analyzed 30 years of tropical cyclone track data obtained from the U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center.

They then compared the results from their new formula to actual cyclone intensification data at each location along tropical cyclone tracks in the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, and Northwest Pacific for the 10 - year period 2004 through 2013.

Changes in tropical cyclone tracks are closely associated with ENSO and other local climate conditions.

Lim, C.M. Patricola, M. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, D. Shaevitz, P.L. Vidale, H. Wang, M. Wehner, and M. Zhao, 2015: Cluster analysis of downscaled and explicitly simulated North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks.

Lim, C.M. Patricola, M. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, D. Shaevitz, P.L. Vidale, H. Wang, M. Wehner, M. Zhao, Cluster analysis of downscaled and explicitly simulated North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks.

The scientists also describe a shift in tropical cyclone tracks towards the tropics» outer edges, although it is unclear whether the shift is a response to warming.

Murakami, H., and B. Wang, 2010: Future change of North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks: Projection by a 20 - km - mesh global atmospheric model.

Examples include the forecasting of tropical cyclone tracks, heavy rainfall, strong winds, and flood prediction through coupling hydrological models to ensembles.

As atmospheric circulation changes, tropical cyclone tracks are bound to change (and models show this), but we have low confidence now in predicting just how they might change.

Not exact matches

A backup will be deployed but it remains to be seen whether the U.S. government agency will be able to adequately track the big tropical cyclones

An increase in the width of the tropics could increase the area affected by tropical storms (hurricanes), or could change climatological tropical cyclone development regions and tracks.

With the improvements in forecast, 24 - hour track and intensity forecast error of the tropical cyclones reduced from 141 km to 97 km and «landfall error» from 99 km to 56 km during 2006 to 2015.

This leaves tropical cyclone forecasters, who are ultimately responsible for recording TC tracks and intensities (i.e. maximum wind speeds), with a challenging problem.

Maps of tropical cyclone storm tracks since 1906 for the Southern Hemisphere are available here, which is access via the «climate data online» lank at the top - right of that first link.

The U.S. Climate Extremes Index (USCEI), an index that tracks the highest and lowest 10 percent of extremes in temperature, precipitation, drought and tropical cyclones across the contiguous U.S., was a record - large 44 percent during the January - June period, over twice the average value.

Answers vary, but previous research has pointed the finger at changing storm tracks, particularly for tropical cyclones such as hurricanes and typhoons.

In particular, the track forecasts of tropical cyclones were improved, which has been confirmed by tropical cyclone centres.

[24] For hurricane evacuation studies, a family of storms with representative tracks for the region, and varying intensity, eye diameter, and speed, are modeled to produce worst - case water heights for any tropical cyclone occurrence.

Tracks of past tropical cyclones Investigate the tracks of historical tropical cyclones across the Southern HemisTracks of past tropical cyclones Investigate the tracks of historical tropical cyclones across the Southern Hemistracks of historical tropical cyclones across the Southern Hemisphere.

[22] SLOSH inputs include the central pressure of a tropical cyclone, storm size, the cyclone's forward motion, its track, and maximum sustained winds.

The researchers compared the GNSS - R satellite measurements with data from other sources, including tropical cyclone best track data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Centers for Environmental Information; two climate reanalysis products; and a spaceborne scatterometer, a tool that uses microwave radar to measure winds near the surface of the ocean.

Uses the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS, version v03r03) analysis during satellite era (1986 — 2010) and determines the trends of intensification of tropical cyclones (TC) over all the global basins, except the North Indian Ocean

Together, the lightning and microwave data can track a range of parameters, including intensity changes in tropical cyclones; past research has shown that intensity changes are related to the density of lightning strokes [e.g., Solorzano et al., 2008; DeMaria et al., 2012].

Torn, R. D., and C. Snyder, 2012: Uncertainty of tropical cyclone best - track information.

It is these circulation features, which as you know, determine locations of drought, floods, tracks of tropical cyclones, etc..

Variations in tropical cyclones, hurricanes and typhoons are dominated by ENSO and decadal variability, which result in a redistribution of tropical storm numbers and their tracks, so that increases in one basin are often compensated by decreases over other oceans.

On the NHC site, you can also track current tropical weather outlook and any tropical storms or cyclones that may be developing: