It looks like some sort of hybrid between AR4 projections for
tropical sea temperature increase and global average surface temperature rise.
Not exact matches
At that moment New York withered under a blast of 13 °
temperature, Chicago suffered under a 6 ° reading and it was 15 ° - below in International Falls, Minn. and Lebanon, N.H.. On the lake beyond
Tropical's tote board white swans and
sea gulls cruised about or beat the air and sailed a few hundred yards and sidled in for another freeload of tender shoots.
They found that
tropical sea surface
temperature in the Eocene was about 6 degrees Celsius — about 10 degrees Fahrenheit — warmer than today.
The finding surprised the University of Arizona - led research team, because the sparse instrumental records for
sea surface
temperature for that part of the eastern
tropical Pacific Ocean did not show warming.
«There has been an average of one additional
tropical cyclone for each 0.1 - degree Celsius increase in
sea surface
temperature and one hurricane for each 0.2 - degree Celsius rise,» they write in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A.
The research, an analysis of
sea salt sodium levels in mountain ice cores, finds that warming
sea surface
temperatures in the
tropical Pacific Ocean have intensified the Aleutian Low pressure system that drives storm activity in the North Pacific.
Beyond human activity,
tropical sea surface
temperatures further back in time are affected by volcanic eruptions, changes in the intensity of sunlight and natural events like El Niño.
Both the 2005 and 2010 droughts were the result of a «very, very unusual» weather pattern linked to higher
sea surface
temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, said lead author Simon Lewis, a
tropical forests expert at the University of Leeds.
«This immediately pointed to the importance of
sea surface
temperatures, and also suggested that models are capable of reproducing the observed rate of
tropical widening, that is, they were not «deficient» in some way.»
«When we analyzed IPCC climate model experiments driven with the time - evolution of observed
sea surface
temperatures, we found much larger rates of
tropical widening, in better agreement to the observed rate — particularly in the Northern Hemisphere,» Allen said.
But the ice core - derived climate records from the Andes are also impacted from the west — specifically by El Niño, a temporary change in climate, which is driven by
sea surface
temperatures in the
tropical Pacific.
But
sea surface
temperatures in
tropical areas are now warmer during today's La Niña years (when the water is typically cooler) than during El Niño events 40 years ago, says study coauthor Terry Hughes, a coral researcher at James Cook University in Townsville, Australia.
The new analysis combines
sea - surface
temperature records with meteorological station measurements and tests alternative choices for ocean records, urban warming and
tropical and Arctic oscillations.
These shifts may include rising
sea levels, stronger
tropical cyclones, the loss of soil moisture under higher
temperatures, more intense precipitation and flooding, more frequent droughts, the melting of glaciers and the changing seasonality of snowmelt.
The penguins once numbered around 2,000 individuals, but in the early 1980s a strong El Niño — a time when
sea surface
temperatures in the
tropical Pacific are unusually warm — brought their numbers down to less than 500 birds.
The underlying pattern in this year's fire forecast is driven by the fact that the western Amazon is more heavily influence by
sea surface
temperatures in the
tropical Atlantic, and the eastern Amazon's fire severity risk correlates to
sea surface
temperature changes in the
tropical Pacific Ocean.
To develop the model, they compared historic fire data from NASA's Terra satellite with
sea surface
temperature data in the
tropical Pacific and North Atlantic oceans from buoys and satellite images compiled by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Sea surface
temperatures in the
tropical Atlantic and
tropical Pacific oceans three to six months before the peak of fire season are strongly correlated with total fire activity.
Folland says that
sea - surface
temperatures in the
tropical Atlantic are highly variable between January and May.
The new results, published in Nature Geoscience, contradict those previous studies and indicate that
tropical sea surface
temperatures were warmer during the early - to - mid Pliocene, an interval spanning about 5 to 3 million years ago.
The western
tropical Pacific is known as the «warm pool» with the highest
sea surface
temperature (SST) in the world (on average).
They found increases in
sea surface
temperature and upper ocean heat content made the ocean more conducive to
tropical cyclone intensification, while enhanced convective instability made the atmosphere more favorable for the growth of these storms.
The most recent observations of
sea surface
temperatures across the
tropical Pacific Ocean (top) and how different those
temperatures are from normal (bottom).
Sea surface
temperature in North Atlantic and Mediterranean waters triggers
tropical cyclones afar
In a key region of the
tropical Pacific, the November average
sea surface
temperature beat out records from 1983 and 1997, according to the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts.
The global mean
temperature rise of less than 1 degree C in the past century does not seem like much, but it is associated with a winter
temperature rise of 3 to 4 degrees C over most of the Arctic in the past 20 years, unprecedented loss of ice from all the
tropical glaciers, a decrease of 15 to 20 % in late summer
sea ice extent, rising sealevel, and a host of other measured signs of anomalous and rapid climate change.
Global warming will also mean more forest fires; hurricanes hitting cities that are at present too far north of the equator to be affected by them;
tropical diseases spreading beyond their present zones; the extinction of species unable to adapt to warmer
temperatures; retreating glaciers and melting polar icecaps; and rising
seas inundating coastal areas.
However, extreme events may require the combined effect of increased prevailing winds and
tropical storms guided by the strengthened blocking high pressure and nurtured by the unusually warm late - Eemian
tropical sea surface
temperatures (Cortijo et al., 1999), which would favor more powerful
tropical storms (Emanuel, 1987).
Corals are found in all of Earth's oceans, from
tropical to freezing
temperatures, however they only build coral reefs in warm, shallow
seas in the tropics.
For significant periods of time, the reconstructed large - scale changes in the North Pacific SLP field described here and by construction the long - term decline in Hawaiian winter rainfall are broadly consistent with long - term changes in
tropical Pacific
sea surface
temperature (SST) based on ENSO reconstructions documented in several other studies, particularly over the last two centuries.
Since the mid 1970's, global estimates of the potential destructiveness of hurricanes show an upward trend strongly correlated with increasing
tropical sea - surface
temperature.
Trenberth, K.E., et al., 1998: Progress during TOGA in understanding and modeling global teleconnection associated with
tropical sea surface
temperatures.
Tompkins, A.M., and G.C. Craig, 1999: Sensitivity of
tropical convection to
sea surface
temperature in the absence of large - scale flow.
During El Nino events the ocean circulation changes in such a way as to cause a large and temporary positive
sea surface
temperature anomaly in the
tropical Pacific.
A well - known issue with LGM proxies is that the most abundant type of proxy data, using the species composition of tiny marine organisms called foraminifera, probably underestimates
sea surface cooling over vast stretches of the
tropical oceans; other methods like alkenone and Mg / Ca ratios give colder
temperatures (but aren't all coherent either).
Cooler than normal
sea surface
temperatures (blue shades) were developing in the
tropical Pacific Ocean during October, signaling the possible development of La Nina.
The study, published today in the journal Nature, draws on a new record of
tropical sea surface
temperature dating back to 1500, captured in fossilised corals and tiny marine organisms.
The graph below shows the strong statistical relationship between annual CO2 rise and the strength of El Niño and La Niña, as quantified by
sea surface
temperatures in the
tropical east Pacific ocean.
Cooling
sea - surface
temperatures over the
tropical Pacific Ocean — part of a natural warm and cold cycle — may explain why global average
temperatures have stabilized in recent years, even as greenhouse gas emissions have been warming the planet.
La Niña is the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and is associated with cooler than average
sea surface
temperatures in the central and eastern
tropical Pacific Ocean.
The Amerta Private Villa is located an hour's drive from the airport and at 600 meters above
sea level you can enjoy the cooler
temperatures and the rolling hills of rice padi terraces and the mountains that are covered in
tropical jungles and forests.
This has meant that the style and layout and overall running of these small 10 person resorts are all inline perfectly with the Balinese culture creating the perfect traditional approach to luxury accommodation in this wonderful area.Ubud is located in the center of Bali at just over 600 meters above
sea level where you can enjoy amazing views of Bali including rice paddies, river valleys and
tropical woodland all at cooler
temperatures and away from the conventional tourist areas of the south.
Lembongan is a pristine
tropical island, its highest point is 50 meters above
sea level, little
temperature variation from 30 degrees Celsius occurs between the only two seasons in a total of 615 ha unproductive rocky land.
Located in the south - eastern Caribbean
Sea at the southern end of the Grenadines, Grenada's
tropical climate and cooling trade winds make for idyllic
temperatures year - round.
Several recent studies such as Emanuel (2005 — previously discussed here) and Hoyos et al (2006 — previously discussed here) have emphasized the role of increasing
tropical sea surface
temperatures (SSTs) on recent increases in hurricane intensities, both globally and for the Atlantic.
For three particular mismatches —
sea ice loss rates being much too low in CMIP3,
tropical MSU - TMT rising too fast in CMIP5, or the ensemble mean global mean
temperatures diverging from HadCRUT4 — it is likely that there are multiple sources of these mismatches across all three categories described above.
«Multidecadal variability of Atlantic
tropical cyclone activity is observed to relate to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)-- a mode manifesting primarily in
sea surface
temperature (SST) in the high latitudes of the North Atlantic.
Past summer, extratropical
temperature changes appear, for example, to have have differed significantly from annual
temperature changes over the entire (
tropical and extratropical) Northern Hemisphere, and
tropical Pacific
Sea Surface
Temperatures appear to have varied oppositely with temperatures in the extratropical regions o
Temperatures appear to have varied oppositely with
temperatures in the extratropical regions o
temperatures in the extratropical regions of the globe.
A subset of Earth System Models (ESMs) project that El Niño - like conditions will progressively increase in coming decades as
sea - surface
temperatures in the
tropical Pacific warm, implying increased drought and forest dieback in the Amazon.
They show this with an elegant experiment, in which they «force» their global climate model to follow the observed history of
sea surface
temperatures in the eastern
tropical Pacific.