It is likely, however, that there is slightly greater warming in
the troposphere than at the surface, and a higher tropopause, with the latter due also to pronounced cooling in the stratosphere.
Personally I didn't know why globally there should be greater warming in the lower
troposphere than at the surface.
It is likely, however, that there is slightly greater warming in
the troposphere than at the surface, and a higher tropopause, with the latter due also to pronounced cooling in the stratosphere.
Since 1979, it is likely that there is slightly greater warming in
the troposphere than at the surface, although uncertainties remain in observed tropospheric warming trends and whether these are greater or less than the surface trend.
But there is also the problem that GH warming should actually be at a faster rate in
the troposphere than at the surface (according to IPCC), and this clearly doesn't seem to be the case.
Some models show more warming in
the troposphere than at the surface, while a slightly smaller number of simulations show the opposite behavior.
Not exact matches
For global observations since the late 1950s, the most recent versions of all available data sets show that the
troposphere has warmed
at a slightly greater rate
than the
surface, while the stratosphere has cooled markedly since 1979.
Above the
surface, global observations since the late 1950s show that the
troposphere (up to about 10 km) has warmed
at a slightly greater rate
than the
surface, while the stratosphere (about 10 — 30 km) has cooled markedly since 1979.
John Christy and Roy Spencer of the University of Alabama published a series of papers starting about 1990 that implied the
troposphere was warming
at a much slower rate
than the
surface temperature record and climate models indicated Spencer and Christy (1992).
[Response: Depends again — the upper
troposphere is predicted to warm more
than the
surface —
at least in the tropics.
In terms of the gold that a climate science denier might find in the paper,
at the very least, they could argue that the fact that the
troposphere isn't warming more quickly
than the
surface shows that the climate models are unreliable — even though the models predict just the pattern of warming that we see — with the
troposphere warming more quickly
than the
surface over the ocean but less quickly
than the
surface over land.
Before allowing the temperature to respond, we can consider the forcing
at the tropopause (TRPP) and
at TOA, both reductions in net upward fluxes (though
at TOA, the net upward LW flux is simply the OLR); my point is that even without direct solar heating above the tropopause, the forcing
at TOA can be less
than the forcing
at TRPP (as explained in detail for CO2 in my 348, but in general, it is possible to bring the net upward flux
at TRPP toward zero but even with saturation
at TOA, the nonzero skin temperature requires some nonzero net upward flux to remain — now it just depends on what the net fluxes were before we made the changes, and whether the proportionality of forcings
at TRPP and TOA is similar if the effect has not approached saturation
at TRPP); the forcing
at TRPP is the forcing on the
surface +
troposphere, which they must warm up to balance, while the forcing difference between TOA and TRPP is the forcing on the stratosphere; if the forcing
at TRPP is larger
than at TOA, the stratosphere must cool, reducing outward fluxes from the stratosphere by the same total amount as the difference in forcings between TRPP and TOA.
For the theory to hold true, the observable rate of temperature increase would be higher in the
troposphere than at the earth's
surface.
You see, Joanne, you have nothing in the way of an hypothesis that even explains the observed
surface temperature of Earth, let alone that of Venus or
at the base of the 350Km high nominal
troposphere of Uranus where it's hotter
than Earth.
Produce evidence of (a) the temperature of the air adjoining the
surface being warmer
than the
surface at night, thus «stopping convection» and (b) any other inversion in calm conditions
at night in the
troposphere.
You haven't explained how the temperature is maintained
at the Venus poles, where less
than 1W / m ^ 2 of incident solar radiation reaches the
surface, and not much more reaches the lower
troposphere.
There's no significant radiation
at the base of the nominal Uranus
troposphere, but it's hotter
than Earth's
surface down there.
The month - to - month variability of tropical temperatures is larger in the
troposphere than at the Earth's
surface.
Satellites measure all the heat in the
troposphere rather
than just the sensible heat
at the
surface.
This despite the fact that GH warming in the
troposphere should be greater
than at the
surface.
This requires that warming in the tropical upper
troposphere be 2 - 3 times greater
than at the
surface.
The reason that the upper part of the
troposphere is expected in the global average to warm more
than the
surface is that in the tropics is that one expects the lapse rate to closely follow the moist adiabatic lapse rate, which indeed implies more warming
at altitude
than at the
surface.
The answer is that since the effect of CO2 is
at the
surface, rather
than distributed throughout the
troposphere, then the
surface of the Antarctic ice shelves melted supplying fresh water to the sea ice edge.