From
the tulip bubble of the 1600s to the Internet bubble only 15 years ago, the crashes are inevitable.
Additionally, while the comparisons with other bubbles (
the tulip bubble of Dutch fame, or the land bubble in the mid 19th century) the underlying Blockchain technology provides a basis for value in the Bitcoin ecosystem that is maintained by the consensus of the majority.
Not exact matches
Bubbles from the past include the Dutch
tulip bulb crash
of 1637 and the dot.com tech stock meltdown in 2000 when millions
of dollars was invested in new internet companies, many
of which later collapsed.
Thanks to Mackay's vivid account,
tulips are a well - known cautionary tale, applied to asset
bubbles of all types; here's the problem, though: there's a decent chance Mackay's account is completely wrong.
The implication
of Harari's argument3 is pretty hard to wrap one's head around.4 Take the term «
tulip bubble»: everyone knows it is in reference to a speculative mania that will end in a crash, even those like me — and now you — that have learned about what actually happened in the Netherlands in the winter
of 1636.
This process
of «price discovery,» the primary driver
of volatility in bitcoin's price, also invites speculation (don't mortgage your house to buy bitcoin) and manipulation (hence the recent talk
of tulips and
bubbles).
From a
tulip craze to a dotcom
bubble, read the cautionary tales
of the stock market's greatest disasters.
From Dutch
tulip mania in the 1630s to the Icelandic boom and burst
of the early 2000s, the history
of financial market
bubbles has been long and inglorious.
Plants either dropped their leaves seasonally, shutting down the pathways that would normally carry water between roots and leaves; developed thinner water - conducting pathways, allowing them to keep their leaves while reducing the risk
of air
bubbles developing during freezing and thawing; or avoided the cold seasons altogether as herbs, losing aboveground stems and leaves and retreating as seeds, or storing organs underground, such as
tulips or potatoes.
So is Bitcoin, created in secrecy by an unnamed tech whiz
of unknown nationality eight years ago, the real deal or another
tulip craze
bubble?
«It's got all the shapings
of your
tulip bubble chart (but) that tells you nothing about where that price line could go depending on the number
of people who wish to own it,» Standard Life's head
of investment strategy, Andrew Milligan, said on Wednesday.
History is replete with such self - reinforcing trends divorced from valuations: the
tulip craze in 1630s Holland, the South Sea
Bubble of 1720, railway manias of the mid-1800s, the roaring bull market of the 1920s, Nifty Fifty stocks in the 1960s, Japan's asset price bubble of the 1980s, and the late 1990s tech bubble, to name just
Bubble of 1720, railway manias
of the mid-1800s, the roaring bull market
of the 1920s, Nifty Fifty stocks in the 1960s, Japan's asset price
bubble of the 1980s, and the late 1990s tech bubble, to name just
bubble of the 1980s, and the late 1990s tech
bubble, to name just
bubble, to name just a few.
I would be fascinated to hear
of any economic models that are capable
of doing this — e.g by replicating the great depression, the Dutch
tulip bubble or the impacts on each national economy
of the abolition
of slavery.
You know, as in the historic collapse
of the Dutch economy in the 1630's due to the
tulip price
bubble.
The foundation
of the
tulip bubble formed in the Netherlands was a direct result
of overheated speculation from investors blinded by financial gains.
Lubin argued the cryptocurrency
bubble is fundamentally different from the American housing market crash
of 2008 and Dutch
tulip mania in the 17th century, to which the bitcoin gold rush has been compared.
Dimon had sworn off discussing the cryptocurrency after making waves last month by saying Bitcoin was in a
bubble that would eclipse the size
of the
tulip bubble seen back in the 1600s.
The People's Daily, the official newspaper
of the Chinese Communist Party and the biggest newspaper group in China, recently published a piece calling bitcoin a
bubble, and comparing the cryptocurrency to the 17th - century Dutch
tulip bulb
bubble., just like JP Morgan's Jamie Dimon did.
I clearly stated in that publication that I believed Bitcoin was in a
bubble that was replicating the Dutch
tulip craze
of 1637, and all the other price
bubbles that followed it.
The Crisis Economics author also likes bitcoin to the internet
bubble,
tulip mania
of the 1600's and London's South Sea
bubble in the 1700's — all
of which Roubini says bitcoin surpasses for a bursting
bubble.