Many efforts to gauge why most Republicans reject or doubt the science pointing to risks from
unabated emissions of greenhouse gases are issue - centric.
As the science blogger James Hrynyshyn put it last year (responding to a similar Wall Street Journal piece), there's little merit in the argument that scientific disagreement (a normal part of the scientific process) undermines the basic findings pointing to substantial risks from
unabated emissions of greenhouse gases.
Unabated emissions of greenhouse gases will guarantee civilization will have no set coastline to develop for centuries, if not millenniums, to come.
So it's utterly unremarkable to find 49 people, including astronauts and engineers, who would publicly reject James Hansen's view of the dangers posed by
unabated emissions of carbon dioxide, or the Obama administration's approach to the space agency's research programs, news releases and other forms of public output on climate, which is markedly different than that of the last Bush administration.
Why does «same as it ever was» keep coming to mind when examining the responses of America's elected «leaders» to durable challenges — whether confronting deficits and the debt, the glaring lack of alternatives to oil and the risks posed by
unabated emissions of greenhouse gases.
Only if this is wrong, and the true value is lower, can we escape the fact that
unabated emissions of greenhouse gases will lead to the warming projected by the IPCC.
«It's only prudent to acknowledge that the continued,
unabated emission of greenhouse gases poses a risk for current and especially future generations.»
Not exact matches
Unabated coal refers to the production
of electricity from a coal plant without using treatments to cut carbon dioxide
emissions.
At least two studies published since 2010 — one report from the United Nations Environment Programme in 2011 and a follow - up published in Science last year — suggested that significantly reducing the
emissions of soot and methane could trim human - caused warming by at least 0.5 °C (0.9 ° F) by 2050, compared with an increase
of about 1 °C if those
emissions continued
unabated.
The progressively earlier occurrence
of these high CO2 levels — not seen in somewhere between 800,000 and 15 million years — points to the inexorable buildup
of heat - trapping gas in the atmosphere as human
emissions continue
unabated.
Yet despite all the complexities, a firm and ever - growing body
of evidence points to a clear picture: the world is warming, this warming is due to human activity increasing levels
of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, and if
emissions continue
unabated the warming will too, with increasingly serious consequences.
This choice, they say, is the sea level rise «locked in» by the two warming scenarios: the target
of two degrees Celsius vs. the sea level rise associated with
unabated emissions and four degrees warming by the end
of the century.
Projections based on 29 climate models suggest that the number
of high wildfire potential days each year could increase by nearly 50 percent by 2050 if greenhouse gas
emissions continue
unabated.
The record - setting temperatures
of 2016 have seen a small push from an exceptionally strong El Niño, but they are largely the result
of the heat that has built up in the atmosphere over decades
of unabated greenhouse gas
emissions — as the spiral graphic makes clear.
The point
of this graphic detail is to make clear the magnitude
of the cleanup task and potential costs, if fossil fuel
emissions continue
unabated.
The red and blue future scenarios correspond (to good approximation) to the two climate scenarios on which we surveyed the experts: blue a scenario with effective climate mitigation, red a scenario with a further
unabated growth
of emissions into the 22nd Century.
The research team, using computer simulations, projects that warm records will increasingly dominate should
emissions of greenhouse gases continue
unabated.
«If current trends in CO2
emissions continue
unabated,» says Caldeira, «in the next few decades, we will produce chemical conditions in the oceans that have not been seen for tens
of millions
of years.
When
emissions continue
unabated (RCP8.5 scenario), the IPCC expects 12 % to 54 % decline by 2100 (see also the current probabilistic projections
of Schleussner et al. 2014).
The odds
of extreme and prolonged heat or heavy rains will rise with an
unabated buildup
of warming
emissions.
And
of course there's the hard reality that the risks posed by an
unabated rise in greenhouse - gas
emissions are still mainly somewhere and someday while our attention, as individuals and communities, is mostly on the here and now.
Her conclusion is that the risks
of unwelcome surprises rise with
unabated emissions and warming.
Updates appended A new analysis
of Antarctica's vast ice sheet in a world heated by
unabated greenhouse gas
emissions from fossil fuel burning comes to a stark, if unsurprising, conclusion: Burn it all, lose it all.
But many climate scientists, seeing
unabated emissions, say exploration
of such options is a must, at least as a backstop strategy if things really get out
of control.
As oil flowed
unabated from the Gulf
of Mexico seabed, Senator John Kerry used a speech today at a green jobs conference in Washington, D.C., to press the case for an energy bill that speeds the country's journey to a post-fossil future and constrains
emissions of greenhouse gases.
And there's been plenty
of fine reporting for decades on the growing risks posed by
unabated greenhouse gas
emissions.
At the same time, the political turmoil over high energy prices has created a new hurdle facing those — including both presidential candidates — who say they want to blunt the
unabated climb in
emissions of greenhouse gases with a cap or tax.
If GHG
emissions are
unabated, the study shows, only a tiny bit
of sea ice [less than 0.1 million square kilometres] could survive the coming decades.
And, as Edim has suggested, if the real life «physics» tells us that this «lack
of warming» continues for another 15 years despite
unabated human GHG
emissions, we may have to toss those model predictions, and the «agenda driven physics» that created them, into the trash.
The «Feynman» type
of «physics» is telling us that it hasn't warmed in 15 years, despite
unabated human GHG
emissions, suggesting that maybe those GHGs really aren't the «climate control knob» that the models using the «agenda driven physics» were predicting.
They have survived previous Arctic warming periods, including the last warm stretch between ice ages some 130,000 years ago, but some climate experts project that nothing in the species» history is likely to match the pace and extent
of warming and ice retreats projected in this century and beyond, should
emissions of heat - trapping gases continue
unabated.
But the plausible effects
of unabated CO2
emissions are 3 - 4C rise by the end
of the century (with the Arctic rising twice this?).
For context, consider Earth's increasing pace
of emissions: While the first half
of the entire global carbon budget was used up over 250 years, the second half
of the budget would be used up in only about three decades if
emissions continue
unabated.
PS IPCC had predicted warming
of 0.15 to 0.3 C per decade in TAR and 0.2 C per decade in AR4 — yet in actual fact, lolwot, we saw «no warming» despite
unabated human GHG
emissions.
As the world's largest store
of freshwater, Antarctica has the potential to contribute more than a meter
of sea level rise by 2100 and more than 15 metres by 2500, if
emissions continue
unabated.
However, we do have an option that will allow the CAGW alarmists to get their desire
of reduced
emissions and, at the same time, allow growth in prosperity and human wellbeing to continue
unabated.
But the most convincing counterforce is Mother Nature, herself — and if she gives us another decade
of slight cooling or at least no warming, despite continued
unabated human GHG
emissions and concentrations reaching record levels, she will essentially have killed this strange form
of delusion called CAGW.
The report stops short
of demanding an early end to
unabated coal, but says all new coal plants should be designed to allow for CCS in future, with a plateau and then reduction in coal
emissions.
-- Others indicated that the observed current lack
of warming despite
unabated human GHG
emissions falsified the premise that AGW is a major factor (the CAGW premise
of IPCC)[red]
And the longer this «pause» in warming continues while GHG
emissions continue
unabated, the more «uncertain» become the model - based attribution estimates
of IPCC and, hence, the projections for the future.
A general acknowledgement that it has not warmed significantly over a period
of over a decade, despite the fact that human CO2
emissions have continued
unabated, but that this trend is too short to be statistically significant.
How many years
of «no warming» despite
unabated CO2
emissions would it take to falsify the 3.2 degC climate sensitivity (and, hence, the CAGW premise
of IPCC)?
Our analysis found that the number
of days with KBDI above 600 (a level at which the potential for wildfire is high) would increase significantly between now and 2050 in 10
of the western states if greenhouse gas
emissions continue
unabated.
And the more decades we have
of no warming despite
unabated human GHG
emissions and atmospheric GHG concentrations reaching record levels, the more the case for an AGW driven climate unravels (the underlying message
of the DM article).
At the time
of the session, there was a lot
of discussion in the media over the growing realisation that global temperatures seemed to have «paused» for the last 10 - 15 years, even though CO2
emissions had been continuing
unabated.
It's pretty hard to «overinterpret» a 10 + year stop in global warming (actual slight cooling instead), despite
unabated human GHG
emissions and concentrations reaching record levels, plus IPCC model - based predictions
of 0.2 C per decade warming.
However you slice it, lolwot, there is a current «pause» (or «standstill») in the warming
of the «globally and annually averaged land and sea surface temperature anomaly» (used by IPCC to measure «global warming»), despite
unabated human GHG
emissions and CO2 levels (Mauna Loa) reaching record levels.
A recording
of a phone conference call July 20, 2015, in which James E. Hansen
of Columbia University (and formerly NASA's lead climate scientist) discussed a new discussion paper positing that abrupt sea level rise is a significant prospect with
unabated greenhouse gas
emissions.
How» bout we respond with: «the same mechanism that has caused the observed recent decade
of slight cooling despite
unabated human CO2
emissions and concentrations reaching record levels»?
Yet despite all the complexities, a firm and ever - growing body
of evidence points to a clear picture: the world is warming, this warming is due to human activity increasing levels
of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, and if
emissions continue
unabated the warming will too, with increasingly serious consequences.