Sentences with phrase «uncertain future climate»

They are also used to explore the implications of climate change for decision making (e.g., exploring whether plans to develop water management infrastructure are robust to a range of uncertain future climate conditions).

Not exact matches

IJC officials applaud the $ 22 million the state allocated to help communities, business and homeowners recover from flooding, but they cautioned that future climate conditions are uncertain and that extreme water levels could happen again and more often.
Instead of providing a nice, neat and clear answer, the findings showed that the effect of future climate change on agriculture is wildly uncertain.
Although the magnitudes of future effects are uncertain, human influences on the climate are growing.
That suggests the white - coated, massive bears have weathered previous natural climate changes, and may predate the Arctic ice that is their preferred — and only — habitat today, which is why the species future remains uncertain presently.
Conservationists in New Zealand are also weighing the strategy to save the endangered hihi, or stitchbird (Notiomystis cincta), which faces an uncertain future if not moved to cooler climates farther south.
Even if climate negotiations in Paris are successful, the planet is locked into long - term warming and an uncertain future.
De Boer's future atop the U.N. climate office is uncertain.
Of the many inane arguments that are made against taking action on climate change, perhaps the most fatuous is that the projections climate models offer about the future are too uncertain to justify taking steps that might inconvenience us in the present.
This combination of uncertain projections, local and global effects, and potential for human adaptation makes it difficult to attribute current, much less future, changes and trends in Montana agriculture solely to climate change.
It is of interest to scientists because it is changing rapidly; it is thinning, accelerating and receding3, all of which contribute directly to sea level, and its future under a warming climate is uncertain.
Sugarcane has brought wealth to the world's last absolute monarchy, but climate change spells an uncertain future for this thirsty crop
Our framework links innovative approaches for (1) generating high - resolution, probabilistic projection of future climate and sea - level changes and (2) empirically identifying robust statistical relationships characterizing how humans have responded to past climate variability and past climate change, in order to (3) project how humans may respond to uncertain future changes.
The second thread links uncertain projections of future changes to statistical and process models of human systems to assess the risks posed by climate change.
Sheila Dillon hears how a Government report on funding food in small schools was never published and asks what the future holds for school food across the UK in an uncertain political climate.
This panel discussion will address questions of how artists use digital technology to mark current conditions and evoke uncertain futures — How can we make future climate change seem real to the present?
«Giving too much thought to the future can be overwhelming, especially in an uncertain political climate,» she explains, but doing so can offer a reminder «that there are a wide variety of positive futures for everybody to dive into.»
This failure is a little strange as the assessed scale of future permafrost CH4 emissions are plain within the paper's Fig 6 while Section 6.4 — Sensitivity of Permafrost Methane Fluxes to Climate Change concludes «The potential strength of the permafrost CH4 feedback may be considered small through to 2100 but remains uncertain at these and longer timescales.»
This could then lead to a wider debate about how best to respond to climate change risks in a complex world with an uncertain future.
I'm not a climate change denier, but at the same time I think we sometimes fail to recognize how uncertain the future is.
Maybe he considers the significant effects of climate change to be uncertain enough, or far enough in the future as to not be relevant to his topic of discussion.
We should think of climate change mitigation as an investment for which the fair price and future yield is uncertain but presumed positive.
We will be likelier to find efficiencies in the utility to be obtained of future climate where the climate is less uncertain.
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~swr01tjw/pubs/ see 2010: «Dynamical influences on European climate: An uncertain future, Phil.
Of the many inane arguments that are made against taking action on climate change, perhaps the most fatuous is that the projections climate models offer about the future are too uncertain to justify taking steps that might inconvenience us in the present.
Today these sites face a perilous and uncertain future in a world of rising sea levels, more frequent wildfires, increased flooding, and other damaging effects of climate change.
Through their statement on climate change, Buddhist leaders have crossed this boundary into an area in which, it seems to me, they lack knowledge both of the alleged problems of anthropogenic global warming and of the best policies that might be adopted to deal with an always uncertain future.
The role of the United States as a climate leader is also at stake, with an uncertain future for the Clean Power Plan, U.S. commitment to the Paris Agreement on climate change, and the country's ability to meet its national target to reduce emissions 26 - 28 percent by 2025.
Climate change has caused a reproductive justice crisis, activists say, as its projected impacts lead some to question how they could have a baby with such an uncertain future.
We know the climate sensitivity to radiative forcing to be about 3 °C per 4 W / m2 of forcing to within something like a 10 % uncertainty, base on current climate modeling and the geological record (see Hansen et al., 2008) for details http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha00410c.html The natural (unforced) variability of the climate system is going to remain highly uncertain for the foreseeable future.
Although the magnitudes of future effects are uncertain, human influences on the climate are growing.
Projections of climate change are uncertain, firstly because they are primarily dependent on scenarios of future anthropogenic and natural forcings that are uncertain, secondly because of incomplete understanding and imprecise models of the climate system and finally because of the existence of internal climate variability.
«[I] t is not possible to tell how much of the modest recent warming can be ascribed to human influences,» wrote Happer, Koonin and Lindzen, «and there have been no detrimental changes observed in most salient climate variables and projections of future changes are highly uncertain
But in the face of climate change, long - term planning (over several decades) is needed for a future that is highly uncertain.
«There have been no detrimental changes observed in the most salient climate variables and today's projections of future changes are highly uncertain,» reads a separate brief filed by Princeton University physicist William Happer, New York University physicist Steven Koonin and Massachusetts Institute of Technology climatologist Richard Lindzen.
These additional datasets will also help individuals understand how the changing climate affects public health in their area, risk factors that make a person more vulnerable to climate - related health effects, and how to plan for uncertain future conditions.
«While the future is uncertain, the debate about whether climate change is a material risk for fossil fuel companies is settled.
But the future climate of West Antarctica is uncertain, and the physical factors that govern the collapse of outlet glaciers like Thwaites are poorly understood — in particular, a peculiar glacier instability mechanism likely triggered by warming ocean waters in a changing climate.
The first step recommended in the study is for the national intelligence community to include comprehensive assessments of climate change in future security plans, just as agencies now take into account traditional but uncertain threats.
Note that estimates of the social cost of carbon are necessarily uncertain as it depends, by definition, on projections of the future — and not just on projections of the climate system but on projections of everything that affects the climate system or is affected by it.
Society's choices in the years ahead will necessarily be based on uncertain knowledge of future climates.
Though President Obama is set for a major address on climate tomorrow, US policy faces an uncertain future.
Subsistence fishermen face an uncertain future, marked by climate change and ocean acidification and global overfishing, and they suspect things are only going to get worse.
Yohe, G., N. Andronova and M. Schlesinger, 2004: To hedge or not against an uncertain climate future?
It is uncertain how ENSO will behave in a future warmer world, but one source of possible clues is warm climates of the past.
«demands for urgent action to mitigate climate change thrive at the expense of genuine, illuminating, nuanced debate about how to make the best of an uncertain future
Or is the future shape of the risk still so vague and uncertain that we are stuck having the whole country underwrite it until the effects of climate change on big storms come into clearer focus?
«Prediction of weather and climate are necessarily uncertain: our observations of weather and climate are uncertain, the models into which we assimilate this data and predict the future are uncertain, and external effects such as volcanoes and anthropogenic greenhouse emissions are also uncertain.
However, uncertainty about the current state of Himalayan glaciers (4) and the future state of the climate, as well as an incomplete understanding of the processes affecting Himalayan glaciers under the current climate, make any projections of climate change's impact on glaciers uncertain as well (2, 23, 17, 39).
Climate change forces them to abandon their traditional ways of life, thereby driving them into an uncertain future.
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