On one hand, the reduction in global SO2 emissions reduces the role of sulfate aerosols in determining future climate toward the end of the 21st century and therefore reduces one aspect of
uncertainty about future climate change (because the precise forcing effect of sulfate aerosols is highly uncertain).
Both forcings are poorly understood and may represent the largest source of
uncertainty about future climate change.
Because adaptation policy requires decision - making amid
uncertainties about future climate change and its impacts, the major pillars of adaptation plans are iterative assessment, flexible and adaptive planning, and enhancement of adaptive capacity.
It also presents a new set of estimates of
the uncertainties about future climate change and compares the results will those of other integrated assessment models.
Not exact matches
Oppenheimer and his co-authors use a technique known as «structured expert judgment» to put an actual value on the
uncertainty that scientists studying
climate change have
about a particular model's prediction of
future events such as sea - level rise.
Based on the above conclusions, they consider that the
future integrity of the property is highly at risk, taking into account the possible prospect of offshore oil exploitation, the
uncertainty about the impact of invasive species, the already existing threats for which progress on the corrective measures is unclear and the globally increasing effects of
climate change to coral reef systems, including the Belize Barrier Reef system.
e360: You've written recently
about uncertainty over the
future impacts of
climate change and how that plays a role in discouraging action in reducing greenhouse gases.
Uncertainty about the extent of
future global warming is in itself an indicator of serious
climate change to come, scientists have claimed.
Professor Curry has led debate in the science community
about the process of reviewing
climate change, including giving testimony before the US house subcommittee on environment this year, remarking on the many large
uncertainties in forecasting
future climate.
When we talk
about future climate change, our discussion often stalls at the
uncertainties inherent in scientists» statistical models and forecasts.
In the face of
uncertainty about future policies to address
climate change, companies are using internal carbon pricing in their strategic planning to manage regulatory risk and explore
future scenarios for potential investments.
«The state of our knowledge
about future climate change is such that the degree of
uncertainty and the level of ignorance precludes formulating a PDF of outcomes -LSB-...]»
The state of our knowledge
about future climate change is such that the degree of
uncertainty and the level of ignorance precludes formulating a PDF of outcomes, or even putting bounds on the outcomes with a high confidence level.
By the way: «the degree of
uncertainty and» should be scratched to attain accuracy: «The state of our knowledge
about future climate change is such that the level of ignorance precludes formulating a PDF of outcomes -LSB-...] ``
Even our hostess (who knows a lot
about «the science») concedes that it is «complicated» and that there is great «
uncertainty» regarding attribution of
climate change (and, hence, all the projections for the
future).
Consequently, in many cases, alternative means of communicating
uncertainty about future changes in
climate should be employed instead.
What the report says
about extratropical storms and
climate change: There is
uncertainty about future changes in winter extratropical cyclones.
Firstly, there is
uncertainty about the
future levels of greenhouse gas emissions driving
climate change [34] and considerable
uncertainty in modeling how this will affect other aspects of
climate such as local rainfall or temperatures.
However,
uncertainty about the current state of Himalayan glaciers (4) and the
future state of the
climate, as well as an incomplete understanding of the processes affecting Himalayan glaciers under the current
climate, make any projections of
climate change's impact on glaciers uncertain as well (2, 23, 17, 39).
Of the myriad of claims made in the
climate debate, Cox thinks it is sufficient to answer even the IPCC's own statement that «
Uncertainties about future vulnerability, exposure, and responses of interlinked human and natural systems are large» with the mantra, «
climate change is happening», which means precisely nothing.
One of the most important economic and political points arising from
climate change is
uncertainty about how seriously
future governments will respond to the problem.
Moreover, most of the
uncertainty in the ECS value results from
climate model speculation
about climate changes that might occur far into the
future, not in the next 300 years!
Both Hallegatte [8] and Adger & Barnett [7] emphasize
uncertainty about the
future arising from
climate change.
The researchers emphasize that there are numerous
uncertainties about the magnitude of
future climate change, such as energy feedbacks from clouds and the carbon cycle.