Not exact matches
In this week's Trader Poll, tell us if you're worried
about earnings season,
inflation uncertainty or the U.S. elections.
Given these positive surprises, and because monetary policy must be forward - looking to achieve our
inflation target, Governing Council's discussions focused on three main issues: first, the extent to which recent strength is signalling stronger economic momentum in Canada and globally; second, how heightened levels of
uncertainty, particularly
about US tax and trade policies, should be incorporated in our outlook; and third, how much excess capacity the economy currently has, and the growth rate of potential output going forward.
Uncertainty about economic growth and
inflation remains a central question for investors and policymakers and one that has crucial implications for the Fed's strategy and investor portfolio returns.
As history has taught us,
inflation distorts decision - making in the economy, discourages saving, and increases
uncertainty about the future.
In the face of increased
uncertainty about underlying productivity growth, many economists now argue that a central bank should not try to restrain an expansion until there is visible evidence that
inflation is rising.
Now the current levels of volatility have emanated from a number of different sources: political
uncertainty, concerns
about rising
inflation, concerns
about rising interest rates, concerns
about a trade war, cybersecurity fears, all of these different things.
Some Fed policymakers have been conveying the impression that
uncertainties about growth momentum in the United States mean that rate rises will be shallow and gradual, especially as
inflation is not yet a concern.
The U.S.
inflation numbers were much as expected but all the DEBT futures markets rallied as it seems the shorts in the markets are nervous
about new
uncertainties in the Middle East.
Low
inflation and
uncertainties about the global economy also forced the ECB to revise its forecast for 2015 eurozone growth from 1.5 % to 1.4 %.
-- FOMC minutes show
uncertainty and concern
about markets are affecting officials» decision - making — Officials were cautious when evaluating market conditions and the «damaging effects on the economy» — Worry
about «potential buildup of financial imbalances» and a sharp reversal in asset prices» — Members seem oblivious to impact of
inflation on households and savings — Physical gold and silver remain the only assets for real diversification and safety
Initially, investors were skeptical
about any further tightening of monetary policy in coming months, amid escalating tensions between North Korea and the United States, further soft
inflation data and
uncertainty about the potentially negative effects of hurricanes Harvey and Irma on the economy.
Investors also may face new
uncertainties if
inflation unexpectedly accelerates and raises questions
about the pace of Fed interest - rate hikes.
When the yield curve looks like this, with short - term rates
about the same as long - term rates, it's generally a signal that there's a lot of
uncertainty about the outlook for the economy, interest rates, and
inflation.
As I noted in Secular Bear Markets and the Volatility of
Inflation, the uncertainty brought about by large swings in inflation is often harmful to i
Inflation, the
uncertainty brought
about by large swings in
inflation is often harmful to i
inflation is often harmful to investors.
When there's
uncertainty in the air and investors become fearful
about the economy and major investment markets, we often hear of them flocking to and investing in gold because as a commodity, it's
inflation proof as a tangible asset.
For example, real estate in North America looks like a good total
inflation hedge (beta
about +2), but with a huge range of
uncertainty (from
about +6 to -2) just for that one time and place.
In addition, borrowing during a down economy or when
uncertainty is high (
about factors such as
inflation and a volatile interest rate environment) could be a good strategy for achieving a favorable rate — choose a time when a bank may be especially motivated to make a deal or give you the best rate possible.
A steep yield curve generally means that
inflation expectations are rising or there is great
uncertainty of the future, as it implies that people are either (1) reluctant to buy longer term bonds, or (2) are are keeping their funds liquid because they feel uncertain
about the future.