Sentences with phrase «uncertainty bands»

In all three groups [the climate panel's working groups on the science, impacts and adaptive response and mitigation of human - caused warming] there are people that ignore uncertainty bands, and emphasize extremes, for various reasons: be it curiosity or the wish to influence policy.

Ironically, Mann's carefully plotted uncertainty bands were not visible on the presentation graphic, just as they were not reproduced in Fred Singer's NIPCC report.

Since there was no margin of uncertainty in the original model, but the uncertainty bands are being appealed to now in the present models... are you saying that for this 1981 paper falsifiability only would come for temperatures that are below the observed trends?

Since there was no margin of uncertainty in the original model, but the uncertainty bands are being appealed to now in the present models... are you saying that for this 1981 paper falsifiability only would come for temperatures that are below the observed trends?

While the uncertainty band (grey area) is significant, the temperature in the latter 20th Century exceeds the maximum estimate over the past 500 years.

If we do this with the data here, we obtain an ECS that likely lies within the blue band: between 3.1 and 4.2 K, with a most likely value of 3.7 K. Simply looking at the scatter of the 29 models in this plot indicates that this uncertainty band is too narrow.

As the uncertainty bands around the temperature anomaly series shrink, that may help make it easier to precisely identify the factors contributing to short term variations.

The uncertainty bands illustrate the outer range of reasonable estimates.

What will it take for a new generation of uncertainty bands to honestly encompass reality?

Table 8.7 shows that the best estimate for total aerosol RF (RFari + aci) has fallen from − 1.2 W / m ² to − 0.7 W / m ² since AR4, largely due to a reduction in RFaci, the uncertainty band for which has also been hugely reduced.