Sentences with phrase «uncertainty distributions»
"Uncertainty distributions" refers to the range of possible outcomes or probabilities associated with a particular situation or event. It represents the uncertainty or variability in the possible results, where different outcomes have different likelihoods of occurring. Full definition
This figure gives a sense of the wide uncertainty distribution in the total anthropogenic forcing relative to just the GHG forcing (which also includes methane, N2O, etc) which is a prime reason the instrumental record doesn't inherently give good constraints on sensitivity.
realclimate.org
For any assumed distribution of parameter values, a method of producing 5 — 95 % uncertainty ranges can be tested by drawing a large number of samples of possible parameter values from that distribution, and for each drawing a measurement at random according to the measurement uncertainty distribution and estimating a range for the parameter.
However, if in addition the IPSL - CM5A - LR model is replaced by a second copy of IPSL - CM5B - LR — giving a 2 - to - 1 weighting in favour of IPSL's more advanced, improved CM5B model over the earlier CM5A version rather than vice versa — the resulting weighted CMIP5 model ECS uncertainty distribution differs little from the raw unweighted distribution, apart from ECS values below 2.5 °C being less likely.
Uncertainty Distribution around Climate Models.»
> It has been argued recently that the combination of risk aversion and an uncertainty distribution of future temperature change with a heavy upper tail invalidates mainstream economic analyses of climate change policy.
Uncertainty Distribution around Climate Models,» Social Studies of Science 35/6 (December 2005), 895 — 922.
If the calibration curve were monotonic and had an unvarying error magnitude, the calibration curve error could be absorbed into a slightly increased 14C determination error, as both these uncertainty distributions are assumed Gaussian.
Uncertainty distribution around climate Models.