Sentences with phrase «uncertainty estimate of»

The total AF uncertainty estimate of ± 0.87 W / m ² in Table 8.7 equates to an error standard deviation of 0.44 W / m ², which is taken as applying for 2002 — 2011.

A sound prior is a key ingredient in the process to reach a consensus low - uncertainty estimate of climate sensitivity to inform climate policy.»

The standard deviation of the ensemble is 0.38 million km2 which we provide as uncertainty estimate of the prediction.

«Our results show that the uncertainty estimates of greenhouse gas inventories depend on the calculation method and on how the input data for the model, such as weather and litterfall data, have been averaged,» says Aleksi Lehtonen, researcher at the Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke).

Wang, Y - H., G. Magnusdottir, H. Stern, X. Tian and Y. Yu, 2014: Uncertainty estimates of the North Atlantic Oscilation.

Not exact matches

Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in such forward - looking statements and that should be considered in evaluating our outlook include, but are not limited to, the following: 1) our ability to continue to grow our business and execute our growth strategy, including the timing, execution, and profitability of new and maturing programs; 2) our ability to perform our obligations under our new and maturing commercial, business aircraft, and military development programs, and the related recurring production; 3) our ability to accurately estimate and manage performance, cost, and revenue under our contracts, including our ability to achieve certain cost reductions with respect to the B787 program; 4) margin pressures and the potential for additional forward losses on new and maturing programs; 5) our ability to accommodate, and the cost of accommodating, announced increases in the build rates of certain aircraft; 6) the effect on aircraft demand and build rates of changing customer preferences for business aircraft, including the effect of global economic conditions on the business aircraft market and expanding conflicts or political unrest in the Middle East or Asia; 7) customer cancellations or deferrals as a result of global economic uncertainty or otherwise; 8) the effect of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which we operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; 9) the success and timely execution of key milestones such as the receipt of necessary regulatory approvals, including our ability to obtain in a timely fashion any required regulatory or other third party approvals for the consummation of our announced acquisition of Asco, and customer adherence to their announced schedules; 10) our ability to successfully negotiate, or re-negotiate, future pricing under our supply agreements with Boeing and our other customers; 11) our ability to enter into profitable supply arrangements with additional customers; 12) the ability of all parties to satisfy their performance requirements under existing supply contracts with our two major customers, Boeing and Airbus, and other customers, and the risk of nonpayment by such customers; 13) any adverse impact on Boeing's and Airbus» production of aircraft resulting from cancellations, deferrals, or reduced orders by their customers or from labor disputes, domestic or international hostilities, or acts of terrorism; 14) any adverse impact on the demand for air travel or our operations from the outbreak of diseases or epidemic or pandemic outbreaks; 15) our ability to avoid or recover from cyber-based or other security attacks, information technology failures, or other disruptions; 16) returns on pension plan assets and the impact of future discount rate changes on pension obligations; 17) our ability to borrow additional funds or refinance debt, including our ability to obtain the debt to finance the purchase price for our announced acquisition of Asco on favorable terms or at all; 18) competition from commercial aerospace original equipment manufacturers and other aerostructures suppliers; 19) the effect of governmental laws, such as U.S. export control laws and U.S. and foreign anti-bribery laws such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the United Kingdom Bribery Act, and environmental laws and agency regulations, both in the U.S. and abroad; 20) the effect of changes in tax law, such as the effect of The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the «TCJA») that was enacted on December 22, 2017, and changes to the interpretations of or guidance related thereto, and the Company's ability to accurately calculate and estimate the effect of such changes; 21) any reduction in our credit ratings; 22) our dependence on our suppliers, as well as the cost and availability of raw materials and purchased components; 23) our ability to recruit and retain a critical mass of highly - skilled employees and our relationships with the unions representing many of our employees; 24) spending by the U.S. and other governments on defense; 25) the possibility that our cash flows and our credit facility may not be adequate for our additional capital needs or for payment of interest on, and principal of, our indebtedness; 26) our exposure under our revolving credit facility to higher interest payments should interest rates increase substantially; 27) the effectiveness of any interest rate hedging programs; 28) the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting; 29) the outcome or impact of ongoing or future litigation, claims, and regulatory actions; 30) exposure to potential product liability and warranty claims; 31) our ability to effectively assess, manage and integrate acquisitions that we pursue, including our ability to successfully integrate the Asco business and generate synergies and other cost savings; 32) our ability to consummate our announced acquisition of Asco in a timely matter while avoiding any unexpected costs, charges, expenses, adverse changes to business relationships and other business disruptions for ourselves and Asco as a result of the acquisition; 33) our ability to continue selling certain receivables through our supplier financing program; 34) the risks of doing business internationally, including fluctuations in foreign current exchange rates, impositions of tariffs or embargoes, compliance with foreign laws, and domestic and foreign government policies; and 35) our ability to complete the proposed accelerated stock repurchase plan, among other things.

Such factors include, among others, general business, economic, competitive, political and social uncertainties; the actual results of current and future exploration activities; the actual results of reclamation activities; conclusions of economic evaluations; meeting various expected cost estimates; changes in project parameters and / or economic assessments as plans continue to be refined; future prices of metals; possible variations of mineral grade or recovery rates; the risk that actual costs may exceed estimated costs; failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; accidents, labour disputes and other risks of the mining industry; political instability; delays in obtaining governmental approvals or financing or in the completion of development or construction activities, as well as those factors discussed in the section entitled «Risk Factors» in the Company's Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2017 dated March 15, 2018.

The press release may, in some cases, use terms such as «predicts,» «believes,» «potential,» «proposed,» «continue,» «estimates,» «anticipates,» «expects,» «expected,» «plans,» «intends,» «may,» «could,» «might,» «will,» «should» or other words that convey uncertainty of future events or outcomes to identify these forward - looking statements.

«Our illustrative estimate of the long term impact of reduced net migration from the EU27 on UK GDP per capita after Brexit is negative, but relatively small compared to many other uncertainties about average UK income levels in 2030,» said Hawksworth.

Chart 14 shows that the «dispersion of EPS estimates for S&P 500 companies is near all - time lows, likely reflecting an unwillingness of analysts to diverge from consensus amid macro uncertainty.»

This press release may, in some cases, use terms such as «predicts,» «believes,» «potential,» «proposed,» «continue,» «estimates,» «anticipates,» «expects,» «expected,» «plans,» «intends,» «may,» «could,» «might,» «will,» «should» or other words that convey uncertainty of future events or outcomes to identify these forward - looking statements.

The central bank estimated trade uncertainty would lower investment by two per cent by the end of 2019.

It added that «the effect on U.S. growth is estimated to be positive through 2020, cumulating to 1.2 percent through that year, with a range of uncertainty around this central scenario.»

«Given the uncertainty surrounding the measurement of economic slack, the true amount may be larger than estimated, which could slow down the emergence of price pressures,» Draghi told a regular committee hearing.

But even now, about 80 hours from the space station's expected crash, the timing estimate has a 20 - hour window of uncertainty on either end.

In a paper co-authored with colleagues at Stanford and the University of Chicago, Bloom estimates an increase in policy uncertainty between 2006 and 2011 might have shaved up to 2.3 percentage points off GDP growth.

Uncertainty shock = lower US GDP estimates; markets will price in EU fragmentation; Fed likely to pass in Dec; ultimate growth impact of Trump will depend on whether his protectionism or Keynesianism triumphs; either way Trump will boost inflation / stagflation expectations as electorates say end wage deflation via immigration controls, trade protectionism, fiscal spending.

The degree of auditor judgment related to areas in the financial statements that involved the application of significant judgment or estimation by management, including estimates with significant measurement uncertainty;

This economic uncertainty includes the probabilities of future events as estimated by the buyers and sellers.

Clarke said that Worm's estimate of 100 million sharks killed every year may be too high because of the degree of uncertainty in conducting a global estimate.

Any estimate of the economic costs of protectionist measures, let alone trade wars, is subject to uncertainty given the complexity of global supply chains.

There is significant uncertainty about the size of the domestic marijuana market demand, but the Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) estimates a midpoint of about 655 tonnes in 2018.

Uncertainty about health care reform and a rotation away from levered companies have caused HCA's share price to sell below our estimate of intrinsic value, offering what we believe is an attractive entry point.

We continue to estimate that a large foreign currency supply will bring about the continued strengthening of the shekel but the Bank of Israel is keeping its policy secret and wants to create uncertainty, not necessarily showing its cards and letting market forces swiftly push the exchange rate down.»

95 % UI = uncertainty interval around the cost and DALY estimates, derived from multivariate sensitivity analysis propagating uncertainty around cost inputs, elasticity estimates, relative risks of disease outcomes and the prevalence of alcohol consumption.

Because of the uncertainty in the underlying research literature, our estimates have broad CIs.

The estimates in table 1 are a sobering reflection of the perinatal hazards that these women face, 3 4 even if the exact rates have been exaggerated by some underas - certainment of the relevant official denominator figure for all births outside hospital and are subject to uncertainty because sampling methods had to be used to aportion the overall figure.

Decision uncertainty was examined by estimating net benefit statistics and constructing cost effectiveness acceptability curves across cost effectiveness threshold values of between # 0 and # 100000 for the health outcomes of interest.

Home birth is uncommon in the United Kingdom and uncertainty exists about its safety.1 2 Almost all mortality figures available nationally1 provide merely a single global figure for planned and unplanned home births, though the constituent rates differ greatly.3 The only recent figures for planned home birth in England and Wales relating to 19794 and 19935 provide an inaccurately low estimate of risk because it was not possible to account for those mothers who originally booked to have a home delivery but ended up delivering in hospital.

Two of these reviews produce summary measures suggesting parent training programmes have a significant positive effect in crime prevention [12] and for non-compliant children [13] although this latter review does not provide any indication of the uncertainty of the effect estimate.

But there is uncertainty associated with all the forecasts and some forecasters are trying to estimate the extent of that uncertainty, which in turn can be used to calculate probabilities of particular events (hung parliament, largest party, etc..)

«This estimate reflects the view that although receipts growth is expected to continue in FY 2017, a large degree of uncertainty exists as to the magnitude of this growth in light of the risks noted below.

Ms. Ferreras nonetheless acknowledged «many uncertainties» in the plan, including, most notably, unresolved labor contracts with nearly every one of the city's municipal labor unions, which could cost the city as much as $ 7 billion to settle, according to some estimates.

The usual health warnings were issued in the form of statistical uncertainty estimates, but these invitations to prudence were given less attention than they deserved by most consumers of the numbers.

As an industry that is estimated to be worth a staggering $ 15 trillion by 2025, inconsistency has the potential to create a huge degree of uncertainty, misunderstanding and risk, further demonstrating the importance of synchronising standards.

Some of the largest uncertainties in current climate models stem from their wide - ranging estimates of the size and number of dust particles in the atmosphere.

With only a few observations to feed into their calculations, the early estimates by scientists of an asteroid's future orbit have huge uncertainties.

However, the lack of data and the uncertainties of climate change make any estimate feel like a rough guess.

«Now we can begin to reduce our uncertainty about how hard induced earthquakes shake the ground, and that should lead to more accurate estimates of the risks these earthquakes pose to society going forward.»

Point estimates of population parameters (e.g., mean, correlation coefficient, slope) or comparative measures (e.g., mean difference, odds ratio, hazard ratio) should be accompanied by a measure of uncertainty such as a standard error or a confidence interval.

A new report has estimated that 82 % of articles about climate change are framed in the context of «disaster» and «uncertainty».

In addition to developing maps of near - surface permafrost distributions, the researchers developed maps of maximum thaw depth, or active - layer depth, and provided uncertainty estimates.

Using a hierarchical model, the authors combine information from these various sources to obtain an ensemble estimate of current and future climate along with an associated measure of uncertainty.

Nielsen stresses that the estimate contains a fair amount of uncertainty.

Also, the model - based approach includes measures of uncertainty about our population estimates, which are not usually provided by more common approaches and are crucial for understanding the level of confidence we have about our estimates.»

The largest uncertainty in the new estimate of the Hubble constant is whether or not M100 is exactly at the centre of the Virgo cluster.

The range of uncertainty is huge, with estimates of Europa's energy supply varying by orders of magnitude.

Their latest calculation, based on the oldest light that telescopes can detect, is 14.0 billion years with an uncertainty of just 500 million years — the tightest age constraint yet, and slightly older than the going estimate of around 13 billion years.

A new paper, co-authored by Woods Hole Research Center Senior Scientist Richard A. Houghton, entitled, «Audit of the global carbon budget: estimate errors and their impact on uptake uncertainty,» was published in the journal Biogeosciences.

Given the estimated uncertainties in their method, the researchers place an upper limit on methane in the martian atmosphere of 1.3 parts per billion, as they report online today in Science.