Sentences with phrase «uncertainty in climate science for»

Fred Pearce, the British science writer and author, has written a valuable summary of the implications of unyielding, and sometimes expanding, uncertainty in climate science for Yale Environment 360.

Not exact matches

Cooney himself made 294 edits to the administration's 364 - page Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program posted July 24, 2003, «to exaggerate or emphasize scientific uncertainties or to deemphasize or diminish the importance of the human role in global warming,» and Cooney and the CEQ played a role in eliminating climate change sections in the EPA's draft Report on the Environment as well as its National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Climate Change Science Program posted July 24, 2003, «to exaggerate or emphasize scientific uncertainties or to deemphasize or diminish the importance of the human role in global warming,» and Cooney and the CEQ played a role in eliminating climate change sections in the EPA's draft Report on the Environment as well as its National Air Quality and Emissions Trends climate change sections in the EPA's draft Report on the Environment as well as its National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report.

«There are so many variables that will affect the future of forests in northern Minnesota, forest managers will probably always have to deal with some amount of uncertainty,» said Stephen Handler, lead author of the vulnerability assessment and a climate change specialist with the Northern Institute for Applied Climate Science (climate change specialist with the Northern Institute for Applied Climate Science (Climate Science (NIACS).

Unfortunately for policymakers and the public, while the basic science pointing to a rising human influence on climate is clear, many of the most important questions will remain surrounded by deep complexity and uncertainty for a long time to come: the pace at which seas will rise, the extent of warming from a certain buildup of greenhouse gases (climate sensitivity), the impact on hurricanes, the particular effects in particular places (what global warming means for Addis Ababa or Atlanta).

Having taken us to task for somehow not properly handling the uncertainties in climate science — an error we did not commit, as I document above — he then proceeds to offer a horrifically misleading summary of what the IPCC actually found about the achievability and cost of meeting the 2 degree goal.

Instead, you'll see something in between the world sought by «climate hawks,» the term proposed by David Roberts of Grist as the label for aggressive campaigners pursuing policies that live up to the picture delineated by science, and the contrasting world of free marketeers and industrialists who speak breezily of climate uncertainty as a reason to relax and let spreading wealth give people the leisure to start to care for the environment and the money and technology to do something to clean it up.

I've written in the past about other issues related to setting a numerical limit for climate dangers given both the enduring uncertainty around the most important climate change questions and the big body of science pointing to a gradient of risks rising with temperature.

and for more specific relevance and scope: Review of the U.S. Climate Science Program's Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.2, «Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Climate Decision making (2007).

Today and Wednesday a group of authors from across the different working groups — examining the basics of climate science, the impacts of warming and options for policy responses — are meeting at Jasper Ridge in northern California to come up with an approach for «consistent evaluation of uncertainties and risks.»

Koenig's careful description of the science and the uncertainty about what the future holds prompted a public spanking from the Center for American Progress climate blogger Joe Romm, who charged her with «scientific reticence» — alluding to NASA scientist James Hansen's paper criticizing sea - level researchers for being overly cautious in 2007 conclusions about the possible rate of sea rise in this century.

Not one to be constrained by mere facts or observable reality, he has launched a sally against Andy Revkin for reporting the shocking news that past industry disinformation campaigns were not sincere explorations of the true uncertainties in climate science.

James Murdoch, the young scion of the giant News Corporation media empire, has an op - ed article for The Washington Post aimed at «conservation - minded conservatives,» spelling out the many reasons to propel an energy transformation in the United States through a declining cap on carbon dioxide emissions, despite the uncertainties in climate science.

Paul Voosen, one of the most talented journalists probing human - driven climate change and related energy issues, has written an award - worthy two - part report for Greenwire on one of the most enduring sources of uncertainty in climate science — how the complicated response of clouds in a warming world limits understanding of how hot it could get from a given rise in greenhouse gas concentrations:

The IPCC process is a major effort to provide a comprehensive overview of the state of climate science, though as is evident even from the Summary — which, due to the necessity for brevity, tends to downplay uncertainties — there are still many difficult obstacles and uncertainties to overcome in determining the influence of human activities on the climate.»

And left - wing groups have also been guilty of distorting the science for their own political ends, for instance by underplaying uncertainties (eg in attributing individual weather events to climate change).

Steven E. Koonin, once the Obama administration's undersecretary of energy for science and chief scientist at BP, stirred up a swirl of turbulence in global warming discourse this week after The Wall Street Journal published «Climate Science is Not Settled,» his essay calling for more frankness about areas of deep uncertainty in climate science, more research to narrow error ranges and more acknowledgement that society's decisions on energy and climate policy are based on values as much ascience and chief scientist at BP, stirred up a swirl of turbulence in global warming discourse this week after The Wall Street Journal published «Climate Science is Not Settled,» his essay calling for more frankness about areas of deep uncertainty in climate science, more research to narrow error ranges and more acknowledgement that society's decisions on energy and climate policy are based on values as much aClimate Science is Not Settled,» his essay calling for more frankness about areas of deep uncertainty in climate science, more research to narrow error ranges and more acknowledgement that society's decisions on energy and climate policy are based on values as much aScience is Not Settled,» his essay calling for more frankness about areas of deep uncertainty in climate science, more research to narrow error ranges and more acknowledgement that society's decisions on energy and climate policy are based on values as much aclimate science, more research to narrow error ranges and more acknowledgement that society's decisions on energy and climate policy are based on values as much ascience, more research to narrow error ranges and more acknowledgement that society's decisions on energy and climate policy are based on values as much aclimate policy are based on values as much as data.

If Dr Curry's scientific position is «there is a considerable amount of uncertainty, therefore we should at least be able to draw some boundaries around them before pushing for a consensus on certainty» (I hope my paraphrase is close to the mark), then advocating for a change in the process of conducting climate science follows logically.

In a new filing to the IRS — adding to an active investigation prompted by a 2012 complaint that ALEC is operating as a corporate lobbying group while registered as a 501 (c)(3) nonprofit charity — the watchdog organizations detail for the first time how Exxon has used ALEC as a key asset in its explicit campaign to sow uncertainty about climate science, undermine international climate treaties and block legislation to reduce emissionIn a new filing to the IRS — adding to an active investigation prompted by a 2012 complaint that ALEC is operating as a corporate lobbying group while registered as a 501 (c)(3) nonprofit charity — the watchdog organizations detail for the first time how Exxon has used ALEC as a key asset in its explicit campaign to sow uncertainty about climate science, undermine international climate treaties and block legislation to reduce emissionin its explicit campaign to sow uncertainty about climate science, undermine international climate treaties and block legislation to reduce emissions.

Policy implications are not limited by the uncertainties of climate science itself, they are more limited for other reasons: uncertainties in actual impacts and most importantly uncertainties in the actual outcomes of any specific policy decision.

FAR revealed, for example, that on the most important indicator of uncertainty in climate science — the likely range of warming for a given increase in carbon dioxide emissions — progress was actually retrograde.

Nature: Understanding how the South Asian monsoon will change in response to global warming and resolving the uncertainties in projected changes are «demanding tasks» for climate science, a review says.

Meanwhile, the good news (if further research bears it out) that the world's warming has been slowed, at least for a few years, needs to be leavened with the realisation, yet again, that there are significant uncertainties in science's understanding of the climate — and thus unquantifiable risks ahead.

Also, Inside Climate News recently described a new study published in Science about how fossil - fuel funded climate - science deniers disingenuously shift their arguments and use normal scientific uncertainties to deflect attention from the overwhelming scientific consensus on climate change and argue for no action to reduce greenhouse - gas emiClimate News recently described a new study published in Science about how fossil - fuel funded climate - science deniers disingenuously shift their arguments and use normal scientific uncertainties to deflect attention from the overwhelming scientific consensus on climate change and argue for no action to reduce greenhouse - gas emiScience about how fossil - fuel funded climate - science deniers disingenuously shift their arguments and use normal scientific uncertainties to deflect attention from the overwhelming scientific consensus on climate change and argue for no action to reduce greenhouse - gas emiclimate - science deniers disingenuously shift their arguments and use normal scientific uncertainties to deflect attention from the overwhelming scientific consensus on climate change and argue for no action to reduce greenhouse - gas emiscience deniers disingenuously shift their arguments and use normal scientific uncertainties to deflect attention from the overwhelming scientific consensus on climate change and argue for no action to reduce greenhouse - gas emiclimate change and argue for no action to reduce greenhouse - gas emissions.

A main focus for climate science in the coming years should be to use whatever methods are available to try to limit the range of uncertainties in key climate variables like the climate sensitivity and transient climate response.

Three years ago Smith wrote in the Washington Post, «Contrary to the claims of those who want to strictly regulate carbon dioxide emissions and increase the cost of energy for all Americans, there is a great amount of uncertainty associated with climate science.»

The science outcomes are part of an ongoing adaptive management process that is essential to sound decision making in the NPR - A and can serve as a model for other Arctic regions facing climate and land - use uncertainty.

Thus (for example) goals to enhance economic growth and reduce poverty should sit alongside environmental considerations in any research funding strategy, and as I've noted emphasis should be given to reducing the uncertainty rather than simply projecting the extremes of it forward for little useful purpose (a high volume of current research in climate science).

With a climate sensitivity of roughly 1 from «settled» CO2 science, some evidence for natural shifts in global climate of 0.5 - 1.0 degK, and a fair amount of uncertainty in feedbacks, my Italian flag (based on physics) will probably be mostly white if climate sensitivity is > 2.5.

But the radical uncertainties in climate science are not for me matched by the uncertainties of the cost of action.

We have the «scientist» who understands the questions, uncertainties and doubts that are inherent in Climate Science with the scientific ethos of full disclosure of all those, and the «human being» who for the good of the planet must address the non scientific audience with dramatic, simplified, scary and non realistic scenarios.

He also failed to mention that board member Michael J. Boskin, who served as George W. Bush's chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, was one of the key culprits of that administration's consistent exaggeration of the uncertainties in climate science as a means for stymieing legislation that would curb carbon dioxide emissions.

Many physical modelers, and especially climate modelers, seems to think that as long as their models are «science - based» then there is no need to account for uncertainty in their outputs, notwithstanding that the model parameters are tuned with data, and that aspects of these models are likely to be ill posed (highly sensitive to small perturbations in the values assigned to parameters).

«The language of denial: Text analysis reveals differences in language use between climate change proponents and skeptics» «Comment on «Climate Science and the Uncertainty Monster» by J. A. Curry and P. J. Webster» «Guidance note for lead authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on consistent treatment of uncertaintiesclimate change proponents and skeptics» «Comment on «Climate Science and the Uncertainty Monster» by J. A. Curry and P. J. Webster» «Guidance note for lead authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on consistent treatment of uncertaintiesClimate Science and the Uncertainty Monster» by J. A. Curry and P. J. Webster» «Guidance note for lead authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on consistent treatment of uncertainties»

But then came Climategate plus the revelation of IPCC screw - ups and, with them, the growing suspicion that the «science» had been «cooked» — or, at least, that IPCC had understated uncertainties in the attribution of climate change as well as in the projections for the future.

See in particular «Exxon Sowed Doubt About Climate Science for Decades by Stressing Uncertainty,» by David Hasemyer and John H. Cushman Jr., Inside Climate News, October 22, 2015.

Some of the gaps in Chapter 3 on ethical issues raised by climate change policy - making include: (1) ethics of decision - making in the face of scientific uncertainty, (2) whether action or non-action of other nations affects a nation's responsibility for climate change, (3) how to spend limited funds on climate change adaptation, (4) when politicians may rely on their own uninformed opinion about climate change science, and (5) who is responsible to for climate refugees and what are their responsibilities.

The politicization of climate science (due in part to having Gore as the public face for so long) is one of the primary reasons why there is so great public doubt even over the basics (leaving out areas like sensitivity where there are large and real scientific uncertainties).

Further, the corporate - funded campaign to play up uncertainties in climate science, carried out through industry associations like the American Petroleum Institute and front groups like the American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity, has done its part to sow public confusion about the level of consensus in climate science.

For the next decade — as the emerging science was becoming increasingly robust, and as international efforts to curb heat - trapping emissions gained steam and calls for action grew more urgent — the company persisted in emphasizing the lingering uncertainties of climate science and the costs of ambitious policies, the documents shFor the next decade — as the emerging science was becoming increasingly robust, and as international efforts to curb heat - trapping emissions gained steam and calls for action grew more urgent — the company persisted in emphasizing the lingering uncertainties of climate science and the costs of ambitious policies, the documents shfor action grew more urgent — the company persisted in emphasizing the lingering uncertainties of climate science and the costs of ambitious policies, the documents show.

At the same time she complains that there are many uncertainties in climate science not being adequately addressed while the evidence for the certainty of AGW is overwhelming.

One problem with the IPCC's attribution statement illustrated by this statement from a document Lost in Translation: Closing the Gap Between Climate Science and National Security Policy, published by the Center for a New American Security (which I also cited in the Uncertainty Monster paper):

Under mounting pressure from climate catastrophists to ignore uncertainties in the science and to produce definitive statements that can be used as calls for government interventionism, the UN will apparently release a new «warning» this week:

But Mann argues that the paper adds to growing concerns about the «uncertainty» in climate change science being more bad than good for humanity: «We should be taking into account worst - case scenarios when we attempt to gauge the risks posed by climate change.»

He says that, in terms of climate science research, scientists still need to address the remaining uncertainties in the carbon cycle: where and how fast the carbon released into the atmosphere goes, how much stays in the atmosphere, whether there are limits to some natural sinks for carbon and whether there are important new sources of carbon emissions that may be triggered by warming.

He is an expert in climate science, climate policy, and risk and uncertainty analysis for decision making.

Whereas he was saying that the public are too vulnerable to be exposed to discussions about uncertainty in scientific debates with implications for policy, the Guardian journalist — as is Guardian journalists» want — read it as a message that there was no uncertainty or controversy in climate science.

In fact, Exxon's climate science was published in peer - reviewed journals available to the public for decades — and contained the same degree of uncertainty and certainty as government science, but government scientists found ways to mask the uncertainties to suit policy, as the ClimateGate emails revealeIn fact, Exxon's climate science was published in peer - reviewed journals available to the public for decades — and contained the same degree of uncertainty and certainty as government science, but government scientists found ways to mask the uncertainties to suit policy, as the ClimateGate emails revealein peer - reviewed journals available to the public for decades — and contained the same degree of uncertainty and certainty as government science, but government scientists found ways to mask the uncertainties to suit policy, as the ClimateGate emails revealed.

Anthropogenic Climate Change hasn't qualified for years; the science is settled, the effect is real, and the only uncertainty among the folks who actually know their shit is whether we're in for a bad ride or a downright catastrophic one.

In fact they are very spot on how this report was presented, and they clearly laid out the high level of uncertainties and the need for much new detailed climate science research.

It's interesting that you and others here have gone the ad hominem route simply because I call for transparency and honesty about uncertainties in climate science.