Sentences with phrase «uncertainty in forcings other»

Only a few estimates account for uncertainty in forcings other than from aerosols (e.g., Gregory et al., 2002a; Knutti et al., 2002, 2003); some other studies perform some sensitivity testing to assess the effect of forcing uncertainty not accounted for, for example, in natural forcing (e.g., Forest et al., 2006; see Table 9.1 for an overview).

Not exact matches

In other words, does UNCERTAINTY about forward movement in the administration's program start to affect the financial markets and the market's view of the potential for reforms that have been a significant force in both the equity and bond markets since the electioIn other words, does UNCERTAINTY about forward movement in the administration's program start to affect the financial markets and the market's view of the potential for reforms that have been a significant force in both the equity and bond markets since the electioin the administration's program start to affect the financial markets and the market's view of the potential for reforms that have been a significant force in both the equity and bond markets since the electioin both the equity and bond markets since the election?
Important factors that could cause our actual results and financial condition to differ materially from those indicated in the forward - looking statements include, among others, the following: our ability to successfully and profitably market our products and services; the acceptance of our products and services by patients and healthcare providers; our ability to meet demand for our products and services; the willingness of health insurance companies and other payers to cover Cologuard and adequately reimburse us for our performance of the Cologuard test; the amount and nature of competition from other cancer screening and diagnostic products and services; the effects of the adoption, modification or repeal of any healthcare reform law, rule, order, interpretation or policy; the effects of changes in pricing, coverage and reimbursement for our products and services, including without limitation as a result of the Protecting Access to Medicare Act of 2014; recommendations, guidelines and quality metrics issued by various organizations such as the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force, the American Cancer Society, and the National Committee for Quality Assurance regarding cancer screening or our products and services; our ability to successfully develop new products and services; our success establishing and maintaining collaborative, licensing and supplier arrangements; our ability to maintain regulatory approvals and comply with applicable regulations; and the other risks and uncertainties described in the Risk Factors and in Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations sections of our most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10 - K and our subsequently filed Quarterly Reports on Form 10 - Q.
That discomfort left some uncertainty as to how closely the new White House - aligned mobilization in the states would coordinate its grass - roots efforts with those of unions and other liberal groups that are planning to mobilize their forces ahead of the negotiations.
In addition, a wide range of forcing schemes designed to span the approximate range of uncertainties associated with anthropogenic climate forcing estimates were generated and implemented in order to assess what differences in effects exist between the «best guess» counter-anthropogenic geoengineering forcing scheme and other plausible schemeIn addition, a wide range of forcing schemes designed to span the approximate range of uncertainties associated with anthropogenic climate forcing estimates were generated and implemented in order to assess what differences in effects exist between the «best guess» counter-anthropogenic geoengineering forcing scheme and other plausible schemein order to assess what differences in effects exist between the «best guess» counter-anthropogenic geoengineering forcing scheme and other plausible schemein effects exist between the «best guess» counter-anthropogenic geoengineering forcing scheme and other plausible schemes.
Uncertainties in non-CO2 forcings concern principally solar, aerosol and other GHG forcings.
The assessment based on these results typically takes into account the number of studies, the extent to which there is consensus among studies on the significance of detection results, the extent to which there is consensus on the consistency between the observed change and the change expected from forcing, the degree of consistency with other types of evidence, the extent to which known uncertainties are accounted for in and between studies, and whether there might be other physically plausible explanations for the given climate change.
Modelling uncertainty currently is such that in some climate models, this amount of freshwater (without any other forcing) would shut down deep water formation, in some it wouldn't.
In other words, it is possible that the the climate system does exhibit some kind of long - term chaos in some circumstances, but that the forcing is strong enough to wipe out any significant uncertainty due to initial conditions — at least if one is content to forecast statistical quantities such as, for example, decadal mean January temperatures in some suitably large region, or perhaps temperature variances or quartiles taken over a similar perioIn other words, it is possible that the the climate system does exhibit some kind of long - term chaos in some circumstances, but that the forcing is strong enough to wipe out any significant uncertainty due to initial conditions — at least if one is content to forecast statistical quantities such as, for example, decadal mean January temperatures in some suitably large region, or perhaps temperature variances or quartiles taken over a similar perioin some circumstances, but that the forcing is strong enough to wipe out any significant uncertainty due to initial conditions — at least if one is content to forecast statistical quantities such as, for example, decadal mean January temperatures in some suitably large region, or perhaps temperature variances or quartiles taken over a similar perioin some suitably large region, or perhaps temperature variances or quartiles taken over a similar period.
If she accepts that attribution is amenable to quantitative analysis using some kind of model (doesn't have to be a GCM), I don't get why she doesn't accept that the numbers are going to be different for different time periods and have varying degrees of uncertainty depending on how good the forcing data is and what other factors can be brought in.
However, the dominance of well - mixed greenhouse gases on the anthropogenic forcing over the last few decades is robust to almost any estimate of the uncertainty in the other forcings.
There is the possibility that the relative importance of CO2 as a climate forcer increases as it transcends the other controllers of Earth's energy balance (some of which may be masked more in ice age studies — like uncertainties around the amount of ice age aerosol climate forcing, ice age thermohaline stability and as always insolation differences throughout the Pleistocene).
On the other hand, if this error, + / - 4, represented the derivative of the cloud forcing with respect to time, then, yes, the total cloud forcing uncertainty would grow over time and without bound, just like how, in the example above, the uncertainty in the derivative of distance - traveled caused the uncertainty in distance - traveled to grow over time without bound.
However, for several reasons, there is still a significant uncertainty in the climate sensitivity parameter, which relates greenhouse gas concentration (or other forcings) to steady - state temperature.
Previous large natural oscillations are important to examine: however, 1) our data isn't as good with regards to external forcings or to historical temperatures, making attribution more difficult, 2) to the extent that we have solar and volcanic data, and paleoclimate temperature records, they are indeed fairly consistent with each other within their respective uncertainties, and 3) most mechanisms of internal variability would have different fingerprints: eg, shifting of warmth from the oceans to the atmosphere (but we see warming in both), or simultaneous warming of the troposphere and stratosphere, or shifts in global temperature associated with major ocean current shifts which for the most part haven't been seen.
However, the separation of greenhouse gas response from the responses to other external forcing in a multi-fingerprint analysis introduces a small uncertainty, illustrated by small differences in results between three models (Figure 9.21).
In AR4 these mostly offset each other, but AR5 does have central estimates with wide uncertainties that the forcing really is changing faster than that from CO2 alone while the AR4 offsetting is still comfortably within the uncertainty too.
It also means emissions of other GHGs have to be addressed to the extent they really do add 40 % to the CO2 forcing, but the uncertainty is CO2 forcing + 35 % + / - 65 % from aerosols + GHGs in AR5.
In most cases, these range from about 2 to 4.5 C per doubled CO2 within the context of our current climate — with a most likely value between 2 and 3 C. On the other hand, chapter 9 describes attempts ranging far back into paleoclimatology to relate forcings to temperature change, sometimes directly (with all the attendant uncertainties), and more often by adjusting model parameters to determine the climate sensitivity ranges that allow the models to best simulate data from the past — e.g., the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM).
In fact Andrew Dessler and other climate scientists have made this point, that the «instrumental» method uncertainties are too large to tightly constrain climate sensitivity, because of the uncertain aerosol forcing, among othe reasons.
Take a look at the uncertainties on the other forcings in the 4AR.
Planning for the future price of emitting one ton of carbon dioxide can seem like a game of chance, in which electric utilities and other stakeholders are forced to bet on uncertainties.
This scale factor was based on simulations with an early climate model [3,92]; comparable forcings are found in other models (e.g. see discussion in [93]-RRB-, but results depend on cloud representations, assumed ice albedo and other factors; so the uncertainty is difficult to quantify.
Just eyeballing the figures it appears to me you could make up the lost forcing just in the uncertainty alone on the other figures.
Uncertainties in forcings and in climate models» temperature responses to individual forcings and difficulty in distinguishing the patterns of temperature response due to GHGs and other anthropogenic forcings prevent a more precise quantification of the temperature changes attributable to GHGs.
Again, the total forcing is well known, so are the natural and internal variation forcings - meaning that the higher uncertainties in GHGs and other anthropogenic forcings are indeed negatively correlated.
«Coupled with the uncertainty caused by the government proposals to remove from scope whole areas of legal aid provision, those from low income backgrounds who are willing to forego the riches of the City or other sectors such as banking, but equally can not afford to risk indefinite periods of unemployment, will be forced to give up on the idea of pursuing a career in legal aid.»
«The imminent threat of repeal, and the uncertainty of what any replacement will look like has forced Connecticut and states across the country to act immediately to protect against a dangerous void of necessary health care provisions... Over 55 million women now have coverage for birth control and other preventive services without out - of - pocket costs, which saved women $ 1.4 billion on birth control pills alone in 2013.»
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