GIA creates
uncertainty in sea - level reconstructions based on shoreline geological data [65], which could be reduced via appropriately distributed field studies.
Ice losses from Antarctica and Greenland are the largest
uncertainty in sea - level projections.
It is popularly understood that glaciologists consider West Antarctica the biggest source of
uncertainty in sea level projections.
«The primary
uncertainty in sea level rise is what are the ice sheets going to do over the coming century,» said Mathieu Morlighem, an expert in ice sheet modeling at the University of California, Irvine, who led the paper along with dozens of other contributors from institutions around the world.
The authors highlight this with the case of future sea level, as larger
uncertainty in sea level rise requires greater precautionary action to manage flood risk.
Given that
the uncertainties in the sea level budget are on the order of 0.1 mm / year, that implies that the «latent heat» loss to space has to be some many times less than what I first postulated.
«Reassessing biases and other
uncertainties in sea surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850: 1.
Reassessing biases and other
uncertainties in sea - surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850, part 1: measurement and sampling uncertainties
Reassessing biases and other
uncertainties in sea - surface temperature observations since 1850 part 1: measurement and sampling errors.
Not exact matches
«
In a
sea of global political
uncertainty,» says David Rosenberg, Chief Economist and Strategist with Gluskin
«
In a sea of global political uncertainty,» says David Rosenberg, Chief Economist and Strategist with Gluskin Sheff in Toronto, «Canada stands out as a bastion of stability.&raqu
In a
sea of global political
uncertainty,» says David Rosenberg, Chief Economist and Strategist with Gluskin Sheff
in Toronto, «Canada stands out as a bastion of stability.&raqu
in Toronto, «Canada stands out as a bastion of stability.»
Rather than setting us loose
in a
sea of
uncertainty and relativism, the Bible becomes a book which spurs imagination, dialogue, critical thinking, discernment, reason, intelligence, compassion, justice, and mercy.
The veiled hostility of Parthia, the irruption of Scythian tribes into central Asia, the great length and the
uncertainty of the land routes, and the enormous expenses incurred
in bringing wares through desert routes of Arabia — all these conditions influenced the Romans towards using as far as possible the route through the Red
Sea.
Do not such ideas leave us floundering
in a
sea of
uncertainty?
Using a representative sample of 20 different methods for predicting extreme
sea levels the researchers focused intensely on the measures of
uncertainty that accompany any prediction, but that are particularly vexing
in the analysis of extremes.
«Ice loss from this part of West Antarctica is already making a significant contribution to
sea - level rise — around 1 mm per decade, and is actually one of the largest
uncertainties in global
sea - level rise predictions.
Rising
sea levels are certain
in a warming world, but there is still substantial
uncertainty about the extent of the increase
in this century, mainly because the dynamics that could erode the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica remain poorly understood.
Uncertainty about rain, little uncertainty about sea level rise Climate change could also affect precipitation in California, though the two models USGS used in its research produced differe
Uncertainty about rain, little
uncertainty about sea level rise Climate change could also affect precipitation in California, though the two models USGS used in its research produced differe
uncertainty about
sea level rise Climate change could also affect precipitation
in California, though the two models USGS used
in its research produced different results.
The Exeter and Greenpeace research team say there are «many questions and
uncertainties» around seabed mining, including legal issues and the difficulties of predicting the scale and extent of impacts
in advance, and of monitoring and regulating mining activity once it takes place
in the deep
sea.
«We've recently concluded that there's not much doubt or cause for concern over produced - water discharges
in Norway's North
Sea sector today, although some
uncertainty remains,» says Sanni.
«The tide gauge measurements are essential for determining the
uncertainty in the GMSL (global mean
sea level) acceleration estimate,» said co-author Gary Mitchum, USF College of Marine Science.
Ocean iron fertilization: Moving forward
in a
sea of
uncertainty.
Professor Kopp's research focuses on understanding
uncertainty in past and future climate change, with major emphases on
sea - level change and on the interactions between physical climate change and the economy.
Kevin We're really struggled about explaining
uncertainty to policy makers
in simple language (particularly when we mention the different percentiles of
uncertainty is
sea - level rise).
Uncertainty over the future behaviour of Pine Island Glacier
in West Antarctica is one of the largest constraints on accurately predicting future
sea level rise16.
Yet, like the elusiveness of the pot of gold at the end of a rainbow, Thomas's hopes for happiness seem beyond his grasp after an unexpected tragedy leaves him adrift
in a
sea of
uncertainty.
The feeling that springs up when looking out over the
sea of games currently scheduled to land
in 2018 is
uncertainty.
However, the excitement soon whizzed out as a year down the line, the nation seems to be wading through a
sea of
uncertainty that has put a question mark on the very future of electronic books or that of the publishing industry
in Australia.
Comparing current global conditions to the turmoil that followed each of the World Wars, he has said the international exhibition is a response to economic, political and social crises, including «a humanitarian catastrophe on the high
seas, deserts, and borderlands, as immigrants, refugees, and desperate peoples seek refuge
in seemingly calmer and prosperous lands,» and the
uncertainty and insecurity that accompanies such desperate disorder.
Since the rate of the
sea level raising is around 1 inch a year
in sort of a «bursts» — the long - term will definitely be the one who poses less
uncertainties, unlike the short - term.
Unfortunately for policymakers and the public, while the basic science pointing to a rising human influence on climate is clear, many of the most important questions will remain surrounded by deep complexity and
uncertainty for a long time to come: the pace at which
seas will rise, the extent of warming from a certain buildup of greenhouse gases (climate sensitivity), the impact on hurricanes, the particular effects
in particular places (what global warming means for Addis Ababa or Atlanta).
Kevin We're really struggled about explaining
uncertainty to policy makers
in simple language (particularly when we mention the different percentiles of
uncertainty is
sea - level rise).
A study on the regional differences
in sea - level rise: A scaling approach to project regional
sea level rise and its
uncertainties
I suppose that if all
uncertainties are resolved
in the direction of lower risk, we just might get away with BAU for the next few decades without a complete disaster (though continued
sea level rise, ocean acidification and 2 degrees Celsius actually sound pretty risky to me, and the risk that there are other factors
in play seems to be reinforced by paleo data on glacial - interglacial transitions).
«This
uncertainty is illustrated by Pollard et al. (2015), who found that addition of hydro - fracturing and cliff failure into their ice sheet model increased simulated
sea level rise from 2 m to 17 m,
in response to only 2 °C ocean warming and accelerated the time for substantial change from several centuries to several decades.»
I can measure the height of my desk above the floor easily to within a couple of millimeters, even if I have a one - meter
uncertainty in its absolute height above
sea level.
Periods that are of possibly the most interest for testing sensitivities associated with
uncertainties in future projections are the mid-Holocene (for tropical rainfall,
sea ice), the 8.2 kyr event (for the ocean thermohaline circulation), the last two millennia (for decadal / multi-decadal variability), the last interglacial (for ice sheets /
sea level) etc..
First, there is still a lot of
uncertainty about the extent and pace of warming from a particular rise
in concentrations of greenhouse gases, and about how fast and far
seas will rise as a result.
Other factors also contribute to smoothing the proxy temperature signals contained
in many of the records we used, such as organisms burrowing through deep -
sea mud, and chronological
uncertainties in the proxy records that tend to smooth the signals when compositing them into a globally averaged reconstruction.
I further discount the 0.04 W / m ^ 2 (atmosphere and land and melted
sea ice and land ice) mentioned
in your research article as relatively minor given known
uncertainties.
This is remarkable
in a number of ways — first, these are the highest estimates of
sea level rise by 2100 that has been published
in the literature to date, and secondly, while they don't take into account the full
uncertainty in other aspects of
sea level rise considered by IPCC, their numbers are significantly higher
in any case.
Koenig's careful description of the science and the
uncertainty about what the future holds prompted a public spanking from the Center for American Progress climate blogger Joe Romm, who charged her with «scientific reticence» — alluding to NASA scientist James Hansen's paper criticizing
sea - level researchers for being overly cautious
in 2007 conclusions about the possible rate of
sea rise
in this century.
It is argued that
uncertainty, differences and errors
in sea ice model forcing sets complicate the use of models to determine the exact causes of the recently reported decline
in Arctic
sea ice thickness, but help
in the determination of robust features if the models are tuned appropriately against observations.
In terms of the future evolution of climate change: So much now depends on the what happens in the Arctic and whilst there remains uncertainty as to what is next in terms of the sea ice there is a consequent uncertainty in it's secondary impact
In terms of the future evolution of climate change: So much now depends on the what happens
in the Arctic and whilst there remains uncertainty as to what is next in terms of the sea ice there is a consequent uncertainty in it's secondary impact
in the Arctic and whilst there remains
uncertainty as to what is next
in terms of the sea ice there is a consequent uncertainty in it's secondary impact
in terms of the
sea ice there is a consequent
uncertainty in it's secondary impact
in it's secondary impacts.
pg xiii This Policymakers Summary aims to bring out those elements of the main report which have the greatest relevance to policy formulation,
in answering the following questions • What factors determine global climate 7 • What are the greenhouse gases, and how and why are they increasing 9 • Which gases are the most important 9 • How much do we expect the climate to change 9 • How much confidence do we have
in our predictions 9 • Will the climate of the future be very different 9 • Have human activities already begun to change global climate 9 How much will
sea level rise 9 • What will be the effects on ecosystems 9 • What should be done to reduce
uncertainties, and how long will this take 9 This report is intended to respond to the practical needs of the policymaker.
[Response: No, unfortunately for all of us, the 50 - 50 chance only includes
uncertainties in «fast» feedbacks like clouds and
sea ice.
While the overall opinion of the panel was that WAIS most likely will not collapse
in the next few centuries, their
uncertainty retains a 5 % probability of WAIS causing
sea level rise at least 10 mm / year within 200 years.»
When you discuss possible
sea level rise, it's only fair to refer to the prevailing
uncertainties e.g.
in water cycle, whether
sea levels will rise or FALL.
Over the short time scales considered, the model
uncertainty is larger than the
uncertainty coming from the choice of emission scenario; for
sea level it completely dominates the
uncertainty (see e.g. the graphs
in our Science paper).
Another Nobel laureate
in economics, Thomas Schelling, wrote recently that «In responding to such uncertainty [about future warming and sea level rises], we should neither wait until the uncertainty has been completely resolved before we take action nor act as if it's certain until we have assurance that there's no danger.&raqu
in economics, Thomas Schelling, wrote recently that «
In responding to such uncertainty [about future warming and sea level rises], we should neither wait until the uncertainty has been completely resolved before we take action nor act as if it's certain until we have assurance that there's no danger.&raqu
In responding to such
uncertainty [about future warming and
sea level rises], we should neither wait until the
uncertainty has been completely resolved before we take action nor act as if it's certain until we have assurance that there's no danger.»