Sentences with phrase «uncertainty monster»

Essentially, living with uncertainty monsters means trusting and verifying: no verifiable data, no trust.

The «monster» metaphor is rather misleading, because, as your article makes clear, there seems to be a whole menagerie of uncertainty monsters out there — statistical uncertainty, methodological, uncertainty in the setting of parameters in models etc..

Living with the climate uncertainty monster means to me that we should avoid moving suddenly and unexpectantly that frighten one another, and adopt those very diliberate and visible activities that will get us through the night.

Symptoms of an enraged uncertainty monster include increased levels of confusion, ambiguity, discomfort and doubt.

There is only a small uncertainty monster to wrestle with.

The outline of the paper is this: Introduction (introduces uncertainty monster concept) A brief sidebar Uncertainty lexicon (defining some terms) Uncertainty of climate models (pulls from my earlier threads, mainly what can we learn from climate models?)

There's a big uncertainty monster in it.

«Scientists unmask the climate uncertainty monster.»

I don't really understand Prof. Curry's continued problem with the form of probabilistic statements made by the IPCC, c.f. the «Uncertainty Monster» paper (the monster turns out to be something like an ewok).

Let's compute the warming rate using each 30 - year segment of the Berkeley data, together with the estimated uncertainty in that rate, using an ARMA (1,1) model for the noise just to feed the «uncertainty monster.»

by Judith Curry My paper «Climate Science and the Uncertainty Monster» is in press at the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Joshua, you will of course never get it but part of the uncertainty monster is the confounding factors.