Sentences with phrase «uncertainty of climate»

The long - term nature and uncertainty of climate change and its driving forces require scenarios that extend to the end of the 21st century.
«But integrated assessment modelers never model feedback between the amount of climate change and economic growth,» write the authors, «and would have an extremely difficult time doing so if they tried,» given the uncertainty of climate impacts.
In 20 years of this work the uncertainty of climate sensitivity has hardly changed.
The effect of CO2 on climate and temperatures is largely unknown, as for 38 years we have not advanced in constraining the uncertainty of its climate sensitivity.
Dr Otto concludes: «At a crucial time for climate negotiations, the proposed index offers a transparent and accountable method of evaluating climate policies that deals with the remaining uncertainty of the climate response, which has so far had a paralysing effect on climate change policies.»
This large spread in the predictions reflects the current diversity in the formulation of physics and initial conditions in the various models used, but also inherent uncertainty of the climate system.
Because this is a log - log scale, it is somewhat difficult to eyeball this, and one might argue that this is all within the range of uncertainty of the climate models and the climate models and observations agree «ok.»
Spanning that full range is important in being able to properly sample the uncertainty of the climate as it applies in an impacts context.
(Here is another person in your institution who is interested in uncertainty of climate prediction — though I do not work on it but just want to use such information.)
If you set goals in terms of global average temperature, then you need to feed that through the uncertainty of climate sensitivity to get the concentration of greenhouse gases — not just carbon dioxide, but the whole range of greenhouse gases.
In the midst of the «mad crowd» in New York City attending the People's Climate March, sober people are trying to figure out ways to broaden the policy debate on climate change and do a better job of characterizing the uncertainty of climate change (both the science itself and the media portrayal of the science).
In 1998 Jeffrey Salmon, then executive director of GMI, helped develop the American Petroleum Institute «s strategy of stressing the uncertainty of climate science.
Developing countries often have less capacity and resources to reduce emissions, adapt to climate impacts, and manage the uncertainty of climate risk, whilst they are confronted with pressing development challenges.
Can you say if this work changes our understanding of the central estimate or uncertainty of climate sensitivity?
The outputs of climate models aren't samples of a population, except to the extent they are samples of the uncertainty of climate modellers, and hence a measure of the lack of consensus among them.
The lawsuits cite this as evidence that the GCC and its members had «admitted internally» that their public statements about the uncertainty of climate change were «invalid.»
Unfortunately, there are many factors that preclude an effective bound on the risks — ranging from uncertainties in downscaling to more fundamental issues such as the uncertainty of climate sensitivity.
But the problem is precisely the uncertainty of this climate sensitivity, either empirically or theoretically defined.
My immediate objections are not as much about the uncertainty of the climate forecast but mostly about the economic uncertainty and attainability of the stated goals.
There seems to be an overemphasis on the uncertainty of climate modeling, attacks on climate science, and op - ed pieces that distort science and use sensationalist rhetoric and wild conspiracy theories.
A distinguished climate scientist ignores the uncertainty of climate science and assumes facts which have not been established according to the scientific consensus.
While this water may not be critically important to us today, we do not know what our needs will be in 50 years, especially with the uncertainties of climate change.
However, the lack of data and the uncertainties of climate change make any estimate feel like a rough guess.
Clouds and their role in keeping the Earth's surface cool by reflecting sunlight back into space have been one of the biggest uncertainties of climate change science.
As Exxon worked to reduce the uncertainties of climate science, its employees developed a sophisticated understanding of the potential effects of rising CO2 concentrations, documents show.
scientists understand the uncertainties of climate..
Policy implications are not limited by the uncertainties of climate science itself, they are more limited for other reasons: uncertainties in actual impacts and most importantly uncertainties in the actual outcomes of any specific policy decision.
Some of that 97 per cent are genuinely grappling with the uncertainties of climate science, usually in very focused, specific areas.
Once such an IPCC exposition of the assumptions, complications and uncertainties of climate models was constructed and made public, it would immediately have to lead, in my view, to more questions from the informed public such as what does calculating a mean global temperature change mean to individuals who have to deal with local conditions and not a global average and what are the assumptions, complications and uncertainties that the models contain when it comes to determining the detrimental and beneficial effects of a «global» warming in localized areas of the globe.
Moreover, by applying the term «denial» (with all its loaded undertones) to sceptical scientists; by referring to them inaccurately as «well funded» by the oil industry; and by likening those who stress the uncertainties of climate science to unprincipled lobbyists for tobacco companies, Lord May enters on the field of personal vilification — not a suitable place for a distinguished former President of the Royal Society.
For the next decade — as the emerging science was becoming increasingly robust, and as international efforts to curb heat - trapping emissions gained steam and calls for action grew more urgent — the company persisted in emphasizing the lingering uncertainties of climate science and the costs of ambitious policies, the documents show.
Koonin spends too much space in listing uncertainties of climate science.
-LSB-...] I've proposed an action approach that makes discussion of the uncertainties of climate science irrelevant.
The estimates and stated uncertainties of climate sensitivity have changed only little over decades.
«The uncertainties of the climate models have not been studied sufficiently at all, and the established science tries to keep quiet about this situation in public.»
As Exxon worked to reduce the uncertainties of climate science, its employees developed a sophisticated understanding of the potential effects of rising CO2 concentrations, documents show.

Not exact matches

Despite this and other authoritative warnings about the dangers of climate change, Mr. Pruitt persists in pointing to uncertainty about the precise extent of humanity's contribution to the problem as a basis for resisting taking any regulatory action to help solve it.
While regional differences reveal a mix of threats that concern CEOs, they share a common increasing worry about broader societal developments — geopolitical uncertainty, terrorism, and climate change — rather than direct business risks such as changing consumer behaviour or new market entrants.
By Joachim Marc Christensen The election of self - proclaimed climate change skeptic Donald Trump as the next US president has sparked uncertainty regarding the future of our climate.
As the Climate Science Special Report states, the magnitude of future climate change depends significantly on «remaining uncertainty in the sensitivity of Earth's climate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a staClimate Science Special Report states, the magnitude of future climate change depends significantly on «remaining uncertainty in the sensitivity of Earth's climate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a staclimate change depends significantly on «remaining uncertainty in the sensitivity of Earth's climate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a staclimate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a statement.
The overall climate, however, is one of heightened uncertainty.
And yet, when we compare the current climate with that of just a year ago, it is clear that uncertainty has diminished.
Even just uncertainty over future tax hikes can be enough to drive investment out of the state toward a more investment - friendly, fiscally sound climate.
These factors — many of which are beyond our control and the effects of which can be difficult to predict — include: credit, market, liquidity and funding, insurance, operational, regulatory compliance, strategic, reputation, legal and regulatory environment, competitive and systemic risks and other risks discussed in the risk sections of our 2017 Annual Report; including global uncertainty and volatility, elevated Canadian housing prices and household indebtedness, information technology and cyber risk, regulatory change, technological innovation and new entrants, global environmental policy and climate change, changes in consumer behavior, the end of quantitative easing, the business and economic conditions in the geographic regions in which we operate, the effects of changes in government fiscal, monetary and other policies, tax risk and transparency and environmental and social risk.
Air France's move comes amid international uncertainty over whether U.S. President Donald Trump will pull out of a nuclear deal with Iran, although the spokeswoman said the decision was not linked to the political climate with Iran.
«A full reading of Bernstein's email reveals an important point ---- his assertion that, in the 1980s, we never denied the possible role of human activity as a cause for climate change, and he further makes clear that, at that point in time, there was a great deal of uncertainty and lack of understanding of climate change, even among leading scientists and experts,» said Keil, adding that today, Exxon «believes the risk of climate change is clear, and warrants action.»
The co-chair of the working group responsible for the report, climate scientist Chris Field, spoke repeatedly and eloquently about the need, in the face of uncertainty, to weigh up the risks of possible outcomes.
Clearly there is a balance to strike between doom - ridden messages and «bright - side» opportunities, and uncertainties around the science and the expected effects of climate change must be factored in too.
The EPA last night sent employees a list of eight approved talking points on climate change from its Office of Public Affairs — guidelines that promote a message of uncertainty about climate science and gloss over proposed cuts to key adaptation programs.
«In an interview with the Observer, Ed Davey describes a «Tea Party tendency» among Conservative MPs who question climate change and green investment as «perverse», and says it is creating deep uncertainty for an industry that could do much to help lift the country out of the economic doldrums.»
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