They are not trying to accurately predict the future, but rather provide a range of possible outcomes based on
the uncertainty of human actions.
Not exact matches
This is a familiar dodge - emphasizing
uncertainty about the precise amount
of humanity's contribution while ignoring the broad scientific consensus that
human activities are largely responsible for dangerous warming
of our planet and that
action is urgently needed before it is too late.
«A full reading
of Bernstein's email reveals an important point ---- his assertion that, in the 1980s, we never denied the possible role
of human activity as a cause for climate change, and he further makes clear that, at that point in time, there was a great deal
of uncertainty and lack
of understanding
of climate change, even among leading scientists and experts,» said Keil, adding that today, Exxon «believes the risk
of climate change is clear, and warrants
action.»
This is part
of what it means to think politically, because politics is about
action in a realm
of uncertainty; politics is about
human choice, but these choices are not infinite.
In
humans and other primates, self - directed displacement behaviors often take the form
of self - grooming
actions, such as head scratching or beard stroking, which indicate anxiety related to
uncertainty, social tension or impending danger.
However, any effort at assessing climate impacts on agriculture faces multiple levels
of uncertainty, including
uncertainty that a) accompanies all climate projections, b) is specific to agricultural projections, and c) is created by adaptive
actions (
human interventions) that can mask a direct climate signal.
These revisions are one example
of a strategy we saw Carson use consistently: Add
uncertainty at the level
of ignorance to destabilize the science, then articulate the harms, hazards, or consequences behind our current
actions, and drive it home with a visceral image
of risk (which she does in this example through images
of liver damage, the accumulation
of DDT in milk and butter, and the ability
of toxic chemicals to pass to breast - fed
human infants, and to a fetus in utero).
One
of the joys
of the Anthropocene is that since
human actions create
uncertainty, there is no certain way forward.
And it was recognized those
actions were a crap shoot (Where good science and policy goes bad: de-salinization plants in Oz rather than managing episodic flooding, drilling 20,000 ′ below a seafloor 5,000 ′ under a precious biosphere to seek oil that is abundantl available on dry land, for examples), but can anyone name a project
of doubt on the scale
of this one where unspeakable trillions are to be spent, redistributed, productivity disincentized, where people's lives across the world will be thrown into
uncertainty, where this trans - generational mindset will, by design, crush the willful and spirited energy and creativity
of human kind until it is finally overthrown democratically or otherwise?
If a nation emitting high levels
of ghgs refuses to reduce its emissions to its fair share
of safe global emissions on the basis that there is too much scientific
uncertainty to warrant
action, if it turns out that
human - induced climate change actually greatly harms the health and ecological systems on which life depends for tens
of millions
of others, should that nation be responsible for the harms that could have been avoided if preventative
action had been taken earlier?
The University
of Earth, Urgent
Action Series: COP 21 Paris 2015: Dr Georg Kaser
of Innsbruck University, an expert in glaciers and global warming, explains the
uncertainty calculation, a scientific tool needed to gather reliable results, and anthropogenic forcing, which is a change in the Earth's energy balance due to
human economic activities.
Given that for over 20 years since international climate change negotiations began, the United States has refused to commit to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions based upon the justification that there is too much scientific
uncertainty to warrant
action, if it turns out that
human - induced climate change actually greatly harms the health and ecological systems on which life depends
of others, should the United States be responsible for the harms that could have been avoided if preventative
action had been taken earlier?
Both the Hubbert model (s) and IPCC scenarios suffer from the
uncertainty introduced by the unpredictability
of future
human actions, and socioeconomic forecasting even more so.