Sentences with phrase «uncertainty surrounding climate»

The blue line plots the mean carbon budget (across the 1000 samples) as a function of the uncertainty surrounding climate sensitivity (for this demonstration, climate sensitivity is expressed in units of KW - 1 m2, with a mean of.741 and variance as shown in the figure above.

I again assumed that the uncertainty surrounding climate sensitivity has a fat - tailed lognormal distribution (cf. Roe & Baker, 2007).

Optimal decision making strategies are arguably a mismatch for the climate change problem owing to the deep uncertainty surrounding climate sensitivity, among other sources of uncertainty.

But of course the pace of the temperature trend also depends on the global future emissions outlook and on remaining uncertainties surrounding climate sensitivity — or the politically most relevant metric «Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity» (ECS), the amount of warming expected on a decades timescale after doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concentration.

Because whatever the uncertainties surrounding climate prediction, the fundamental science is pretty clear.

In this way, EPA both expedited its task by using «ready made» external reports, and avoided any real discussion of the many scientific uncertainties surrounding climate change.

I guess all I am saying is that until «climate science» has a good handle on the uncertainties surrounding the climate impact of clouds as well as possibly related other natural variability or forcing, it does not know enough to make any meaningful projections for the future, and should, therefore, refrain from doing so.

Not exact matches

With the uncertainty surrounding new U.S. energy and climate policy, China has a once - in - a-lifetime chance to move its policy positions forward — and it will, despite some disturbing signals from Beijing.

Much of the uncertainty surrounding clouds» effect on climate stems from the complexity of cloud formation.

«Studying the PETM helps us understand the mechanisms that aid recovery from global warming, thereby helping researchers reduce the uncertainties surrounding the Earth's response to global climate change,» Ridgwell said.

As acknowledged in an Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics report on climate change scenarios, also released on Monday, there are still considerable scientific uncertainties surrounding the nature and extent of future climate change.

With the climate of uncertainty that inevitably surrounds such processes of reform, it is important now more than ever, that we ensure that there are highly qualified teachers in the classroom.

«Exactly what we need in the current climate of fear and uncertainty surrounding Ofsted - more dawn raids and surprise visits,» he said.

Unfortunately for policymakers and the public, while the basic science pointing to a rising human influence on climate is clear, many of the most important questions will remain surrounded by deep complexity and uncertainty for a long time to come: the pace at which seas will rise, the extent of warming from a certain buildup of greenhouse gases (climate sensitivity), the impact on hurricanes, the particular effects in particular places (what global warming means for Addis Ababa or Atlanta).

As I've been saying for a long time now, the aspects of human - driven climate change that matter most to society — the pace and extent of warming and sea - level rise, for instance — are surrounded by durable and (un-manufactured) uncertainty.

Schneider's approach to climate policy, comes up during a discussion of the enduring uncertainty surrounding the most consequential aspects of global warming, particularly the near - term rate at which sea levels will rise as ice sheets melt and seawater warms.

My goal in creating the image (a larger version is here) was to distinguish elements in the science pointing to greenhouse - driven climate change that are clearcut from those surrounded by deep and enduring uncertainty.

Given the uncertainties and compromises surrounding temperature measurement and the definition of a «global average» I wonder if temperature is the best indicator of climate trend.

But this tactic can backfire if a story downplays the uncertainties surrounding unusual climate events or if it portrays everything unusual in the world today as driven by human - caused warming.

Gary Yohe, an environmental economist at Wesleyan University, is one of a large group of veteran students of the climate - energy challenge who say the persistent uncertainties surrounding human - driven warming are the reason to act, to act promptly, and to include a rising price on emissions of greenhouse gases in any policy mix.

There is a large amount of uncertainty surrounding many aspects of climate science and they need to be nailed down more precisely.

Given the uncertainties surrounding the science of climate change, the minuscule impact of the suggested remedies, and the high cost of proposed regulations, now is a good time to step back from precipitous actions and exaggerated rhetoric.

«Many of the uncertainties surrounding the causes of climate change will never be resolved because the necessary data are lacking.

To address the scientific, cultural, health, and social issues arising from climate change requires an in - depth and cross-disciplinary analysis of the role of uncertainty in all of the three principal systems involved: The physical climate system, people's cognitive system and how that construes and potentially distorts the effects of uncertainty, and the social systems underlying the political and public debates surrounding climate change.

Policy uncertainty within government surrounding climate change complicates efforts by carbon - intensive companies to develop a long - term strategy.

Moreover, significant uncertainty presently surrounds the spatial and temporal response of numerous climate and ecological parameters to SWCE, making the near - term deployment of large - scale SWCE extraordinarily risky.

Complexity of the climate system and uncertainty surrounding input data preclude extremely accurate predictions, but they are not incompatible with an ability to approximate real world outcomes within a range narrow enough to justify future planning on the basis of reasonable probabilities.

It's good that you're looking so closely at the huge uncertainties that surround such an important part of the climate change narrative.

Steve, if I thought the climate presented a problem, I would be interested in reducing the uncertainties surrounding that problem.

Corruption risks are also high because of the level of complexity, uncertainty and novelty that surrounds many climate issues.

«It is very concerning that scientific disagreement, uncertainty and a complex policy debate surrounding climate change are apparently seeding what seems to be a wave of eco-terrorism...»

Robert Lempert characterizes the decision making environment surrounding climate change as one of deep uncertainty, owing to long time horizons, substantial uncertainty in our understanding of the climate system, and the potential for surprises.

Fifth, the uncertainty that surrounds climate change is very great.

Collectively and pursuant to statutory authority, under the direction of these Executive Offices, the USGCRP directed an effort statutorily dedicated in part to studying the state of the science and its uncertainties surrounding the theory of «global warming» or «climate change,» ultimately producing the National Assessment.

It attempts to surround the hard facts about climate change with clouds of uncertainty, even though these facts are agreed to by the scientific academies of every major country in the world and the vast majority of the world's climate scientists.»

«Subsidy reform can lead to a more efficient allocation of resources, which will help spur higher economic growth over the longer term,» the IMF says — a strong argument in the ongoing climate of economic uncertainty that surrounds us.

Of course, uncertainty surrounding expected damages is highly relevant because it must be taken into account when assessing the total expected risk from climate change.

While there still is quite a bit of uncertainty surrounding the effects of the PDO on Earth's climate, the U.K. Met Office says that «decadal variability in the Pacific Ocean may have played a substantial role in the recent pause in global surface temperature rise.»

Given our uncertainty and ignorance surrounding climate sensitivity, I have discussed the problems with attempting probabilistic estimates of climate sensitivity, and to create a pdf (see this previous post Probabilistic estimates of climate sensitivity).

I have argued previously that the uncertainty surrounding future climates is best characterized by scenario uncertainty, in the sense of modal logic whereby individual model simulations should be regarded as a modal statement of possibility:

The representation of cloud processes in global atmospheric models has been recognized for decades as the source of much of the uncertainty surrounding predictions of climate variability.

This post addresses uncertainty and risk, and compares the climate change issue to policy issues surrounding nuclear waste disposal in Yucca Mountain.

There are significant risks, uncertainties, and challenges surrounding most carbon removal solutions, but these risks are similar in nature and scope to the risks of conventional climate mitigation approaches.

Further, the report dismisses uncertainties surrounding the current carbon cycle modeling and natural climate variability.

Global climate models, driven by a range of emissions scenarios, are used to define the envelope of uncertainty surrounding future climate change (e.g. [1]-RRB-.

There is a lot of uncertainty surrounding insect responses to climate change.

Dr. Curry has emphasized the need for a precise definition of hypotheses relevant to the magnitude of anthropogenic and natural climate change, including an appropriate recognition of the uncertainties surrounding each.

Overall, the synopsis emphasized the positive effects of climate change over the negative, the uncertainty surrounding predictions of future change rather than the emerging consensus and the low end of harmful impact estimates rather than the high end.

«Mounting legal costs, a challenging economic climate, and increased legislative uncertainty surrounding the future of arbitration have prompted the Forum to exit the consumer arbitration arena.