Sentences with phrase «under a warmer climate scenario»

Not exact matches

«Some climate models suggest that under global warming scenarios, ocean oxygen content will decrease,» Johnson says.
Europe is expected to see a considerable increase in flood risk in coming years, even under an optimistic climate change scenario of 1.5 °C warming compared to pre-industrial levels.
Australian scientists have discovered many tropical, mountaintop plants won't survive global warming, even under the best - case climate scenario.
As can be seen your graph, our climate models make a wide range of predictions (perhaps 0.5 - 5 degC, a 10-fold uncertainty) about how much «committed warming» will occur in the future under any stabilization scenario, so we don't seem to have a decent understanding of these processes.
The study examines permafrost carbon emissions in various climate models and under different scenarios, finding that the extra boost to warming from thawing permafrost could be 0.2 - 12 % of the change in global mean temperature.
The team also have a separate project, called Climate feedbacks from wetlands and permafrost thaw in a warming world (CLIFFTOP), which aims to quantity the amount of methane likely to be released from thawing permafrost methane emissions under 1.5 C and 2C scenarios.
Accurate answers to this question are subject to data constraints, as neither of the available projection datasets under future climate change scenarios is designed for a 1.5 / 2 °C temperature warming levels.
That 0.1 to 0.2 degrees Celsius over the next two decades represents the warming ONLY for the IS92a scenario (under different climate sensitivities).
Using a recently developed hurricane synthesizer driven by large - scale meteorological variables derived from global climate models, 1000 artificial 100 - yr time series of Atlantic hurricanes that make landfall along the U.S. Gulf and East Coasts are generated for four climate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate models, 1000 artificial 100 - yr time series of Atlantic hurricanes that make landfall along the U.S. Gulf and East Coasts are generated for four climate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarClimate Change (IPCC) emissions scenario A1b.
Under a medium global warming scenario, by the 2040s we predict the number of monthly heat records globally to be more than 12 times as high as in a climate with no long - term warming.
The science is clear to me and to most experts in the various fields associated with climate science: Humans are causing most of the observed global warming in the past several decades and, if we continue emitting GHGs under a «business as usual» scenario, it will become increasingly difficult and costly to adapt to the changes that are likely to occur.
[*) That's a really rapid warming under both scenarios, considering the baseline (1961 — 1990, so not «preindustrial») and the used definition of future climate (2070 - 2100)-RSB-.
The chosen scenario assumes Trump's actions could result in the United States only achieving half of its pledged reduction through 2030 under the Paris Agreement on climate change, the worldwide but voluntary pact aiming to avoid dangerous global warming that entered into force on Nov. 4.
«Researchers at Duke University say global warming is not progressing as fast as it would under the most severe scenarios outlined by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.»
The authors also published their own response with Carbon Brief, pointing out that they «present no evidence in our paper to suggest that future CO2 - induced warming under any emissions scenario will be lower than the projections given in AR5 [the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's fifth assessment report]».
In the study, Monier and his co-authors applied the IGSM framework to assess climate impacts under different climate - change scenarios — «Paris Forever,» a scenario in which Paris Agreement pledges are carried out through 2030, and then maintained at that level through 2100; and «2C,» a scenario with a global carbon tax - driven emissions reduction policy designed to cap global warming at 2 degrees Celsius by 2100.
Lam and team used climate models from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to examine the economic impacts of climate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees Cclimate models from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to examine the economic impacts of climate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees CClimate Change to examine the economic impacts of climate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees Cclimate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees Celsius.
Previous climate models have shown that there didn't appear to be much change in annual average precipitation in California or changes were unknown, even under aggressive warming scenarios.
World Health Organization and British government - sponsored global impact studies indicate that, relative to other factors, global warming's impact on key determinants of human and environmental well - being should be small through 2085 even under the warmest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenario.
A new study from researchers at the Oxford Martin School at the University of Oxford has warned that a fifth of current global power plant capacity is at risk of becoming stranded assets under a scenario in which the planet reaches its climate goals of halting warming at 1.5 to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels.
So the report in Nature Climate Change by atmospheric scientist Jianping Huang and colleagues at Lanzhou University in China that under global warming scenarios, drylands are to expand is very bad news for those who are already among the poorest in the world.
In those regions, cereal grain yields are projected to decline under climate change scenarios, across the full range of expected warming... Thus, countries with the lowest incomes may be the hardest hit.»
In the area of climate change, the report highlights the findings of its Emissions Gap Report 2013 — which details the gap between current global emissions and the reduction needed to remain on track to meet the 2 degree Celsius global warming target — and its Africa Adaptation Gap Report, which describes the costs of adaptation measures on the African continent under various global warming scenarios.
The climate scientists have been claiming that we should expect a minimum of 2C warming this century under BAU scenarios, and have been claiming that a 4C or more temperature rise is possible.
The results can give us projections of future global warming under a variety of scenarios, and also give us an estimate of the global climate sensitivity.
Less energy leaving the climate system means warming under almost any scenario you can think of.
Under the 2030 warmer climate scenario, the lifetime is reduced by 4.0 ± 1.8 %: the total effect of both emission and climate changes reduces the CH4 lifetime by only 1.3 %.
In their study, Dim Coumou, from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, and Alexander Robinson, from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, used state - of - the - art climate models to project changes in the trend of heat extremes under two future warming scenarios — RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 — throughout the 21st cClimate Impact Research, and Alexander Robinson, from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, used state - of - the - art climate models to project changes in the trend of heat extremes under two future warming scenarios — RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 — throughout the 21st cclimate models to project changes in the trend of heat extremes under two future warming scenarios — RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 — throughout the 21st century.
The United Nations» Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment report, the first part of which was released in September 2013 along with a Summary for Policymakers, found that «warming of the climate system is unequivocal» and will continue under all greenhouse gas emissions sceClimate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment report, the first part of which was released in September 2013 along with a Summary for Policymakers, found that «warming of the climate system is unequivocal» and will continue under all greenhouse gas emissions sceclimate system is unequivocal» and will continue under all greenhouse gas emissions scenarios.
An alternative approach uses simple climate model projections of global warming under stabilisation to scale AOGCM patterns of climate change assuming unmitigated emissions, and then uses the resulting scenarios to assess regional impacts (e.g., Bakkenes et al., 2006).
The study, which will be published on May 7 in Nature Climate Change, predicts that under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 emissions scenario, better known as the «business as usual scenario,» Marine Protected Areas will warm by 2.8 degrees Celsius (or 5 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100.
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