Sentences with phrase «under future climate change scenarios»

However, we demonstrated that there is specialisation of the coral host to particular reef environments, with each strain of coral host associating only with particular types of symbiotic algae... the results also highlight the lack of connectivity between different habitats on a single reef, such as shallow and deep water, which has important implications under future climate change scenarios, as coral reefs will be largely dependent on neighbouring areas for their recovery.
«The results also highlight the lack of connectivity between different habitats on a single reef, such as shallow and deep water, which has important implications under future climate change scenarios, as coral reefs will be largely dependent on neighbouring areas for their recovery.»
Accurate answers to this question are subject to data constraints, as neither of the available projection datasets under future climate change scenarios is designed for a 1.5 / 2 °C temperature warming levels.
To reach these conclusions, the researchers used simulations from five state - of - the - art climate models to investigate how the characteristics of ARs may change under future climate change scenarios.

Not exact matches

«If we can get a better understanding of the climate in the past, of the consequences of climate change and of how it shaped communities, then we might be able to interpret the future of biodiversity under the current climate change scenario,» says Guénard.
To better plan for potential effects due to climate change, scientists using the North American Breeding Bird Survey and Audubon Christmas Bird Count employed correlative distribution modeling, to assess geographic range shifts for nearly 600 North American bird species during both the breeding and non-breeding seasons under a range of future climate change scenarios through the end of the century.
«Regional changes are mostly due to natural variability but on top of that we see this pronounced overall weakening in summer storm activity,» says co-author Dim Coumou, «This is also something projected by climate models under future emission scenarios.
However, this protective pattern is likely to be lost under near future climate change scenarios.
To get a sense for how this probability, or risk of such a storm, will change in the future, he performed the same analysis, this time embedding the hurricane model within six global climate models, and running each model from the years 2081 to 2100, under a future scenario in which the world's climate changes as a result of unmitigated growth of greenhouse gas emissions.
Finally, due to the mechanistic nature of the climate forcing models, we project historical and future nesting trajectories based on available climate data and under different climate change scenarios.
The Climate Impact Lab's sea - level rise projections use a framework that ties together multiple threads of information to assess the probability of local sea - level changes around the world, under different future emissions scenarios.
«Climate change is likely to have a substantial negative impact on future mortality, even under optimistic scenarios,» Dr Springmann continued.
For the study, the researchers used a set of 10 global climate models to simulate future changes in wind power under a high future emissions scenario (known as RCP8.5) and a moderate emissions scenario (known as RCP4.5).
We then apply these models to project changes in endemic species» range sizes, distribution and diversity under future climate scenarios.
Our models yield projections of future diversity under a range of climate change scenarios (Fig. 1, C through J).
The authors also published their own response with Carbon Brief, pointing out that they «present no evidence in our paper to suggest that future CO2 - induced warming under any emissions scenario will be lower than the projections given in AR5 [the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's fifth assessment report]».
In the paper I examine the relative role of human - caused climate change and development for future damages under a wide range of scenarios.
• The readiness of the nation to predict and avoid public and occupational health problems caused by heat waves and severe storms • Characterization and quantification of relationships between climate variability, health outcomes, and the main determinants of vulnerability within and between populations • Development of reliable methods to connect climate - related changes in food systems and water supplies to health under different conditions • Prediction of future risks in response to climate change scenarios and of reductions in the baseline level of morbidity, mortality, or vulnerability • Identification of the available resources, limitations of, and potential actions by the current U.S. health care system to prevent, prepare for, and respond to climate - related health hazards and to build adaptive capacity among vulnerable segments of the U.S. population
But the findings, in recent studies led by Princeton and Cornell universities, represent an identifiable future cost of climate change under the business - as - usual scenario, in which fossil fuel combustion continues to increase at present rates.
Seven global vegetation models are used to analyze possible responses to future climate simulated by a range of general circulation models run under all four representative concentration pathway scenarios of changing concentrations of greenhouse gases.
Huang, C., A. Gerard Barnett, X. Wang, P. Vaneckova, G. FitzGerald, and S. Tong, 2011: Projecting future heat - related mortality under climate change scenarios: A systematic review.
See: Prof. Roger Pielke Jr.: «An argument that mitigation of ghgs makes sense in terms of decreasing the future costs of extreme events is not a strong one» — «Even under the assumptions of IPCC, Stern Review, etc. the future costs of extreme events under the most aggressive scenarios of climate change actually decrease as a proportion of GDP»
«Climate change is likely to have a substantial negative impact on future mortality, even under optimistic scenarios,» Dr Springmann says.
If forests globally were to become a net source of carbon to the atmosphere in the future — an all - too - plausible scenario under climate change — the EF would approach infinity, since additional forest would augment human carbon emissions rather than offset them.
In their study, Dim Coumou, from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, and Alexander Robinson, from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, used state - of - the - art climate models to project changes in the trend of heat extremes under two future warming scenarios — RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 — throughout the 21st cClimate Impact Research, and Alexander Robinson, from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, used state - of - the - art climate models to project changes in the trend of heat extremes under two future warming scenarios — RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 — throughout the 21st cclimate models to project changes in the trend of heat extremes under two future warming scenarios — RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 — throughout the 21st century.
Topic 3 presents projections of future climate change and related impacts under different scenarios.
The analysis covered (i) historical and future links between climate parameters and tea yields, (ii) a carbon life cycle analysis, (iii) tea management scenarios under climate change using aquacrop model, and (iv) a socio - economic analysis of small holder tea farms and households and their coping options under climate change.
Abstract: An evaluation of analyses sponsored by the predecessor to the U.K. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) of the global impacts of climate change under various mitigation scenarios (including CO2 stabilization at 550 and 750 ppm) coupled with an examination of the relative costs associated with different schemes to either mitigate climate change or reduce vulnerability to various climate - sensitive hazards (namely, malaria, hunger, water shortage, coastal flooding, and losses of global forests and coastal wetlands) indicates that, at least for the next few decades, risks and / or threats associated with these hazards would be lowered much more effectively and economically by reducing current and future vulnerability to those hazards rather than through stabilization.
Say I have data on average precipitation for the last 30 years in the Southwest United States, as well as simulations from 20 different climate models of current and future precipitation in the same region, and I want to know what the expected change in precipitation will be at the end of this century under a specific emissions scenario.
Figure that illustrates projected climate futures under a low emissions (RCP 2.6) and high emissions (RCP 8.5) scenario, along with observed changes in climate change risks.
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