Sentences with phrase «under growth scenario»

If Rudd won't budge from 5 % domestic cuts by 2020 via carbon imposts we could still get that easily by say a 20 % MRET under a no growth scenario.
Under the growth scenario, Prop. 98 funding would rise through 2021 - 22 by $ 12 billion, to $ 87.5 billon, a healthy increase of 16 percent over four years.

Not exact matches

I have gone into this scenario into some detail because I think it is extremely unlikely that China can maintain current growth rates except under very implausible assumptions.
This under appreciated industrials company is benefiting from internal profitability initiatives and external growth drivers, while low profit expectations embedded in the stock price make for an attractive risk / reward scenario.
Under this scenario, growth drops steadily during the economic adjustment period, but in an orderly way for over a decade or more as Beijing slowly gets credit growth under conUnder this scenario, growth drops steadily during the economic adjustment period, but in an orderly way for over a decade or more as Beijing slowly gets credit growth under conunder control.
This is the same criticism made in Stephen Gordon's comments about attributing all job growth over the past eight years to the Conservative government: Much of this growth would have happened under most alternative policy scenarios.
Under that scenario, Social Security, health care, and interest will be responsible for 77 percent of nominal spending growth.
As I have argued before, except under implausible scenarios (at least 2 - 4 % of GDP transferred every year from the state to households) I can not work out arithmetically any meaningful rebalancing process that is consistent with average GDP growth much above 3 - 4 % during President Xi's 2013 - 23 term in office.
A separate discussion paper published by central bank staffers in October 2017 concluded that even under an alternative scenario in which the potential level of growth was ultimately 1 per cent higher than forecast by 2020, the effects on inflation would be «small» and «therefore does not affect the stance of monetary policy.»
Under this scenario, an eventual rise in wage growth would likely be accompanied by a secular rise in realized inflation (inflation expectations would trend with energy prices), and the policy battle onward may resemble that of Paul Volcker instead of Ben Bernanke.
To be sure, correlations can change quickly — especially under a scenario of a downward jolt to growth expectations.
«We see the market for natural flake graphite hitting more than 900,000 tonnes by 2020, so under almost any scenario we are positive about that demand profile growth,» he said.
Figure 5 shows R&D spending growth under a few additional paths (along with the 2.5 percent annual R&D growth suggested by the alternate CBO scenario).
Under the limited scenario, «the difference in demand growth is substantial, profound.»
Using results from simulations conducted using an ensemble of sophisticated models, Ricke, Caldeira, and their co-authors calculated ocean chemical conditions that would occur under different future scenarios and determined whether these chemical conditions could sustain coral reef growth.
To get a sense for how this probability, or risk of such a storm, will change in the future, he performed the same analysis, this time embedding the hurricane model within six global climate models, and running each model from the years 2081 to 2100, under a future scenario in which the world's climate changes as a result of unmitigated growth of greenhouse gas emissions.
In turn, the ministry, taking a holistic view of the dismal scenario in Pakistan, has launched a vast number of projects that fall under other ministries but that involve the effective use of science and technology for economic growth.
«The fact that 17 out of the 40 SREES scenarios explore alternative technological development pathways under a high growth... scenario family A1 does not constitute a statement that such scenaarios should be considered as more likely than others..., nor that a similar large number of technological bifurcation scenarios would not be possible in any of the other three scenario families» (Nakicenovic et al, 2003, «IPCC SRES Revisited: A Response», Energy & Environment, 14, 2 & 3, 2003: 195).
While the higher levels of acidity predicted under future climate scenarios decreased their overall growth, this was counteracted by Read more about Sea urchins in a climate conundrum - Scimex
In our context of root growth, the Timer model could drive similar outcomes as the Sizer model only under very restrictive conditions of small variability in the threshold time and the cell elongation rate, suggesting it is a less plausible scenario.
The results of such calculations, using standard economic assumptions and actuarial survivor probabilities, are shown in Figure 1, where we plot the growth of pension wealth over the career cycle for a typical educator in Missouri under three different promotion scenarios, in 2012 dollars.
Under the same scenario, a $ 10,000 investment in the Monetta Fund, a large - company growth fund with a 1.46 % expense ratio, would grow to just $ 35,000 over two decades.
The yields on mortgage REITs are attractive — MORT yields just under 10 % — but it is not realistic to expect much in the way of dividend growth going forward, and dividend shrinkage might actually be the more likely scenario.
Note that with a 2 % initial yield, you can not get to 10 by 10 under any reasonable dividend growth scenario.
The real - dividend - per - share growth difference was a whopping 9.3 % lower (i.e., 6.3 % under the positive / positive scenario and the negative 3.0 % under the positive / negative scenario) than its average in the more usual case of both prior market return and subsequent dividend growth being positive.
«The fact that 17 out of the 40 SREES scenarios explore alternative technological development pathways under a high growth... scenario family A1 does not constitute a statement that such scenaarios should be considered as more likely than others..., nor that a similar large number of technological bifurcation scenarios would not be possible in any of the other three scenario families» (Nakicenovic et al, 2003, «IPCC SRES Revisited: A Response», Energy & Environment, 14, 2 & 3, 2003: 195).
In a section of the paper citing analysis in «The World Food Economy,» a book he co-authored in 2007, Southgate concludes that a low growth scenario for population, leading to just under 8 billion people by 2050, could see a 26 - percent drop in food prices even with substantial rise in consumption.
Forecasting the expected permafrost thaw, the authors found that even under the most extreme climatic scenario tested this thawed soil growth will not exceed 10 meters by 2100 or 50 meters by the turn of the next millennium.
The latest relevant ABARE publication («Economic impact of climate change policy», ABARE Research Report 06 - 7) says that global CO2 emissions in its reference case closely follow those under the IPCC's A2 scenario to 2030 and that the latter scenario assumes a decline in economic growth after that year (pps.
In practice the growth in emissions is likely to be considerably less than this, because the IEA Reference Scenario does not take account of new policies that are under consideration in many countries.
60 TW (thermal) was seen as a likely requirement by 2100, under the high growth IIASA scenarios.
The missing variable fallacy of neglecting a factor entirely, implicitly treating it as 0 % effect, minimizing mention to quickly skip on (except when the target audience unavoidably already has heard of it), is common when something is so extraordinarily dangerous to the CAGW movement as to be he - who - must - not - be-named to them, a distinction which belongs to the magnitude of beneficial effects of CO2 (several tens of percent rise in plant growth rates under a more extreme scenario of CO2 doubling, plus as huge a rise in water usage efficiency, if the plants aren't underfertilized meanwhile) and to the dominating influence of cosmic rays on climate as in the link in my name.
This is based on assumed annual demand growth of 6.34 %; further scenarios with higher growth rates and low addition of renewables capacity do require new coal stations, but still only at most half of those under construction.
In the United States, oil and natural gas will supply 68 percent of energy needs by 2040, even under the most optimistic scenarios for renewable energy growth.
Ellie Johnston: «Under a scenario where emissions continue at the current pace, most of the pollution growth comes from the anticipated increase in fossil fuel use by developing nations.»
GAS — In a 2C world gas growth will be «at a lower level than expected under a business as usual scenario», the report finds.
«Even under best - case scenario conditions,» Hickel argued, «absolute decoupling of GDP growth from material use is not possible on a global scale,» and certainly is not enough to reduce material use sufficiently to stay within planetary boundaries.
A report from the World Resource Institute, published earlier this year, put the total climate finance from developed nations and international institutions at $ 42 billion in 2012 and projected that it could reach $ 77 billion by 2020 under a medium - growth scenario.
Imagine what the percentage would be under a scenario of reduced demand growth!
The exposed population could grow by 3 million between 2000 and 2030 and an additional 1.2 million by 2060 to reach 32.4 million under scenario D. Scenario D proved to be the highest - end - of - growth scenario for «richer economies», which is due to the underlying assumptions made in the scenarios (see Tscenario D. Scenario D proved to be the highest - end - of - growth scenario for «richer economies», which is due to the underlying assumptions made in the scenarios (see TScenario D proved to be the highest - end - of - growth scenario for «richer economies», which is due to the underlying assumptions made in the scenarios (see Tscenario for «richer economies», which is due to the underlying assumptions made in the scenarios (see Table 1).
By 2060, the LECZ population is likely to approach 1.4 billion people (534 people / km2) under the highest - end growth assumption, which would be 12 % of the world's population of 11.3 billion (scenario C).
Here we use climate projections under alternative mitigation scenarios to show how changes in environmental variables that limit plant growth could impact ecosystems and people.
The least squares regression approach probably under - estimates that A scenario growth rate, but that is OK, that just makes the conclusion more robust.
My reference to hubris was made simply to bring under your attention that horror scenario's expect mankind to continue growth at the same rate as ever: Assumptions like that used to be considered pipe dreams.
We then used daily climate projections (from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 [CMIP5]-RRB- under strong (i.e., representative concentration pathway [RCP] 2.6), moderate (i.e., RCP 4.5), and business - as - usual (i.e., RCP 8.5) mitigation scenarios to quantify the number of days in a given year that fall within climate thresholds for plant growth.
In the graph below, the black line shows the increase in plant growth the IPCC models project under a high - emissions scenario.
Change in net primary productivity (plant growth) projections from CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) models, under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5).
Under low - growth scenarios (A2 and B2), world GDP would double by 2020 and increase more than 10-fold by 2100.
First, you need to ask about the fees / charges / penalties related to the policy, under what conditions you may cash out, the worst - case scenario of your investment's growth, and how soon you will qualify to receive a return.
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