Sentences with phrase «under high emission scenarios»

Mountainous areas will face glacier retreat, reduced snow cover and winter tourism, and extensive species losses (in some areas up to 60 % under high emission scenarios by 2080).

Across most of the continental United States, those days will be about 10ºF to 15ºF hotter in the future under the higher emissions scenario.

These results and the emerging additional regions of highest climate change vulnerability under high emissions scenarios (Figures S7, S8, S9) suggest that global policies that mitigate greenhouse gas emissions will substantially reduce species» climate change vulnerability.

These model experiments include the historical period up to 2005, and a future period under a high emissions scenario.

«Under a high emissions scenario, where we don't make significant changes to our fossil fuel use, applications could increase by 188 percent — nearly tripling.»

Other marine - based drainage systems become unstable under higher emission scenarios, until most of the marine ice is eventually lost to the self - reinforcing feedback after about 2500 GtC of cumulative carbon release

Across most of the continental United States, those days will be about 10ºF to 15ºF hotter in the future under the higher emissions scenario.

Model projections for precipitation changes are less certain than those for temperature.12, 2 Under a higher emissions scenario (A2), global climate models (GCMs) project average winter and spring precipitation by late this century (2071 - 2099) to increase 10 % to 20 % relative to 1971 - 2000, while changes in summer and fall are not expected to be larger than natural variations.

And the risk of rapid ice sheet losses increases substantially under higher emissions scenarios.

Under a high emissions scenario, Blaine County can expect a 40 % decline in the number of days at or below freezing by late century, falling from a historical annual average of more than 200 days to about 120.

The county can expect an average of 15 weeks per year at or below freezing by late century under a high emissions scenario, compared to about 23 weeks of those temperatures from 1981 to 2010.

The county can expect a 28 % decline in the annual average amount of sub-freezing days, slipping from the equivalent of 28 weeks to around 20 under a high emissions scenario, and 24 weeks under a moderate emissions scenario.

The name «Nevada» is Spanish for «snow - capped,» but winter temperatures in the county are projected to average just shy of 50oF by late century under a high emissions scenario, which could leave mountainous areas like Donner Summit covered in brown, not white.

2: Our Changing Climate, Key Messages 5 and 6).4, 10 A range of model projections for the end of this century under a higher emissions scenario (A2), averaged over the region, suggests about 5 % to 20 % (25th to 75th percentile of model projections) increases in winter precipitation.

«Under the high emissions scenario, the 22nd century would be the century of hell,» Ben Strauss, a sea level scientist at Climate Central told the Washington Post.

Under a high emission scenario, the projections show that by 2100, 3 - sigma heat waves will cover 85 per cent of the global land area and five - sigma heat waves will cover around 60 per cent of global land.

Under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5), the analysis suggests we would reach this point in the year 2044.

Change in land carbon storage projections from CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) models, under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5).

Change in net primary productivity (plant growth) projections from CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) models, under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5).

Lower map shows model projections of the change in storage by 2100 as a result of nitrogen and phosphorus limits, under a high emissions scenario (RCP8.5).

Not exact matches

She and her team then projected excess deaths from heat under a low and a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario, incorporating adaptation patterns.

The researchers analyzed climate suitability projections over time for 513 species across 274 national parks, under a high and low greenhouse gas emission scenario.

Under both modest and high greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, temperatures in the Colorado River Basin are projected to rise by 5 degrees Fahrenheit compared with the 20th - century average.

However, under the high shift scenario — based on mode shifting and policies that encourage denser development and the substitution of telecommunications for travel — the United States could drop its emissions much faster to 280 megatons of CO2 by 2050.

This is slightly higher than the IPCC's estimate under the same emissions scenario of 7 cm by 2100.

Normalized well - to - wake GHG emissions for low -, baseline - and high - emission cases for jet fuel pathways under different land use change scenarios.

Ocean pH is projected to drop an additional 0.4 pH units by 2100 under a high CO2 emission scenario, ref with carbonate saturation levels potentially falling below those required to sustain coral reef accretion.

The researchers then ran their ice sheet model to simulate how the glaciers responded to global temperature rise under a medium - high emissions scenario.

Red, black, and blue lines represent the percentages of highly climate change vulnerable species under high (A2), mid-range (A1B) and low (B1) emissions scenarios for birds (A), amphibians (B) and corals (C) for 1975 — 2050 and 1975 — 2090.

The Met Office Hadley Centre (Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research) climate change model, Hadley Centre Coupled Model, version 3 (HadCM3)[53], a coupled atmosphere - ocean general circulation model, was used for the time intervals 2020, 2050 and 2080 (note these date represent a time windows of ten years either side of the time interval date, i.e. 2020 is an average of the years 2010 — 2029, 2050 for 2040 — 2059 and 2080 for 2070 — 2089), under three emission scenarios of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater scenarios of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater Emissions Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater emissions greater than B1).

The area of near - surface permafrost in the Northern Hemisphere is projected to decline by 20 % relative to today's area by 2040, and could be reduced by as much as two - thirds by 2080 under a scenario of high greenhouse gas emissions.

There may be more to consider under such a high emissions scenario.

The draft's authors suggest that under the worst - case emissions scenario the modelers considered, global sea levels could rise by up to 1 meter by the end of the century, about two centimeters higher than the top of the range offered in 2007.

For the study, the researchers used a set of 10 global climate models to simulate future changes in wind power under a high future emissions scenario (known as RCP8.5) and a moderate emissions scenario (known as RCP4.5).

The mean high temperature projections for 2050 and 2100 were derived from a suite of 28 climate models (CMIP5 / Oak Ridge National Laboratory) under IPCC emissions scenario RCP8.5, averaged over November 22 - 28 for 2030 - 2049 and 2080 - 2099, respectively.»

Coastal state and US total 2010 census populations living on land falling below future committed high tide lines under different emissions scenarios through 2050, making no assumptions about the inevitability of WAIS collapse (baseline case)

For example, stormwater across the city of Milwaukee recently showed high human fecal pathogen levels at all 45 outflow locations, indicating widespread sewage contamination.87 One study estimated that increased storm events will lead to an increase of up to 120 % in combined sewer overflows into Lake Michigan by 2100 under a very high emissions scenario (A1FI), 57 leading to additional human health issues and beach closures.

By 2100, global atmospheric CO2 levels reach 550 and 970 ppm under the lower and higher emissions scenarios, respectively.

Cities exceeding 100,000 residents where 50 or 100 % of the 2010 population - weighted area will fall below the future committed high tide line, assuming inevitable collapse of the WAIS under any emissions scenario (triggered case)

These range from decreases of 10 - 15 % over much of the industrialized Northern Hemisphere for the mid-range scenario to CO increases worldwide under the high - emission projection, with the largest changes over central Africa (20 - 30 %), southern Brazil (25 - 40 %) and South and East Asia (20 - 50 %).

Under the IS92a «business as usual» emissions scenario CO2 concentrations reached about 980 ppmv by 2100, which is about 280 ppmv higher than when these feedbacks were ignored.

Maps show projected change in average surface air temperature in the later part of this century (2071 - 2099) relative to the later part of the last century (1970 - 1999) under a scenario that assumes substantial reductions in heat trapping gases (B1) and a higher emissions scenario that assumes continued increases in global emissions (A2).

Projections of future summer mean WBGT under the RCP8.5 emissions scenario that are constrained by observations indicate that by 2030s at least 50 % of the summers will have mean WBGT higher than the observed historical record value in all the analyzed regions, and that this frequency of occurrence will increase to 95 % by mid-century.

Using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) ensemble, Jascha Lehmann from Germany's Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and colleagues rolled climate forward to 2100 and looked at the change in storm tracks under a high carbon - dioxide - emissions scenario.

Lam and team used climate models from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to examine the economic impacts of climate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees Celsius.

It's worth noting that despite the significant role for CCS in its scenarios, the IEA says under a 2C or higher path: «Coal - fired power plants with CCS become too carbon intensive at a certain point, since 10 - 15 % of their emissions are not captured.»

The research, led by Australian researchers from the CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology, predicts that Australia's national average temperature will increase by 2.8 - 5.1 °C by 2090 in a high emissions scenario, compared to 0.6 - 1.7 °C under a low global emissions scenario.

Compared with the globally efficient policy (with a globally harmonized emissions price at all times), near - term emissions prices in developed countries rise from between a few percent and 100 percent under the different scenarios, and discounted global abatement costs are higher by about 10 to 70 percent.

These figures illustrate the way the probability distribution of future global mean temperature change under a high - emissions scenario is linked to different potential changes in temperature and precipitation at a county - level.

Including the effects of physical mechanisms that can quickly increase ice sheet discharge significantly raises sea level rise projections under high - emission scenarios.