Sentences with phrase «under uncertainty all»

Please give me some advice, i'm so confused and i do nt want to waste more time in this relationship if it is not heading somewhere (marriage), especially bc It is not my country and I wont live under uncertainty until my boyfriend decides when the right time is!

[iv] Adrian Vermeule, Judging Under Uncertainty: An Institutional Theory of Legal Interpretation (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 2006) and Paul Daly, «The Unfortunate Triumph of Form Over Substance in Canadian Administrative Law» (2012) 50 (2) Osgoode Hall Law Journal 317.

In short, the case method is designed to develop what my former HBS accounting professor, Tom Piper, calls «the courage to act under uncertainty.»

Lecocq, F., J.C. Hourcade, and M. Ha - Duong, 1998: Decision making under uncertainty and inertia constraints: sectoral implications of the when flexibility.

This notwithstanding, I wholeheartedly agree with Gavin that these kinds of probabilistic projections aren't appropriate for risk analysis and decision making under uncertainty and won't be for a long time.

The 50:50 vs PDF issue I think only becomes a problem if you don't carefully separate the problem of estimating a PDF from the problem of decision making under uncertainty.

My numerous posts on decision making under uncertainty [link] speak to this issue.

Heyen, Daniel (2015): Five Essays in the Economics of Climate Engineering, Research, and Regulation under Uncertainty.

Try learning something about the policy process and decision making under uncertainty.

Weitzman uses that to argue that climate change violates Raiffa's axioms on rational decisions under uncertainty — that is, cost - benefit analysis is inapplicable.

She has also researched formation of public opinions on climate change, social science's role in enabling decision - makers to act on climate change under uncertainty, and media's coverage of climate change.

Decision making under uncertainty: Shortage, stakeholders and modeling in the Colorado River basin

Investment under uncertainty.

If one «chooses» a position under uncertainty and that position turns out opposite future greater certainty this would lead to greater loss.

Investment under uncertainty: calculating the value function when the bellman equation can not be solved analytically.

Jotzo, F. and J.C.V. Pezzey, 2005: Optimal intensity targets for emissions trading under uncertainty.

It consists of 11 chapters covering the scope of the analysis, decision making under uncertainty, equity issues, intertemporal equity and discounting, applicability of cost and benefit assessments to climate change, social costs of climate change, response options, conceptual issues related to estimating mitigation costs, review of mitigation cost studies, integrated assessment of climate change, and an economic assessment of policy options to address climate change.

I will be hammering on this in parts II and III of decision making under uncertainty, if i ever get to that (I am despairing at this point).

However, the social cost of carbon (SCC) is higher (by about 15 %) under uncertainty than in the certainty - equivalent case because of asymmetry in the impacts of uncertainty on the damages from climate change.

The authors, who include the Oxford Martin School's Professor Myles Allen, argue that strategies should be «anti-fragile», meaning they are not just robust under uncertainty but more successful under a wide range of uncertainties, including scientific, economic and political risks.

Even under uncertainty, one thing can be certain — in a warmer world, there is no such thing as «normal» climate or weather anymore.

To rephrase my earlier comment, and basically in agreement with the thinking of prof Pindyck (his name is familiar to me from the book Dixit & Pindyck: Investement under Uncertainty on which I have based some of my lectures about 10 years ago).

Bayesian probability provides a framework for inference under uncertainty / ignorance.

Thus, Danzig sets up adaptation as a necessary complement to robustness as a crucial aspect of strategy and decision - making under uncertainty.

This analysis is based on a set of interviews with decision - makers, in particular World Bank project leaders, and on a literature review on decision - making under uncertainty.

Oliver, Judith's question is perhaps a bit misdirected, in the sense that the WB paper is not attempting to determine policy but to help develop techniques for policy - making under uncertainty.

Assuming that climate change and other deep uncertainties can not be eliminated over the short term (and probably even over the longer term), it then summarizes existing decision - making methodologies that are able to deal with climate - related uncertainty, namely cost - benefit analysis under uncertainty, cost - benefit analysis with real options, robust decision making, and climate informed decision analysis.

To say so is pretty much blind to the last 20 years of theoretical work on choice under uncertainty.

Decision making under uncertainty, regardless of where the uncertainty comes from, is the subject.

Uncertainty might become a large area of dispute in such conflicted situations, but decision - making under uncertainty is a field unto itself, and is the problem of the policy - maker (including resolving the disputed uncertainty level), not of the experts.

I will get into decision making under uncertainty at some future point.

They can work wonders in situations popular among game theorists where decisions are made «under uncertainty:» that is, under conditions where objective evidence is clearly inadequate.

But I can put you and others in touch with competent theorists of decision under uncertainty if you would like, because I know them through my research interests.

I find NO references in either thread or in Weitzman to the last twenty years of formal decision - theoretic work on models of decision under uncertainty (as opposed to risk).

But he is completely out of his depth on the subject of choice under uncertainty.

The Bristol meeting brings together scientists and practitioners with the goal of (a) developing more effective means to communicate uncertainty and (b) to explore how decision making under uncertainty can be better informed by scientific constraints.

Based on collaborations with our research partners, our climate projections make use of this information to produce probabilistic climate projections (as opposed to just «best - estimate» projections), which helps designing strategies for mitigating future climate change and adapting to such changes under uncertainty.

This document contributes to frame the challenge of dealing with extreme weather and climate events as an issue in decision - making under uncertainty, analyzing response in the context of risk management.

It seems to me the starting point is upskilling the policy side in managing risk under uncertainty.

Forecasting building energy demand under uncertainty using Gaussian process regression: Feature selection, baseline prediction, parametric analysis and a web - based tool B Yan, X Li, W Shi, X Zhang and A Malkawi 15th Conf.

Engineering as a profession routinely operates under uncertainty.

This technical document contributes to frame the challenge of dealing with extreme weather and climate events as an issue in decision - making under uncertainty, analyzing response in the context of risk management.

I think in the future it would probably good to focus on the myth that climate is stable absent human impacts and on making good decisions under uncertainty.

Would using Pascal's Wager to justify a state church be an example of «separating the theology from the politics» and turning it into a question of «decision - making under uncertainty»?

The foundational work on the psychology of decision - making under uncertainty has been collected into several volumes: «Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases,» by Daniel Kahneman, Paul Slovic, and Amos Tversky (Cambridge, 1982), «Choices, Values, and Frames,» by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky (Cambridge, 2000), «Heuristics and Biases,» by Thomas Golovich, Dale Griffin, and Daniel Kahneman (Cambridge, 2002), and «The Perception of Risk,» by Paul Slovic (Earthscan, 2000).

This week is goofy, the heresy thing was totally unplanned for, and there is also considerable interest in the broader Etc community in the climate hawk thing, which I thought was a good segueway into the decision making under uncertainty.

Water resource management in a variable and changing climate: hypothetical case study to explore decision making under uncertainty

I hope that you will find where I go with the decision making under uncertainty thread to be interesting (no I am going nowhere near what the policies should actually look like).

We have to learn how to make decisions under uncertainty.

My remark under uncertainty and certainty remains, placing Cooperative CHP between public electricity and private industry.