Since the public is more willing to bet on
underdogs during the playoffs, we believed there would be value by taking a contrarian approach and backing the favorite — especially when they were receiving limited public support.
During the regular season these bettors are prone to overwhelmingly taking favorites and home teams, but they are far more likely to take road teams and
underdogs during the playoffs.
Although squares will overwhelmingly take favorites during the regular season, they're far more apt to take
underdogs during the playoffs.
Not exact matches
For Team Wolter, they came into the
Playoffs as
Underdogs but delivered 2 big Wins
during the second - season.
Last year was awful for betting
underdogs and, as a result, this system produced a woeful 2 - 10 record -LRB--6.79 units)
during the 2014
playoffs.
This plays into the concept of «fading the trendy
underdog» which has been a highly profitable strategy
during the NBA
Playoffs and March Madness.
Using our Bet Labs software, we found that
underdogs on the second half line have gone 6,704 - 6,407 (51.1 %)
during the regular season and 494 - 416 (54.3 %)
during the
playoffs.
There's no reason to think that teams would take their foot off the petal
during the
playoffs, so bettors would have the opportunity to take the better team as an
underdog, at an inflated price.
Since 2003, NFL
underdogs have gone 1,561 - 1,541 ATS (50.3 %)
during regular season and
playoff games.
Our research shows that, since the start of the 2003 season, there have only been two home
underdogs of at least 4 - points
during the
playoffs — both of whom won straight up.
Many NBA bettors prefer to take small
underdogs on the moneyline
during the
playoffs, and we've seen that trend continue in tonight's game.
Past research has indicated that favorites are undervalued
during the NBA
playoffs — a dramatic change from the regular season where
underdogs have been historically undervalued.
Every year there is a double - digit
underdog that shocks the College / Prep League
during the Opening Night of the
Playoffs.
These trends are also interesting because large
underdogs have fared extremely well
during the NFL
playoffs.
Since 2005,
underdogs have gone 337 - 741 straight up (SU) and 507-547-24 against the spread (ATS)
during the NBA
Playoffs.
For what it's worth, the visitor has closed as the
underdog in 80.2 % of
playoff games
during this time period.