Sentences with phrase «underlying uncertainty of»

The wide range of formats and approaches on display in New York seemed to underscore the underlying uncertainty of an industry in flux.
The wide range of formats — some focused on the consumer, others feeling like relics of fashion's dark ages — seemed to underscore the underlying uncertainty of an industry in flux.

Not exact matches

«There's underlying demand for gold as a hedge against political uncertainties on both sides of the Atlantic,» said Ole Hanson, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.
There is a definite underlying current of caution and uncertainty and wealth preservation continues to be a mantra for many HNWIs.
Yet we believe these market moves mostly reflect a temporary flight to safety in the face of political uncertainties — rather than a breaking down of the underlying reflationary dynamic.
The fact that underlying growth is now only 2 percent, that the rest of the world has serious problems, and that the U.S. has an unusual degree of political uncertainty all tilt toward greater pessimism.
The width of this zone is a function of the underlying uncertainties.
In the face of increased uncertainty about underlying productivity growth, many economists now argue that a central bank should not try to restrain an expansion until there is visible evidence that inflation is rising.
Many situations of choice are unprecedented, and uncertainty about the underlying relation between cause and effect is often present.
Bankers and others involved in business with Iran say they have been reluctant to travel to the country to close deals or negotiate the financing of existing ones because of uncertainty over the status of underlying U.S. sanctions, even before the latest standoff between Trump and Iran.
It is our task to address both their underlying and structural causes and their distressing consequences in order to reduce uncertainty and insecurity in the life of the people.
Because of the uncertainty in the underlying research literature, our estimates have broad CIs.
With increasing size of the optical arrangement and increasing numbers of photons sent on their way, the number of possible paths and distributions of the photons at the end rises steeply as a result of the uncertainty principle which underlies quantum mechanics — so that there can be no prediction of the exact probability using the computers available to us today.
One underlying challenge is indeed around the communication of uncertainty.
This study makes the first direct comparison between the optical emission line and the ultraviolet and infrared tracers of star formation and indicates that, despite the underlying uncertainties, astronomers can trust the nebular emission lines as robust indicators of the star - formation rate and the amount of light that is obscured by dust in distant galaxies.
The Department will communicate scientific and technological findings by including a clear explanation of underlying assumptions, including accurate contextualization of uncertainties, and describing the probabilities associated with both optimistic and pessimistic projections, including best - case and worst - case scenarios where appropriate.
Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results or outcomes may vary materially from those described as anticipated, believed, estimated, expected, intended or planned.
Yet we believe these market moves mostly reflect a temporary flight to safety in the face of political uncertainties — rather than a breaking down of the underlying reflationary dynamic.
However, when auction rate securities fail to settle at auction, which occurred in fiscal 2008, and conditions leading to their failure to auction create uncertainty as to whether they will settle in the near - term, we classify them as long - term consistent with the contractual term of the underlying security.
With uncertainty over Fed moves, there's also liquidity risk — if banks decide to stop making the large short term loans, the value of the underlying REIT will decrease.
Many situations of choice are unprecedented, and uncertainty about the underlying relation between cause and effect is often present.
The uncertainty about the risk assessment of mezzanine tranches means that any calculation of the prudent regulatory bank capital held for these tranches should be significantly higher than that for the underlying asset pool.
Without a doubt excessive growling and repeated fighting are indicative of an underlying insecurity and uncertainty about social rank vis a vis other dogs.
If one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or if management's underlying assumptions prove to be incorrect, actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by a forward - looking statement.
The underlying tension of a smudged out figure — a sign of uncertainty and displacement — is heightened by the decisiveness of the graphite - rendered image.
The paintings have a signature prismatic palette, visually stimulating and playful while expressing an underlying sense of uncertainty and unrest.
Although some earlier work along similar lines had been done by other paleoclimate researchers (Ed Cook, Phil Jones, Keith Briffa, Ray Bradley, Malcolm Hughes, and Henry Diaz being just a few examples), before Mike, no one had seriously attempted to use all the available paleoclimate data together, to try to reconstruct the global patterns of climate back in time before the start of direct instrumental observations of climate, or to estimate the underlying statistical uncertainties in reconstructing past temperature changes.
For others, uncertainty implies risk and justifies action (both to reduce the proximate cause of risk [i.e., CO2 emissions] and the underlying uncertainty).
What is the measurement uncertainty of the temperature data that underlies the heat content calculation?
But the overall result of having good competent scientists who can not keep abreast of all the wide range of uncertainties which underlie some of their assumptions is a tendency to represent results in a way that accepts the more remote results of other disciplines as if they were «absolute».
We can derive the underlying trend related to external forcings from the GCMs — for each model, the underlying trend can be derived from the ensemble mean (averaging over the different phases of ENSO in each simulation), and looking at the spread in the ensemble mean trend across models gives information about the uncertainties in the model response (the «structural» uncertainty) and also about the forcing uncertainty — since models will (in practice) have slightly different realisations of the (uncertain) net forcing (principally related to aerosols).
Especially if you are versed in the underlying science, you'll see that it presents two kinds of uncertainties — those inherent in climate models, and those in the emission scenarios that are fed into the models.
Pielke Sr. et al., 2007 («Documentation of uncertainties and biases...») tested the predecessor to Menne's slicing method, i.e., Karl & Williams, 1987, by simulating 1000 time series with step changes & underlying trends varying from nothing to warming.
A key issue (uncertainty) is the extent to which the nation, states, communities and individuals will be able to adapt to climate change because this depends on the levels of local exposure to climate - health threats, underlying susceptibilities, and the capacities to adapt that are available at each scale.
The potential for specific climate - vulnerable communities to experience highly harmful health effects is not entirely clear in specific regions and on specific time frames due to uncertainties in rates of adaptation and uncertainties about the outcome of public health interventions currently being implemented that aim to address underlying health disparities and determinants of health.249 The public health community has not routinely conducted evaluations of the overall success of adaptation interventions or of particular elements of those interventions.
To address the scientific, cultural, health, and social issues arising from climate change requires an in - depth and cross-disciplinary analysis of the role of uncertainty in all of the three principal systems involved: The physical climate system, people's cognitive system and how that construes and potentially distorts the effects of uncertainty, and the social systems underlying the political and public debates surrounding climate change.
Each contribution was reviewed externally and within the editorial structure of Climatic Change for accuracy in its portrayal of historical context and underlying science, but every author has been allowed to express his or her own opinion about how well the IPCC in general and the uncertainty guidance documents in particular have served IPCC's various clients — readers of the full assessments, readers of the technical summaries, and readers who have confined their attention to the overarching summaries for policymakers and synthesis reports.
In the context of parametric uncertainty for the bias corrections, the determination of uncertainty is associated with a number of underlying assumptions that are uncertain in themselves.
On the other hand, if the requirement is a validation of the underlying «peak production» principle (i.e. production from large resources maturing and going into decline, and not being sufficiently offset by newer smaller resources to maintain overall growth), and if we can accept some uncertainty around the date and height of the peak, then we have many examples of regions and countries in which exactly this process has occurred for oil and other resources.
The uncertainty, lack of data, underlying assumptions, and group think are all there in plain sight.
Traditionally, population projections have included two or more alternative scenarios, both to acknowledge the intrinsic uncertainty of the middle scenario and to offer an assessment of the sensitivity of projected trends to changes in underlying assumptions, in particular with regard to fertility.
«Reducing this uncertainty will require better understanding of the underlying causes of differences between the UAH and RSS TLT retrievals.
If on the other hand there is some uncertainty as to what forms part of the sawtooth variation and what is part of the underlying signal, you need to pay pretty close attention to all components of the information you receive.
The uncertainty is whether some catastrophic effects come into play and of course the underlying concern is the large adjustment time of CO2 which does not allow us to do course corrections should the behavior change for the worse.
Incomplete understanding of three key properties of the climate system — equilibrium climate sensitivity, rate of ocean heat uptake and historical aerosol forcing — and their underlying physical processes lead to uncertainties in our assessment of the global - mean temperature evolution in the twenty - first century 1,2 6.
«Epistemology is here applied to problems of statistical inference during testing, the relationship between the underlying physics and the models, the epistemic meaning of ensemble statistics, problems of spatial and temporal scale, the existence or not of an unforced null for climate fluctuations, the meaning of existing uncertainty estimates, and other issues.
Yes, it is indeed a decent paper as it (1) isolates the natural variation, which then can be (2) applied to correct for the global temperature signal, thus (3) reducing the uncertainty of the underlying trend, and (4) removing the pause that so troubles the skeptics.
Given the large uncertainty that remains about tipping elements, there is an urgent need to improve our understanding of the underlying physical mechanisms determining their behavior, so that policy makers are able «to avoid the unmanageable, and to manage the unavoidable» (112).
In the questionnaire, experts were asked for a pairwise comparison of tipping elements in terms of (i) their sensitivity to global mean temperature increase and (ii) the uncertainty about the underlying physical mechanisms.
But large uncertainties and postulations underlie the debate about the indirect land - use effects of biofuels on tropical deforestation, the critical implication being that use of U.S. farmland for energy crops necessarily causes new land - clearing elsewhere.
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