Sentences with phrase «underlying warming rate»

... In short, if CM3's internal variability is realistic, there is some chance that a rapid underlying warming rate of 0.2 K decade − 1 could be ongoing as of 2015, but that this warming signal has been substantially masked (and may continue to be masked for even another decade or more) by an internal variability cooling episode.

Not exact matches

Dr. Swanson: One distinction between your analysis and the more conventional ones is the rate of underlying warming that is occurring due to radiative forcings.
Is anybody aware of any papers that demonstrate that there is statistically significant evidence for the existence of a change in the underlying rate of warming?
The physics underlying the lapse rate will insure dew point temperatures at some level in the atmospheric column, although the level will increase with global warming (the resulting high (er) clouds may give a positive feedback).
I've not seen this done, and my initial experiments on breakpoint detection seem to suggest that there is insufficient evidence to suggest that there has been a change in the underlying rate of warming.
As that happens, the underlying global warming driver will be progressively loosing its energy sink, and not only will we see ocean rise, but a progressive escalation in the rate of atmospheric temperature rise as well.
The underlying anthropogenic warming trend, even with the zero rate of warming during the current hiatus, is 0.08 C per decade.
Though the rate of warming has slowed (Editor's note: No it hasn't; see links below), the world does indeed continue to warm, and cherry - picked data underlie the claims that warming has stopped.
The underlying issue is this: While the planet was subject primarily to natural changes, the different parts of the planet were warming and cooling at similar rates, thus the zonal anomalies run fairly parallel.
The US, with Brazil, further suggested adding actual estimates of the rate of warming for 15 - year periods using different starting years, to which a CLA responded that this was not evaluated in the underlying assessment.
What that would mean is that in reality the underlying rate of warming is still accelerating.
On lower rates of warming in the last 15 years, there was broad agreement on the underlying science as well as on the importance of addressing the phenomenon in the SPM, given the media attention to this issue.
«In 1994, Nature magazine published a study of mine in which we estimated the underlying rate at which the world was warming by removing the impacts of volcanoes and El Niños (Christy and McNider 1994)... The result of that study indicated the underlying trend for 1979 - 1993 was +0.09 °C / decade which at the time was one third the rate of warming that should have been occurring according to estimates by climate model simulations.»
And yet if the simple fitting calculation is correct, there has been little or no change in the underlying rate of warming.
The underlying rate of warming has been about 0.6 C per century since the record started in the latter 19th century.
The underlying net anthropogenic warming rate in the industrial era is found to have been steady since 1910 at 0.07 — 0.08 °C / decade, with superimposed AMO - related ups and downs that included the early 20th century warming, the cooling of the 1960s and 1970s, the accelerated warming of the 1980s and 1990s, and the recent slowing of the warming rates.
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