Sentences with phrase «understanding decadal variability»

Understanding decadal variability and predictability has proven difficult given the insufficient length of observations.

Develop a framework for understanding decadal variability through metrics that can be used as a strategy to assess and validate decadal climate predictions simulations.

Not exact matches

«The study reinforces the idea that looking at Arctic and Antarctic ice separately is the best way to understand decadal and long - term trends, because it suggests significant decadal and inter-decadal variability in southern hemisphere ice extent going back much further than the last 30 years.»

His research concerns understanding global climate and its variations using observations and covers the quasi biennial oscillation, Pacific decadal oscillation and the annular modes of the Arctic oscillation and the Antarctic oscillation, and the dominant spatial patterns in month - to - month and year - to - year climate variability, including the one through which El Niño phenomenon in the tropical Pacific influences climate over North America.

Our best armory for the arguments you fear quite rightly is to build up our understanding of decadal variability and the extent to which it can cloud the long term trend.

No mention is made of ENSO or Pacific decadal variations that dominate interannual and decadal variability in the real world, and which are a key to understanding the recent hiatus, and recent trends that are not representative of longer - term trends, although frequently interpreted as such.

These factors driving the present changes of the NHSM system are instrumental for understanding and predicting future decadal changes and determining the proportions of climate change that are attributable to anthropogenic effects and long - term internal variability in the complex climate system.

The stadium wave holds promise in putting into perspective numerous observations of climate behavior, such as regional patterns of decadal variability in drought and hurricane activity, the researchers say, but a complete understanding of past climate variability and projections of future climate change requires integrating the stadium - wave signal with external climate forcing from the sun, volcanoes and anthropogenic forcing.

This paper reviews advances made during the last decade to better understand the impact of global SST variability on West African rainfall at interannual to decadal time scales.

Top down modulation of SAM and NAM by solar UV has the potential to explain otherwise little understood variability at decadal to much longer scales in ENSO.

Building on previous efforts, this three - day workshop will use the outcomes to guide synthesis efforts, coordinate on - going research to fill out key gaps, and provide specific recommendations for accelerating scientific progress — with the aim to improve our understanding and predictability of 1) high - to mid-latitude climate variability on subseasonal - to - seasonal and on interannual - to - decadal timescales and 2) climate extremes.

To describe and understand the physical processes responsible for climate variability and predictability on seasonal, interannual, decadal, and centennial time - scales, through the collection and analysis of observations and the development and application of models of the coupled climate system, in cooperation with other relevant climate - research and observing programmes.

Understanding the variability of the Gulf Stream path at decadal and longer timescales is crucial for predicting future physical and biogeochemical variations in this region.

And a better understanding of North Atlantic Ocean dynamics is central to understanding Pacific Ocean variability and vital in predicting how global mean temperatures may evolve on decadal timescales.

How can the CMIP6 decadal MIPs be used to understand AMOC variability and related climate impacts?

Understanding the nature and predictability of decadal variability in SPNA temperatures has thus been a major goal in climate studies, and various hypotheses have been submitted to explain this decadal variability apparent in climate models and data records.

US CLIVAR is using coupled climate models to extract as much information as possible from the scarce datasets to further understand the mechanisms leading to decadal variability and the degree to which such variability can be predicted.

Therefore, decadal hydrological prediction requires an understanding of both the externally forced component and the prediction skill of internally generated decadal hydroclimate variability.

The research aims for mechanistic understanding of the processes important to the decadal modulation of ENSO and tropical Pacific decadal variability through model experiments and observational analysis.

We need to understand the decadal to centennial modes of natural climate variability.

This project will use a novel climate modelling approach to improve our understanding of drivers of climate variability on decadal timescales in Europe and North America.

What I said was that it was of negligible relevance in understanding decadal to centennial variability.

The decadal variability of rainfall — due to changing Pacific conditions — has been understood since the mid 1980's.

These linear discriminants, which consist of an RASST anomaly field and a time series that describes the projection of that anomaly in the annual mean RASST field, maximize the ratio of inter-decadal to inter-annual variability, in keeping with our desire to understand the decadal - to - century scale variability in the global mean surface temperatures (see SI Text and Figs.

Global warming has largely stalled since the late 1990s, raising concerns regarding our understanding of climate sensitivity, the underlying mechanisms influencing climate variability and the ability of climate models to represent decadal variability.

This will include researchers involved in developing prediction systems, understanding mechanisms of decadal and forced climate variability, and assessing the needs of potential users.