Despite the many unresolved issues touched on in this chapter and discussed in more detail in chapters 5 — 9, the progress that has been achieved over the past few years provides a basis for drawing some tentative conclusions concerning the nature of the observed differences between surface and
upper air temperature trends, and their implications for the detection and attribution of global climate change.break
The panel was asked to assess whether these apparently conflicting surface and
upper air temperature trends lie within the range of uncertainty inherent in the measurements and, if they are judged to lie outside that range, to identify the most probable reason (s) for the differences.
A number of possible research strategies for improving the understanding of uncertainties inherent in the various measurement systems and the relationship between surface and
upper air temperature trends are proposed in the report.break
Not exact matches
The disparity between surface and
upper air trends in no way invalidates the conclusion that surface
temperature has been rising.»
This provides an
upper bound for the surface
temperature since the
upper air is supposed to have larger
trends than the surface (e.g. see Klotzbach et al (2011).