This is not necessarily a contradiction, because 5,000 + square foot homes are relatively uncommon and represent the extreme
upper tail of the distribution.
These summers have considerably contributed to
the upper tail of the European distribution of summer maxima (Fig. 3, inset plot).
(The equilibrium referred to is that of the ocean — it doesn't include very slow changes in polar ice sheets, etc.) Obviously,
the upper tail of the estimated distribution for S is important, not just its central value.
I have concentrated on the Bayesian inference involved in such studies, since they seem to me in many cases to use inappropriate prior distributions that heavily fatten
the upper tail of the estimated PDF for S. I may write a future post concerning that issue, but in this post I want to deal with more basic statistical issues arising in what is, probably, the most important of the Bayesian studies whose PDFs for climate sensitivity were featured in AR4.
It is worth noting that the 1998/99 El - Nino event pushed the observations about as high into
the upper tail of the model projections as they are into the lower tail now.
Our results reveal a marked increase in the probability of a 30 - day delay in monsoon onset in 2050, as a result of changes in the mean climate, from 9 - 18 % today (depending on the region) to 30 - 40 % at
the upper tail of the distribution.
In grades 9 — 10, the magnitude of the coefficients is the largest for students in the 25th percentile, and slowly decreases as one moves toward
the upper tail of the distribution.
The results curve from this tiny percentage of
the upper tail of the original «bell curve» is another full «bell curve» where the gifted students tend to score at the 50th percentile or above.
Hedges and Nowell [17] note that «blacks are hugely underrepresented in
the upper tails of the achievement distributions, and this underrepresentation does not seem to be decreasing.»
Our data also allow us to estimate effects separately by race and ethnicity, and we find that historically under - represented minorities experience the highest returns in
the upper tails of the earnings distribution, particularly among UT - Austin and community college graduates.
It reveals whether
the upper tails of the pdf is being «stretched».
With increasing temperatures expected in the long term [Karl et al., 2009], continued increases in the extreme
upper tails of temperature distribution are likely.
Should we choose to do little to abate emissions over the next few decades, then
the upper tails of our current emissions scenarios will become more likely, and that will cause
the upper tails of the vulnerability distributions to become more likely.
The upper tails of the earlier distributions of the climate sensitivity were driven primarily by Bayesian posterior distributions derived from very broad uniform priors that put substantial probability (sometimes more than 50 %) for the range above 4C.
That results in the data maximum likelihoods for direct and indirect aerosol forcing being in
the upper tails of the priors, biasing the aerosol forcing estimation to more negative values (and hence biasing ECS estimation to a higher value).
Not exact matches
Buying a property with an income suite may have an edge over the fixer -
upper in the event the
tail risk
of a housing crash materializes.
Then said the LORD unto Isaiah, Go forth now to meet Ahaz, thou, and Shearjashub thy son, at the end
of the conduit
of the
upper pool in the highway
of the fuller's field; And say unto him, Take heed, and be quiet; fear not, neither be fainthearted for the two
tails of these smoking firebrands, for the fierce anger
of Rezin with Syria, and
of the son
of Remaliah.
The disease is most common in overwatered areas, such as low spots, heavy soils, lower ends (
tails)
of sloping fields, or
upper ends (heads)
of long fields.
Chris Ellis: But the former third - round pick has been busting his
tail this offseason to improve his
upper body strength, and is determined to be a bigger part
of Buffalo's defensive line rotation in year two.
We glued our heads on the
upper part
of the hand, the opposite side
of the
tail.
The Tadpole galaxy (top left) sports a long
tail of stars and gas pulled out by the gravity
of a galactic interloper, visible as a small blue clump in the
upper part
of the Tadpole's disk.
Transplanting completely failed to keep the chick embryo's
tail growing, but the retinoic acid, Larsson said, «pushed
tail growth to the
upper range
of normal development.
In the adult, those structures appeared along the end
of its
tail; in the juveniles, the feathers appeared along the neck and
upper arm in one individual and near the pelvis and foot in the other.
Venerated by the Aztecs and Mayans, whose rulers wore headdresses made out
of its long
tail feathers, the bird has a bright green body, a red breast, and green
upper tail feathers that conceal its
tail; in males, these feathers are longer than its body.
Now, scientists have obtained the clearest view yet
of the energy that was released in the magnetic
tail arriving and initiating a disturbance in Earth's
upper atmosphere, or ionosphere.
Material stripped from the galaxy during its collision with a smaller galaxy (seen in the
upper left corner
of the larger interaction partner) forms a long tidal
tail.
«the long fat
tail that is characteristic
of all recent estimates
of climate sensitivity simply disappears, with an
upper 95 % probability limit... easily shown to lie close to 4 °C, and certainly well below 6 °C.»
Some look like fingers pointing at the central star, located just off the
upper left
of the image; others are isolated clouds, with or without
tails.
«Observing the effects on Mars
of the comet's dust slamming into the
upper atmosphere makes me very happy that we decided to put our spacecraft on the other side
of Mars at the peak
of the dust
tail passage and out
of harm's way.»
I know that Mike Schlesinger is going to be working on further studies to see what extra data, and over what timescales, might help us constrain the
upper tail, but the possibility arises that no amount
of data will do this, or at least, not in time for us to act on it with enough warning to prevent serious problems.
The
upper tail is particularly long in studies using diagnostics based on large - scale mean data because separation
of the greenhouse gas response from that to aerosols or climate variability is more difficult with such diagnostics (Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001; Gregory et al., 2002a; Knutti et al., 2002, 2003).
In my view, that mismatch alone is reason not to put too much credence in Schmittner's claim to have trimmed
of the
upper end
of the IPCC climate sensitivity
tail.
In the
upper left
of this photograph, the
tail of Saturn's great northern storm riles the planet's atmosphere.
Snowpiercer is, though not only, a film about class struggle, for we enter this world at a time when the oppressed inhabitants
of the so called «
tail section» prepare for a rebellion against those in the front section and implicitly — against the
upper class.
With respect to students and test scores, reversion to the mean suggests that students with scores in the
upper or lower
tail of the test - score distribution are likely to perform closer to the average when tested more than once.
The side feature line splits the
upper body from the top
of the grille across the entire length
of the vehicle to the slanted «boat
tail» rear.
The long, bright spear on the side
of the body wraps around the
tail and dips toward the
upper corner
of the radiator grille, a mark
of Pininfarina's design mastery.
This hard surface break line is one
of many on the car, including the fender profile peak, front to rear, the hard line across the
tail, and the breaks coming off the
upper grille corners.
Ex Demonstrator, Bluetooth telephone connectivity, Park Assist, Privacy glass, 360 - degree parking aid, Black Pack, Fixed panoramic roof, Heated front and rear seats, InControl Touch Pro - 10 inch touchscreen, Service Plan, Advanced alarm system, Anti-lock braking system, Auto - dimming exterior mirrors, Autonomous Emergency Braking (AEB), Blind spot monitor + reverse traffic detection, Dynamic Stability Control (DSC), Electronic Brake - Force Distribution (EBD), Electronic Parking Brake, Electronic Traction Control (ETC), Emergency Brake Assist (EBA), Front fog lamps, Front side airbags, Heated front windscreen, Heated washer nozzles, Hill Descent Control (HDC), Hill Launch Assist (HLA), InControl Pro Services and Wi - Fi hotspot, Interactive Driver Display, Lane Departure Warning, Perimetric protection (alarm), Push - button start, Rain sensing windscreen wipers, Rear view camera, Starter system: stop / start, 16 - way front seats (14 - way power), 4 - way power adjustable steering column, 8 - speed automatic transmission, Ambient interior lighting, Digital radio (DAB), Driver Condition Monitor, Electrically reclining rear seats, Front parking aid, Gradient Acceleration Control (GAC), Hazard lights under heavy braking, InControl Apps, InControl Protect, InControl Remote Premium, InControl Touch Pro Navigation, Keyless entry - Passive entry + push - button start, LED headlights with signature DRL, Meridian sound system: 380W, Powered inner tailgate, Powered third row seats, Premium leather multi-function steering wheel, Rear parking aid, Roll Stability Control (RSC), Side curtain airbags, Terrain Response: 5 - mode, Third row ISOFIX, Third row seats, Traffic Sign Recognition and Adaptive Speed Limiter, Twin USB sockets: second row, Two - zone climate control, Tyre Pressure Monitoring System (TPMS), «Atlas» fender vent ingots with «Narvik Black» surround, «Atlas» grille with «Narvik Black» surround, «Brunel» Discovery script (bonnet & tailgate), «Natural Shadow Oak» veneer, Daytime running lights, Electronic air suspension, Front laminated acoustic windscreen, Loadspace cover, Rollover deployment
of restraints, Signature hi - line
tail lights, Single 12V auxiliary charging point (
upper glove box), Tailgate finisher - Gloss Black, Tow eye covers - «White Silver», Twin - speed transfer box,
Upper IP stowage / glove box
When opened flat, the
upper part
of the gate's bed - facing paneling swings up to become an extended «load stop»
tail that can help secure long cargo items.
Air ConditioningAutomatic climate control front air conditioning · Dual front air conditioning zones · Rear air conditioning · Single rear air conditioning zones AirbagsDual front airbags · Passenger airbag deactivation: occupant sensing deactivation · Side airbags: rear, front · Side - curtain airbag rollover sensor Audio SystemAntenna Type: diversity · Audio security system · MP3 auxiliary audio input · Rear headphone jacks · 6 disc in - dash CD · MP3 player: CD MP3 Playback · Bose premium brand · AM / FM radio · Radio Data System · Rear audio: separate rear audio · SiriusXM Satellite Radio · Speed Sensitive Volume Control · 1 subwoofer · 8 Total Speakers BrakesABS: 4 - wheel · Front brake diameter: 13.0 · Front brake width: 1.18 · Front brakes: ventilated disc · Rear brake diameter: 13.5 · Rear brake width: 0.79 · Rear brakes: disc Comfort FeaturesArmrests: rear center · Cargo area floor mat · Center console trim: simulated wood · Floor Mat Material: carpet · Floor Mats: front · Rear floor mats · Steering wheel trim: leather Convenience FeaturesAdjustable pedals: power · Cargo area light · Cargo area power outlet: 12V · Cargo cover: retractable · Center console: front console with storage · Cruise control · Cupholders: rear, front · Memorized settings: driver seat, 2 driver · Multi-function remote: keyless entry · One - touch windows: 1 · Power outlet (s): 12V front · Power steering · Reading lights: front, rear · Rear power outlet: 12V · Remote engine start · Retained accessory power · Steering wheel: tilt - adjustable · Steering wheel mounted controls: cruise controls, audio · Storage: door pockets, front seatback · Trailer wiring · Universal garage door opener · Vanity mirrors: dual illuminating DoorsLiftgate window: manual flip - up · Rear door type: power liftgate Driver SeatAdjustable lumbar support: power · Heated · Power adjustments: 12 DrivetrainAxle ratio: 3.42 EngineBattery saver · Cylinder Deactivation Exterior FeaturesTrailer hitch HeadrestsFront headrests: adjustable · Number
of front headrests: 2 · Number
of rear headrests: 2 InstrumentationClock · Compass · External temperature display · Tachometer · Trip computer · Warnings and reminders: low fuel level, tire fill alert LightsDaytime running lights · Exterior entry lights: puddle lamps · Front fog lights · Headlights: dusk sensing, auto delay off MirrorsExterior mirrors: power, power folding, integrated turn signals, driver side auto - dimming, heated Passenger SeatManual Adjustments: 4 Rear SeatsFolding: power return · Heated · Rear heat: rear ventilation ducts with fan control · Type: bucket RoofRoof rack SafetyChild safety locks · Child seat anchors · Parking sensors: rear SeatbeltsRear center seatbelt: 3 - point SeatsDriver seat power adjustments: reclining, height · Front seat type: bucket · Rear headrests: adjustable · Rear seat manual adjustments: reclining · Upholstery: leather - trimmed Security2 - stage unlocking doors · Engine immobilizer · Power door locks Spare TireMount Location: underbody Spare WheelRim Type: steel Stability and TractionStability control SuspensionActive · Air Suspension: rear · Front Arm Type:
upper and lower control arms · Front Shock Type: gas shock absorbers · Front Spring Type: coil springs · Front Suspension Classification: independent · Front Suspension Type: strut · Leveling: self leveling suspension · Rear Shock Type: gas shock absorbers · Rear Spring Type: coil springs · Rear Suspension Classification: solid live axle · Rear Suspension Type: multi-link · Stabilizer bar (s): front, rear · Suspension control: electronic TelematicsSatellite communications: OnStar Third Row SeatType: removable bench, 50 - 50 split bench · Upholstery: vinyl TiresTire Pressure Monitoring System · Type: all season Tires and RimsP Tires · Spare tire size: full - size non-matching · Wheels: polished aluminum Truck FeaturesRunning boards: step WheelsWheel locks: spare only WindowsFront wipers: rain sensing, intermittent · Power windows · Privacy glass · Rear defogger · Rear wiper: intermittent NAVIGATIONBOSE STEREO SYSTEMREAR PARKING SENSORSSTABILITRACKKEY W / REMOTESUNROOFELECTRIC
TAIL GATEELECTRIC REAR SEATSHEATED SEATSDUAL POWER SEATSQUAD SEATING ENTERTAINMENT PACKAGEELECTRIC FOLD DOWN REAR SEATSBACKUP CAMERA512 -985-6673
Yes, you'll find hints
of the familiar — the rear lamp assy
of the A4, the front shoulder
of the E60 5er and a rather Saab - ish rear
upper deck, but the entire amalgamation
of lines hangs together so organically the profile just works.It looks simplistic upon initial glance, all that contouring, but you have to admire the complete manner in which the lines are so fully resolved on this one, and it takes a moment beyond the first few glimpses to realise that — witness the sculpturing from the C - pillar back on to the
tail and you'll get an idea
of how the complex seems simple.
The dominant
upper edge
of the wings underscores the wedge shape
of the downward - slanting shoulder line, which combines at the rear with the
upper edge
of the
tail lights.
The 2017 Escape is distinguished by sleeker new daytime running light - equipped headlights flanking a new large
upper trapezoidal two - bar grille and a smaller lower grille, a domed bonnet, revised tailgate, restyled
tail - lights and a new range
of 18 - and 19 - inch alloy wheel designs for Trend and Titanium models.
The overlapping tailgate takes the
upper part
of the
tail lamps with it as it rises to make the opening even more generous.
A modification was made to the rear
of the vehicle on all second generation vehicles in that a glass panel was installed on the
upper half
of the rear
of the vehicle, above the
tail lights which aided in rearward visibility in addition to the glass hatchback.
As sales channels evolve and digital sales (as opposed to sales
of physical books via online channels) become more robust, a publisher will still have the
upper hand over individual authors for the same reasons, because direct access to distribution doesn't mean equal (or profitable) access, and the long
tail favors scale.
• The pin bar itself was obvious and had an obvious
upper wick or
tail, which showed clear rejection
of the 8 day EMA dynamic resistance level.
Normally, we avoid trading counter-trend, but this pin is showing rejection
of a longer - term resistance that you can easily see if you zoom out to a weekly chart, and the pin has good definition with a nice bearish close and protruding
upper tail.
Remove excess hair from muzzle, temples, neck (lay the key point onto the
upper side), back, flanks and the
upper side
of tail.