Sentences with phrase «upside risk»

In traditional investing, the average investor can't outright short the market by selling stocks or indexes short because of the unlimited upside risk.

Fixed income investors have essentially given up on inflation ever coming back since little upside risk of that happening is currently priced into interest rate markets.

We see upside risk in Europe, where we do not expect elections to deliver the populist outcomes that markets have been fearing.

«Some other participants, however, were more worried about upside risks to inflation arising from a labor market that had already reached full employment and was projected to tighten further.»

From a risk - management perspective, therefore, the asymmetry in the conventional policy toolkit would lead me to expect policy to be tilted somewhat in favor of guarding against downside risks relative to preemptively raising rates to guard against upside risks.

In fact, Torsten Sløk, Deutsche Bank's chief international economist, told MarketWatch that the real threat to markets may be the economy overheating: «There are certainly upside risks to inflation, but I think it is too early to call for a slowdown in growth.

Citing upside risks to inflation that may boost the U.S. dollar, Bank of America this week said 3 Fed hikes this year was a real possibility.

On the other hand, while our forecasts for U.S. core inflation at 1.7 % are largely in line with consensus expectations, we see upside risks due to tax reform.

The three main upside risks to inflation in Canada relate to the possibility of higher global inflationary pressures, stronger Canadian exports and renewed momentum in Canadian residential investment.

I think there's more downside risk than upside risk at this stage.

Risk factors into every investment decision we make, because limiting losses in volatile markets is just as critical as maximizing returns on the upside

The global pick - up in demand and activity could, in due course, start to provide upside risks to world inflation, further lifting commodity prices and prices of traded goods and services more generally.

In all, we «guestimate» that TLTRO II could attract more than EUR100bn in additional net demand, resulting in a cumulated TLTRO II take - up of at least EUR500bn, with upside risks.

While Nintendo Co., Ltd (ADR)(OTC: NTDOY) shares appear overvalued, Goldman Sachs» Masaru Sugiyama believes there still is meaningful upside risk to the stock.

A material weakness in the dollar over and above what we were assuming in the 2018 Global Macro Outlook would introduce upside risks to U.S. inflation in the second half of 2018 and in 2019.

«However, the key upside risk is corporate activity.

Wealth preservation insurance is a hedge against uncertain upside risk, and covers risks that are harder to «self - insure» against.

Although VXX has a very strong downtrend, I am not a fan of developing short strategies on it due to the huge upside risk.

And don't forget about upside risk.

He sees upside risk to S&P's forecast of 2.8 percent real growth in the economy this year — in large part because of the fiscal stimulus of the recent budget ($ 300 billion in increased government spending over two years) and of the tax cuts that take effect this year.

On the positive end, the team also points to two upside risks: significant fiscal accommodations and fast track reform in the US, as well as more capex.

Though all measures of inflation were coming down as summer turned to fall and the economy clearly was slowing following a July brush with $ 4 - a-gallon gasoline, the FOMC decided to hold the fed funds rate at 2 %, concluding that «the downside risks to growth and the upside risks to inflation are both of significant concern to the committee.»

Governing Council sees stronger household spending as an upside risk to inflation in the short term, but a downside risk over the longer term.

But there is not a lot of room left on the downside, and indeed, the upside risk is much greater.

As it turned out, the upside risks to inflation didn't materialize.

Given these factors, if uncertainty fades about the prospects for China and other emerging markets, there is some upside risk to our commodity price assumptions, with implications for Canada.

At the time, the outcomes that we have seen recently were viewed as a possible «upside risk», although most observers thought the likelihood of this risk materialising was quite low.

Coupled with the falling dollar, which raises the cost of imports, those trends could elevate inflation for several years and, he said: «The upside risk to inflation is something markets should be paying more attention to.»

That just means that there is some upside risk if everything gets clarified.

However, effective, integrated models require more than just an upside risk sharing arrangement with community providers, or an internal bolt - on house call program.

Venezuela, then, presents a much more likely — and more imminent — upside risk to oil prices.

While we will not know its full impact for some time, we flagged it as an upside risk to productivity in our April Monetary Policy Report.

These risks include the downside ones of a Chinese yuan devaluation and a U.K. exit from the European Union, as well as the upside risks of an emerging market rebound or a moderate rise in inflation expectations on improving growth prospects.

Downside risk versus upside risk?

This is not our base - case expectation; however, it certainly remains an upside risk for oil, which we think currently is not being priced in.

«This could mean that growth is back on the agenda for QBE, perhaps suggesting some upside risk to our topline forecasts,» he said.

Bankers don't, since the downside risk is socialised into bailouts, while the upside risk goes into their paypackets.

The downside risks to growth and the upside risks to inflation are both of significant concern to the Committee.

Sources of upside risks to the inflation outlook include a stronger - than - expected construction sector and continuing housing price increases, together with firmer conditions in the Australian labour market.

Yet, at a macro level, our economists view this as a medium - term positive, with 0.2 - 0.3 percentage point of upside risk to their 2018 GDP forecast of 1.1 % growth.

The upside risks to the inflation outlook appear more prominent towards the end of the forecast horizon and relate to the strength of economic activity and the impact of this on upstream inflationary pressures and wage outcomes.

Since the growth path forward will be dependent on Production Enhancement, which ought to have a lower ROIC than Reservoir Description, the upside risk may not be as high as I originally thought.

Upside risks to growth may fuel rising inflation expectations, which should also manifest themselves in steeper long - end curves.

See here or scroll to the end of this post (where I explained «upside risk» to see a similar conclusion from JPMorgan.)

The downside risks to growth and the upside risks to inflation are both of significant concern to the Committee.

Now equities also have upside risk — your realized returns could be more than your expected returns.