In this case I have ensured that each sample only contains whole «winters» to avoid
an upside risk of a false positive.
Fixed income investors have essentially given up on inflation ever coming back since little
upside risk of that happening is currently priced into interest rate markets.
These risks include the downside ones of a Chinese yuan devaluation and a U.K. exit from the European Union, as well as
the upside risks of an emerging market rebound or a moderate rise in inflation expectations on improving growth prospects.
Not exact matches
Lacavera declines to discuss specifics, except to say, «I'm considering something unique that keeps a greater percentage
of risk with Globalive, and a greater percentage
of the
upside.»
While models that attempt to forecast potential economic impacts provide useful insights regarding potential
risks when exploring policy choices, the Commission is
of the view that it must also consider the potential
upsides of greater choice, including the retention
of subscribers in the system, as well as the
risks associated with maintaining the status quo in a context
of increased demand for more choice.
Those spreads are still pretty wide, so you can get a lot
of upside if you're willing to take slightly more
risk by going into emerging markets.
«We remain constructive on equities overall with an expectation
of upside risks for 2013,» writes Lee.
Benefits
of annuities include guaranteed income, protection against longevity
risk and
upside participation with downside protection.
Debt helps explain why American and United offer both the biggest
upsides and the greatest
risks of the Big Four.
We'll manage that money in a way that will mitigate the
risk of loss for investors, and provide them
upside opportunity independent
of the success
of the league.
For investors, it cuts the
risk associated with a pure equity stake while maintaining the
upside of an equity position.
'' [But] with the stock at 30 times 2020 earnings, with the
upside coming from a glutted market,» he continued, «we think the
risk - reward in this, given where other LNG plays are in Australia and elsewhere, is just completely out -
of - whack.»
«There's a lot more
upside potential than downside
risk,» says David Elstone, an analyst with Gibsons, B.C. — based ERA Forest Products Research, who notes that those improved 2012 housing starts were still less than half
of historical norms.
VCs need big
upside potential to offset the high
risk of a startup, so translate your big vision into big numbers.
Employees who are
risk - takers will be more willing to assume the
risk associated with working in a startup, as they focus on the potential
upside of success more than the downside
of failure.
Though all measures
of inflation were coming down as summer turned to fall and the economy clearly was slowing following a July brush with $ 4 - a-gallon gasoline, the FOMC decided to hold the fed funds rate at 2 %, concluding that «the downside
risks to growth and the
upside risks to inflation are both
of significant concern to the committee.»
Being overtly
risk - averse and not taking advantage
of the
upside potential is not the way to go.»
... It simply means they're looking to use the least amount
of risk to get the max amount
of upside, and that's what they live for,» says Robbins.
At the time, the outcomes that we have seen recently were viewed as a possible «
upside risk», although most observers thought the likelihood
of this
risk materialising was quite low.
A post-employment retention requirement that is linked to the amount
of compensation and the total shares issued to NEOs will ensure they share in both the
upside and downside
risk of their actions taken while at the Company.
From a
risk - management perspective, therefore, the asymmetry in the conventional policy toolkit would lead me to expect policy to be tilted somewhat in favor
of guarding against downside
risks relative to preemptively raising rates to guard against
upside risks.
Given the high allocation to Attractive - or - better rated stocks, and equal allocation to Unattractive - or - worse rated stocks relative to the benchmark XLF, KIE appears well positioned to capture
upside potential while taking on an average level
of downside
risk.
As a result, we believe credit offers less
upside than equities on a
risk - adjusted basis if our scenario
of sustained global expansion pans out.
These behavioral finance influences can skew a portfolio's overall allocations toward an overemphasis
of potentially higher - yielding equities that in some instances may represent more downside
risk than
upside potential at current valuation levels.
Such strategies don't literally turn stocks into bonds, but they do create similar
risk profiles: limited
upside potential with plenty
of downside.
Total Compensation: In aggregate, the key elements
of compensation below provide for an emphasis on performance and at -
risk pay, with a significant
upside based on exceptional Company and individual performance.
Given this favorable combination
of Attractive vs. Unattractive allocations relative to the XLI benchmark, JETS appears well positioned to capture
upside potential while minimizing downside
risk.
Coupled with the falling dollar, which raises the cost
of imports, those trends could elevate inflation for several years and, he said: «The
upside risk to inflation is something markets should be paying more attention to.»
The
upside potential will be less than if the money goes into buckets with greater potential
risk of loss.
Goldman Sachs wrote in a research note earlier this week that the «[p] rice
risk is likely skewed to the
upside heading into Wednesday,» adding that «even in the absence
of a cut, we expect the oil market to move into deficit by the second half
of 2017.»
«As individuals approach the later stages
of their working years they want to minimize their exposure to market
risk while still taking advantage
of upside potential,» said Bob Shaw, president
of Individual Markets at Great - West Financial, in a news release.
This benefit outweighs the benefits
of preferred share deals that offer investors better
upside potential and protection for downside
risk.
These investors require additional
upside potential as well as downside protection from the rights
of the preferred shares in exchange for the high degree
of investment
risk.
«In addition to magnifying losses as well as gains, leverage carries an extra
risk on the downside that isn't offset by accompanying
upside: the
risk of ruin» Howard Marks
The
risk to the investor on the sidelines is that he or she leaves it too late, and misses much
of the
upside from the next bull run.
... The stock market essentially has a lot
of upside potential without much downside
risk....
So an «
upside - down out
of the gates» January is more than inauspicious — it's an outright «non-starter» for
risk managers in light
of the performance - challenged era
of the past few years.
The Bank's current assessment is that inflation (excluding tax effects) is likely to be in the upper part
of the target zone over the next four to six quarters, though inflation
risks overall are tilted somewhat to the
upside.
«A startup's ability to issue stock options levels the playing field by giving potential employees something unique: the ability to share in the company's rewards as well as its
risks and participate in the
upside of a new and exciting venture.»
There is also a plausible
risk that China will retaliate by selling a portion
of its vast US treasury debt holdings, putting further
upside pressure on already rising US interest rates.
By leveraging the macro-economic analysis
of John, the team draws on over five decades
of experience to seek out their favorite investment opportunities across the globe, clearly identifying the
risks and
upside potential
of each investment, and monitoring performance as part
of regular portfolio updates.
C gets our «very dangerous» rating because we believe the downside
risk dwarfs the
upside potential
of the stock.
Bigoray Facilities Owned 100 % W.I. by Pulse: As most
of the required infrastructure for the Bigoray EOR is in place, the miscible flood project requires a relatively small investment per Nisku Reef providing massive
upside without the
risk and significant cost
of an extensive horizontal drilling program.
The 2018 budget forecast is «based on an average
of the December 2017 private sector economic outlook survey, and also reflects
upside and downside
risks, noted above, identified through ongoing engagement with survey participants.»
This means that great success has already been priced in, leaving plenty
of risk and no valuation - related
upside for new buyers
of the shares.
On the
upside, we see the
risk of domino referenda on EU membership as minimal over this timeframe.
The high expectations in the prices
of these stocks expose investors to lots
of downside
risk and little
upside potential.
The downside
risks to growth and the
upside risks to inflation are both
of significant concern to the Committee.
The problem with such a
risk profile is that it is very similar to an investment in equities, where investors accept much less security for the
upside of an ownership stake in the business.
Given the momentum
of the global economy, and with interest rates in many countries still not far from their historic lows, we think the
risks for both inflation and interest rates look tilted to the
upside.