Sentences with phrase «upward bias in»

If someone is working on that then all might be clear sooner rather than later, as it seems to me that there is some evidence of conscious and unconscious upward bias in the record for the last 100 years and more.

It is not clear if Schmidt's advocacy for the GRACE estimates was guided by his persistent protection of the global warming meme, or if his interviewers omitted any honest discussion of papers demonstrating the upward bias in most GIA estimates.

This also suggests that there is a systematic upward bias in the impacts estimates based on these models just from this factor alone.

This would obviously lead to an upward bias in value returns.

8/9/13 Consolidation in the Uptrend 8/3/13 Upward Bias 7/27/13 Consolidation in the Uptrend with a Chance of a Pullback 7/19/13 Continued Upward Price Movement with Caution 7/12/13 Continued Upside With a Possibility of Consolidation 7/5/13 Upward Price Action in the Intermediate Downtrend in the Long Term Uptrend 6/29/13 Continued Rise in the Pullback in the Uptrend 6/22/13 Continued Pullback in the Uptrend 6/15/13 Consolidation with a Downside Bias in the Uptrend 6/8/13 Continued Uptrend 6/1/13 Continued Downside in the Uptrend 5/24/13 Short Term Consolidation or Pullback in the Uptrend 5/18/13 Continued Upside, But with Caution in the Short Term 5/11/13 Continued Uptrend 5/4/13 Continued Uptrend 4/27/13 Short Term Bias For a Pullback in Consolidation Channel Within the Uptrend 4/20/13 Uptrend With Consolidation or Pullback Possible 4/13/13 Continued Upside Bias 4/6/13 Continued Broad Consolidation with a Chance of a Pullback 3/29/13 Continued Upward Price Trend 3/23/13 Consolidation with and Upward bias in the Uptrend 3/16/13 Continued Upside with a Chance of a Short Term Pullback 3/9/13 Continued Uptrend with Some Caution 3/2/13 Upside Bias with Caution 2/23/13 Short Term Potential Pullback Within Longer Term Uptrend 2/16/13 Continued Upside

The US Dollar Index ($ UUP) had a slight upward bias in the sideways price action while US Treasuries ($ TLT) were biased to continue higher.

The chart shows the average monthly returns for 20 groups of stocks sorted by size before and after correcting for the upward bias in the database.

This effectively gave a much greater weight to the high emission (A1) scenarios compared with scenarios in the other families that the SRES authors elected not to explore in the same detail, and led to a significant upward bias in the probability distribution.

Not exact matches

In regard to some of the metrics on the US economy, she remained fairly positive about the US employment outlook, even mentioning wages and a slight upward bias was noted there.

However, some seasonality appears to remain in the CFLP data, as shown in the below chart, with an upward bias especially evident for the month of March, which is likely the main reason why the surveys sent conflicting signals.

Another potential upward bias on assessments of special language programs, particularly bilingual education programs, is differences in opportunity.

But we believe there is an upward bias, particularly from the new 7 - and 9 - inch models, which we expect to launch in mid-2012.»

«We believe there is an upward bias, particularly from the new 7 - and 9 - inch models, which we expect to launch in mid-2012,» Bartley wrote in a note to clients.

Of course, leveraged ETFs performed in stellar fashion during this period due to an unprecedented upward bias with very little downward volatility (see how leveraged ETFs can lose 90 % even when the underlying index is flat over a given period), but there are even some sector / country conventional ETFs in there as well:

This market looks to be in an upward swing after finding support a few weeks back at 1.3750 area, as a result, we retain a bullish bias above that 1.3750 level.

Their charts shared an upward bias but more decidedly so in the IWM, possibly the next leader in the rotation, with the SPY and QQQ a bit more cautious and consolidating.

In fact, I find that for the lowest uncertainty stocks analysts, on average, exhibit no upward earnings forecast bias within a calendar year.

When the price is above the EMA, a your bias will be long, so what you should look for is for the price to drop and touch the EMA, rebuff from it and move in the upward direction.

The US Dollar Index seems content to move sideways but now with a upward bias as US Treasuries move lower in the broad consolidation zone.

Other ways that the standard or «consensus» calculations bias the climate sensitivity upward also exist and are also not negligible (or at least there is no scientific case that they are negligible), but for now it is sufficient to think about, and try to estimate, the magnitude of the increase in H2O and latent heat flow from surface to upper troposphere.

This biases the estimate of the climate sensitivity in the upward direction.

What our analysis does do is confirm that the explicitly stated data issues that come with the JTWC best track do have a temporal dependence in them, and as it happens, this bias introduces an upward trend in metrics based on intensity.

The WMO quotes only surface temperature data, which may be subject to upward biases from meteorological stations sited in cities and ships that are thermal sources.

I've done a fair amount of calculations trying to estimate this bias, and in the case of paleoclimate 3C estimates, an upward of at least 0.5 C due to this bias is not unreasonable, especially when the «consensus» position is to basically ignore milankovitch cycles when explaining temperature changes over the pleistocene, even though milankovitch cycles are the ultimate causes of those temperature changes.

If the upward jumps are greater in number than the downward jumps, but they have equal means and standard deviations, then I don't see how the algorithm introduces a bias.

Mr. Christy is generous to discuss man's contribution (to warming) but, in the process, he validates the adulteration and upward - biased adjustment of the temperature records (to create a manmade on paper global warming) which has become a cottage industry in climate science.

Or maybe, «As shown in Figures 1.4 and 1.5, since the end of the 1992 Pinatubo volcano, models have predicted a steady upward trend in global average temperatures, but the observed series have been comparatively trendless, and thus the range of model warming predictions since the early 1990s can be seen to have been biased towards more warming than was subsequently observed.»

One criticism is that the study does adjust for the rising value and increased building along coastal areas so that the apparent increase in damages over time are biased upward.

If the posterior is biased upward or downward or has the wrong scale or skewness for a particular subset of the parameter space, that is a problem only if we can observe what part of the parameter space we are in and so could use that information to improve the posterior.

But the upward steps illustrated in Figure 5 and 6 bias global temperature data upwards.

If the trend is somewhere in the middle, and if you further correctly remove the warm biases and uncertainty pointed to by Pielke this a.m. — then you are probably left with a weak upward trend.

By biasing the signal corrrelation upward you appear to strengthen the evidence in favor of the hypothesis, when in reality all you are doing is delaying the cost that ultimately must be paid, sooner or later, when subsequent samples exhibit surprising «divergence».

They seem to be in essence curve fits of some variation on a random walk, tweaked to have an overall upward bias and to manage to match some historical data in some ways (or as some studies suggest, tweaked to match each other even more than being tweaked to match reality), with the same question that any curve fit therefore has as to whether there is any reason to believe it matches the real world process generating the data.

We also see evidence of this same sort of siting problem around the world at many other official weather stations, suggesting that the same upward bias on trend also manifests itself in the global temperature record.»

Ignoring that leads to an error that is larger than the effect being calculated, and biases the calculated change in Earth surface temperature upward.