The heat lost by each warm anomaly as it passes eastwards must in part be lost into the bulk of the Atlantic water mass below, but there is good evidence also of significant
upward heat flux during transit along the slope: despite microstructure observations that suggest that mixing is very weak across the Arctic halocline, heat budget estimates nevertheless yield significant vertical fluxes.
Clouds reduce losses from
upward heat flux and reflects more sunlight back into space — with SW reflection losses the more significant.
This still leaves aside the latent heat flux, which in general accounts for something like half
the upward heat flux.
Not exact matches
However, the colder ocean surface reduces
upward radiative, sensible and latent
heat fluxes, thus causing a large (∼ 50 W m − 2) increase in energy into the North Atlantic and a substantial but smaller
flux into the Southern Ocean (Fig. 8c).
•» According to Zhang (2007) thermal expansion in the lower latitude is unlikely because of the reduced salt rejection and upper - ocean density and the enhanced thermohaline stratification tend to suppress convective overturning, leading to a decrease in the
upward ocean
heat transport and the ocean
heat flux available to melt sea ice.
When there is no solar
heating above some level, the net non-SW
heat flux must be
upward and constant at all levels from the tropopause to TOA in equilibrium, to balance solar
heating below that level.
But then there's feedbacks within the stratosphere (water vapor), which would increase the stratospheric
heating by
upward radiation from below, as well as add some feedback to the downward
flux at TRPP that the
upward flux at TRPP would have to respond to via warming below TRPP.
In the approximation of zero non-radiative vertical
heat fluxes above the tropopause, net
upward LW
flux = net downward SW
flux (equal to all solar
heating below) at each vertical level (in the global time average for an equilibrium climate state) at and above the tropopause (for global averaging, the «vertical levels» can just be closed surfaces around the globe that everywhere lie above or at the tropopause; the
flux would then be through those surfaces, which wouldn't be precisely horizontal but generally approximately horizontal).
Before allowing the temperature to respond, we can consider the forcing at the tropopause (TRPP) and at TOA, both reductions in net
upward fluxes (though at TOA, the net
upward LW
flux is simply the OLR); my point is that even without direct solar
heating above the tropopause, the forcing at TOA can be less than the forcing at TRPP (as explained in detail for CO2 in my 348, but in general, it is possible to bring the net
upward flux at TRPP toward zero but even with saturation at TOA, the nonzero skin temperature requires some nonzero net
upward flux to remain — now it just depends on what the net
fluxes were before we made the changes, and whether the proportionality of forcings at TRPP and TOA is similar if the effect has not approached saturation at TRPP); the forcing at TRPP is the forcing on the surface + troposphere, which they must warm up to balance, while the forcing difference between TOA and TRPP is the forcing on the stratosphere; if the forcing at TRPP is larger than at TOA, the stratosphere must cool, reducing outward
fluxes from the stratosphere by the same total amount as the difference in forcings between TRPP and TOA.
The
heat flux above the Atlantic temperature maximum is
upward.
The increase / decrease of net
upward LW
flux going from one level to a higher level equals the net cooling /
heating of that layer by LW radiation — in equilibrium this must be balanaced by solar
heating / cooling + convective / conductive
heating / cooling, and those are related to
flux variation in height in the same way.
The skin layer planet is optically very thin, so it doesn't affect the OLR significantly, but (absent direct solar
heating) the little bit of the radiant
flux (approximatly equal to the OLR) from below that it absorbs must be (at equilibrium) balanced by emission, which will be both downward and
upward, so the
flux emitted in either direction is only half of what was absorbed from below; via Kirchhoff's Law, the temperature must be smaller than the brightness temperature of the OLR (for a grey gas, Tskin ^ 4 ~ = (Te ^ 4) / 2, where Te is the effective radiating temperature for the planet, equal to the brightness temperature of the OLR — *** HOWEVER, see below ***).
In general, so long as there is some solar
heating beneath some level, there must be a net LW + convective
heat flux upward at that level to balance it in equilibrium; convection tends to require some nonzero temperature decline with height, and a net
upward LW
flux requires either that the temperature declines with height on the scale of photon paths (from emission to absorption), or else requires at least a partial «veiw» of space, which can be blocked by increasing optical thickness above that level.
(PS I only know that those non-radiative
fluxes are small — I would very much like to know numerically what they are (the
upward kinetic energy
flux and the
heat flux of the thermally - indirect overturning).)
If the tropopause level LW
flux were ever saturated over the whole LW portion of the spectrum, and there were still significant solar
heating below that level, then the tropopause would tend to shift
upward to where the LW
flux is not saturated at some frequencies; in an equilibrium climate, the net LW
flux out of the tropopause has to balance SW
heating below the tropopause (in the approximation of zero non-radiative
flux out of the tropopause), and thus can not be zero.
Non-radiative
heat fluxes drop to approximately zero (at least for the global time average) going above the tropopause (there is a little leakage of convection through the stratosphere and mesosphere via
upward propagation of kinetic energy and the Brewer - Dobson (does that term include the mesospheric part?)
There can / will be local and regional, latitudinal, diurnal and seasonal, and internal variability - related deviations to the pattern (in temperature and in optical properties (LW and SW) from components (water vapor, clouds, snow, etc.) that vary with weather and climate), but the global average effect is at least somewhat constrained by the global average vertical distribution of solar
heating, which requires the equilibrium net convective + LW
fluxes, in the global average, to be sizable and
upward at all levels from the surface to TOA, thus tending to limit the extent and magnitude of inversions.)
In equilibrium these would be balanced by
upward transfer of infrared radiation emitted by the surface, by sensible
heat flux (warm air carried
upward) and by latent
heat flux (i.e. evaporation — moisture carried
upward).
Solar
heating at all levels beneath the tropopause, whether at the surface or aloft, still must be approximately balanced by the net
upward LW
flux at the tropopause in an equilibrium climate.
where SW denotes net downward shortwave radiation, LW net
upward longwave radiation, LH latent
heat flux, and SH sensible
heat flux I can find these products at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.ncep.reanalysis.surfaceflux.html Regarding the latent and sensible
fluxes I don't have a problem (since there are only two in the NCEP list), but regarding the others I have several.
However, this contribution to sea - ice loss remains uncertain pending new field experiments that will provide estimates of
upward AW
heat fluxes.
delta - T is the change in surface temperature required to return the
Upward IR
Heat Flux to 267.057 W / m2, the 400 ppm value.
Using the default MODTRAN 3.5 values and setting CO2 to 380 ppm and 420 ppm, the
upward IR
heat flux, and related change, are provided in the table.
Values such as 0.70000 C are not known with this precision but precision is irrelevant because it is the residual of the 0.7 C anomaly (computed here as 0.003 C per 1.441 mm of near - surface depth for 2000 - 2010, 0.00538 C for 2013) that is adding the ocean
heat, so if actual at ocean - air interface were, say, 0.726 C then it must be 0.723 C at 1.441 mm depth to reduce
upward flux by 1.21 w / m ** 2 and cause the measured +138 ZettaJoules / decade.
To return to the original
upward IR
heat flux after increasing the CO2, the ground temperature must be increased by some value which is entered via Temperature Offset, C. Using the tropical atmosphere and Archibald's CO2 values, the adjustment is 0.11 °C which would yield an increase for doubling of 0.76 °C.
To summarise the arguments presented so far concerning ice - loss in the arctic basin, at least four mechanisms must be recognised: (i) a momentum - induced slowing of winter ice formation, (ii)
upward heat -
flux from anomalously warm Atlantic water through the surface low ‐ salinity layer below the ice, (iii) wind patterns that cause the export of anomalous amounts of drift ice through the Fram Straits and disperse pack - ice in the western basin and (iv) the anomalous
flux of warm Bering Sea water into the eastern Arctic of the mid 1990s.
GHGs direct some of the
upward radiative
heat flux back down towards the surface, which means that when GHG concentrations are increased other
heat fluxs (e.g. convection) must increase to compensate.
For instance, when the long wave radiation from the upper few micrometers of the ocean is
upward, the skin temperature is usually cooler than the bulk SST.Latent and sensible
heat fluxes can cool the sea surface further if the air is dryer or colder.
If we hold the latent and sensible
heat fluxes constant, keep the atmosphere
upward - downward ratio the same, and assume both surface and atmosphere emissivities at 1.0, then when we narrow the window ever so slightly, the surface temperature increases.
The 2008 K&T cartoon gives a NET
upward radiation
flux from the surface of 33w / m2 with a downward adjustment to water vapour to 76w / m2 and conduction to 16w / m2 but the point holds; that point is more net
heat is leaving the surface through methods other than radiation, particularly water; that to me means 2 things; water is a dominant mover of
heat compared to CO2 and the sun's 168/166 w / m2 is a far more dominant heater than CO2 backradiation.
Su — Fo (= Su — OLR (= G)-RRB- represents a net
upward LW energy flow in the atmosphere, (Ed — Eu)(= G) represents a net downward LW
flux (as we said: Ed is the downwelling radiative
heating, Eu has it energetic source in the sum of K and F).