That pair of conditions has generally been associated with hard
upward inflation pressures.
Not exact matches
Non-energy exporters were getting a bigger boost from the exchange rate than the Bank of Canada expected in October, putting
upward pressure on
inflation, he said.
That's going to put even more
upward pressure on wage
inflation.
«Underlying
inflation pressures continue to remain subdued and have yet to show a convincing
upward trend,» ECB President Mario Draghi said Thursday.
Indeed, the evidence I reviewed does not support the view — expounded by the new Bank of Japan management — that by buying more longer - dated securities (i.e., running printing presses a bit faster) will boost
upward pressures in labor and product markets to bring stronger economic growth and an
inflation rate of 2 percent.
If true, expect more fuel to be added to the commodities fire, further increasing drag on global economic activity while adding to the already worrisome
upward pressure on
inflation.
Policy makers now say it will take until the middle of 2018 before Canada's economy is generating output at a level that would put
upward pressure on
inflation, «materially later» than was previously expected.
In 2005, the potential annual growth rate of the global economy — the rate at which there is no
upward pressure on
inflation — was 5 %.
The report said the primary
upward pressure on
inflation was driven by higher costs for air transportation, gasoline and restaurants.
Therefore, because the economy has been rolling since at least the middle of last year,
upward pressure on
inflation must be building.
The neutral rate is a level that puts neither
upward or downward
pressure on
inflation, at is at around 2.9 %, according to the most recent chart, or dot plot, of Fed members» outlook for interest rates.
The economy continues to gain strength, and the minutes said a decline in the foreign exchange value of the dollar was also likely to put
upward pressure on
inflation.
At the current stage of the expansion there are a number of factors that might be expected to put
upward pressure on
inflation.
Labor shortages are expected to cause wages to rise and put
upward pressure on
inflation.
While growth is solid and
inflation rising, we are not yet seeing the kind of
upward pressure on wages that is needed to sustain gains in the underlying or core
inflation rate.
In contrast, core
inflation, which strips out the most volatile
inflation components, is facing
upward pressure because recent declines in the exchange rate are boosting the prices of imported goods.
If China is truly rebalancing, at least part of this is going to show up in
upward inflationary
pressure, although it is likely to be the «right» kind of
inflation — i.e. it will hurt the rich more than the poor because it will be based on non-food rather than food items.
The stimulus from lower taxes will put
upward pressure on
inflation, forcing borrowing costs higher.
Given these conditions, a key issue for the Australian economy will be the extent to which the ongoing growth of demand might give rise to capacity constraints and, consequently,
upward pressure on wage and price
inflation.
Upward pressures on wages and prices associated with demand from the resource sector, and any excess demand in the non-tradable sector, might require an increase in interest rates in order to contain
inflation; this will depend in part on the extent of the exchange rate appreciation.
Any external
upward pressure on interest rates beyond a fraction of a percent will have to be rapidly offset by a large reduction in the outstanding monetary base in order to avoid a deterioration in the value of money relative to goods and services (i.e.
inflation).
Economic data has been improving, financial markets are calm, and Trump's planned fiscal spending will likely put
upward pressure on
inflation — not to mention the impact of rising crude oil prices.
Our model indicates that going forward, long - term yields will likely be subject to three
upward pressures: (1) Our forecasted increase in
inflation will boost nominal GDP growth; (2) As forward guidance is replaced by a data - dependent monetary tightening, volatility in short rates will increase; and (3) As the impact of QE on the Treasury market fades, long - term yields will trend back to their historical link with nominal GDP growth.
In a scenario with a reasonably benign world environment, these factors could see a strengthening of demand
pressures and hence
upward pressure on wage and price
inflation.
Our econometric analysis shows that global factors play a dominant role in driving
inflation at the individual country level; our measure of the global output gap has begun to increase, and should rise further as emerging markets recover, exerting
upward pressure on
inflation rates.
Many of those jobs have been in service sectors which, unlike manufacturing, have been growing and even putting
upward pressure on
inflation in those sectors.
Also, if domestic economic activity and demand were to be even stronger than expected, given the existing strength of the labour market,
upward pressure on labour costs could emerge, eventually pushing
inflation higher.
Based on the CPI,
inflation is currently 1.3 per cent (Graph 12), although the Bank of England expects
upward pressure on
inflation to build gradually over the medium term.
Given the likely strength of the economy, domestically sourced price
pressures are expected to remain relatively strong, with
inflation projected to be on an
upward trajectory through 2005.
This is placing some
upward pressure on domestically sourced
inflation, with the non-tradables component of the CPI rising by 4.1 per cent over the past year.
Food prices ought to spike next year, which will continue to place
upward pressure on
inflation.
This can lead to excessive spending, causing
inflation from an
upward pressure on prices.
Core
inflation continues to be near the 2.0 % target as the past decline in the Canadian dollar puts
upward pressure on imported products, which has been largely offset by the deflationary effect of excess capacity.
With wage
pressure and
inflation moving
upward, the Fed signaling its intention to raise short - term interest rates, and the approaching end of an unprecedented era of falling interest rates, indications point toward higher rates ahead.
Food prices ought to spike next year, which will continue to place
upward pressure on
inflation.
In contrast, core
inflation, which strips out the most volatile
inflation components, is facing
upward pressure because recent declines in the exchange rate are boosting the prices of imported goods.
I remain convinced that the enormous issuance of government liabilities we've observed is likely to result in a longer - term
upward shift in the U.S. price level, but there is not an immediate reason to expect
inflation pressure at horizons of less than a few years.
Upward pressure on wage rates associated with tight labor markets, the impact of new fiscal policies, and the threat of rising tariffs on imported goods into the U.S. could very likely push
inflation past the Fed's targeted 2 % goal.
According to global property advisor CBRE, the recent rise in
inflation and higher interest rates is expected to put
upward pressure on U.S. capitalization rates in 2018.
A rate much below the natural rate of unemployment is believed to fuel
inflation through
upward pressure on wage rates.
Inflation is not adding any
upward pressure on interest rates as the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index was unchanged in July.»