Both because we felt that NOAA got a lot of unfair criticism, and also because their new results did produce some real scientific uncertainties; not only is their new temperature record warmer than their old one, it's also a bit warmer than the UK's Hadley Center record, which is probably the most commonly
used ocean temperature record,» Hausfather says.
Not exact matches
The scientists, led by Eric Oliver of Dalhousie University in Canada, investigated long - term heat wave trends
using a combination of satellite data collected since the 1980s and direct
ocean temperature measurements collected throughout the 21st century to construct a nearly 100 - year
record of marine heat wave frequency and duration around the world.
The new sea - level
record was then
used in combination with existing deep - sea oxygen isotope
records from the open
ocean, to work out deep - sea
temperature changes.
Using records going back more than a century to the British Challenger expedition, researchers calculate that the deep
ocean is experiencing its own
temperature rise.
Using records stretching back to 1791, the study finds that a switch in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation or PDO has always been accompanied by changes in
temperature in the north and south Pacific
Ocean.
Not all of the
records agree, however, and the researchers argue that certain tools
used for reconstructing past
ocean temperatures should be re-evaluated.
In addition, since the global surface
temperature records are a measure that responds to albedo changes (volcanic aerosols, cloud cover, land
use, snow and ice cover) solar output, and differences in partition of various forcings into the
oceans / atmosphere / land / cryosphere, teasing out just the effect of CO2 + water vapor over the short term is difficult to impossible.
This result is a combination of land data,
using stations where the only measurements
recorded are those of the maximum and minimum daily
temperature, and
ocean data which are probably much more representative of the true daily mean.
In summary, the historical [Sea Surface
Temperature]
record... may well contain instrumental bias effects that render the data of questionable value in determining long period trends in
ocean surface
temperatures... Investigators that
use the data [to try this] bear a heavy, perhaps impossible, responsibility for ensuring that the potential instrument bias has not contaminated their results.
Although
ocean temperatures are more difficult to measure than land
temperatures, scientists can
use several methods to create an extensive
ocean record.
Ocean warming: «Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface temperature records» «Tracking ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
Ocean warming: «Assessing recent warming
using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface
temperature records» «Tracking
ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global
ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean temperature observations: Implications for
ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its
ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean structure since 2006»
They avoid some of the issues in Millar by
using more globally - representative surface
temperature records, though they still
use series that blend surface air
temperatures over land with slower - warming sea surface
temperatures over the
ocean.
For Climate, it could be (maybe should be) that the
temperature record itself is the test set for fitting and the troposphere signature,
ocean heat, or some other signature is
used as the «validation» set.
«
Using a GCM, can we regenerate the land temperature record from the ocean record using observed SSTs and sea ice distribution as a boundary condi
Using a GCM, can we regenerate the land
temperature record from the
ocean record using observed SSTs and sea ice distribution as a boundary condi
using observed SSTs and sea ice distribution as a boundary condition?
Impact of the weather stations adjustments on the global land -
ocean temperature record, calculated
using the Skeptical Science
temperature record calculator in «CRU» mode.
e.g. «While NOAA
uses the ERSST
ocean temperature series, other groups like the Hadley Centre in the UK have their own
record, HadSST version 3.
«Assessing recent warming
using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface
temperature records» «Tracking
ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global
ocean temperature observations: Implications for
ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its
ocean structure since 2006»
«The 20th century
temperature anomaly
record is reproduced
using an energy balance model, with a diffusive deep
ocean.
The near - linear rate of anthropogenic warming (predominantly from anthropogenic greenhouse gases) is shown in sources such as: «Deducing Multidecadal Anthropogenic Global Warming Trends
Using Multiple Regression Analysis» «The global warming hiatus — a natural product of interactions of a secular warming trend and a multi-decadal oscillation» «The Origin and Limits of the Near Proportionality between Climate Warming and Cumulative CO2 Emissions» «Sensitivity of climate to cumulative carbon emissions due to compensation of
ocean heat and carbon uptake» «Return periods of global climate fluctuations and the pause» «
Using data to attribute episodes of warming and cooling in instrumental
records» «The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions» «The sensitivity of the proportionality between
temperature change and cumulative CO2 emissions to
ocean mixing»
UC Berkeley scientists calculated average
ocean temperatures from 1999 to 2015, separately
using ocean buoys and satellite data, and confirmed the uninterrupted warming trend reported by NOAA in 2015, based on that organization's recalibration of sea surface
temperature recordings from ships and buoys.
HS12
uses the oxygen isotope
record in
ocean sediments Zachos et al. (2008) to estimate past changes of sea level and
ocean temperature, and thus obtain a largely empirical estimate of climate sensitivity.
The close match is partly a result of the fact that sea - level and
temperature data are derived from the same deep
ocean record, but
use of other sea - level reconstructions still yields a good fit between the calculated and observed
temperature [5].
We
use isotope data from Zachos et al. [4], which are improved over data
used in our earlier study [5], and we improve our prescription for separating the effects of deep
ocean temperature and ice volume in the oxygen isotope
record as well as our prescription for relating deep
ocean temperature to surface air
temperature.
You
use the land +
ocean global
temperature record, which ignores the fact that the
oceans have not equilibrated to the current forcings including CFC.
She then
used that information to create a continuous
record of the region's
ocean temperature from 1940 to 2010.
If you have good measurements of upper
ocean and atmospheric
temperatures, then if you had a good decade - long satellite
record of the Earth's total radiative energy balance from space — say, if Triana has been launched to in the late 1990s — then you could
use conservation of energy to calculate the rate of heat uptake by the deep
ocean over the past ten years.