Sentences with phrase «used real observations»

Once we have used real observations to understand the probability in the historical record, then we can use climate models to compare the probability in the current climate (in which global warming has occurred) with a climate in which there was no human - caused global warming.

Not exact matches

His observations prompted insights such as building the graphical user interface to look just like its real - world counterpart (a checkbook, for example), making it easy for people to use it.

Because believers want god to be real, they use selective observation, make excuses and hold onto expectations that are very, very unlikely — Jesus has been dead for 2000 + years.

While students are out exploring, they have opportunities to use scientific tools, make observations, and experience real science in the field.

Use their skills of observation and their stomach to experiment like a real food scientist.

The method uses a combination of manual observation and non-intrusive tracking sensors that allow researchers to track nurses in real time.

Your statement that «Thus it is natural to look at the real world and see whether there is evidence that it behaves in the same way (and it appears to, since model hindcasts of past changes match observations very well)» seems to indicate that you think there will be no changes in ocean circulation or land use trends, nor any subsequent changes in cloud responses thereto or other atmospheric circulation.

These include using the same model used to detect the planet instead to fit synthetic, planet - free data (with realistic covariance properties, and time sampling identical to the real data), and checking whether the «planet» is still detected; comparing the strength of the planetary signal with similar Keplerian signals injected into the original observations; performing Bayesian model comparisons between planet and no - planet models; and checking how robust the planetary signal is to datapoints being removed from the observations.

There are a lot of technical observations — pointing out real penguins vs. CGI, different types of fake snow, discussing the digital video cameras used, recalling filming weather conditions and times — that most viewers won't care to hear about, at least not for 94 minutes.

Initial primary observation lessons use real tulips to draw from, though this could be adapted to work from secondary imagery.

CEL coaches helped ITL2s plan this type of professional development for the teachers on their caseload: teaching lessons side by side, providing observations with immediate feedback, using real student data to assess growth.

Participants will learn how to capture real time walkthrough data and provide immediate results to teachers using web - based observation.

Students will use observation, critical thinking, and simple tests to solve a variety of crimes using real scientific methods.

By measuring teacher practice, student experience, and change over time using our survey and observation data, we'll be able to identify better indicators of personalization in a classroom — increased student agency, for example, or increased utilization of student data to tailor instruction in real time.

Teachers might also collaborate to plan, teach, and observe lessons, using lesson study or observation inquiry.2 Analyzing real - time conversations through the lesson study process helps teachers plan and test new approaches for improving student dialogue and collaboration.

You can also use the Qualitative Research Method, which is associated with narrative descriptions that deal with observation, interviews, life or personal histories, case studies, real life situations and conversational analysis.

Often isolating the dolls and photographing them situated in tiny, austere settings, Simmons uses fictional scenes to make observations about real life.

Your statement that «Thus it is natural to look at the real world and see whether there is evidence that it behaves in the same way (and it appears to, since model hindcasts of past changes match observations very well)» seems to indicate that you think there will be no changes in ocean circulation or land use trends, nor any subsequent changes in cloud responses thereto or other atmospheric circulation.

From the («lay - scientist», real scientist wanna - be) guy who you Honored by re-enforcing my — much decried by the other bloggers — observation that, by using SO2 to «Geoengineer» our way out of having to use Good Sense to solve our Most Pressing of Planetary Issues, would only lead to more Acid Rain, Ocean Acidification, and — ultimately, or so I conjectured — the loss of our Primary source of the Oxygen that we all need to Breathe — Phytoplankton; I must say that I TRULY APPRECIATE what you do!

Instead, we have a very good idea of what GHGs do to radiation, we have a reasonable idea of what aerosols and land use changes do, and we can look for fingerprints in the real world observations that match what we expect to have happened.

To come to their findings, the authors used a mixture of paleoclimate records, computer models, and observations of current rates of sea level rise, but «the real world is moving somewhat faster than the model,» Hansen says.

The dataset is kept current using near real - time observations.

Considering the large natural variability and relatively small forcing present in the real world, as compared to the forcing imposed by doubling CO2 concentrations in the simulations, this implies that using observations to constrain the cloud feedback is a challenging task and requires reliable long - term measurements.»

If you really want to know what is going on with the global average IR radiation field and you or your experts have some knowledge of quantitative IR radiative transfer, you (or the others) may compute precisely this physical quantity using only first principles and real observations.

As others have noted, the IPCC Team has gone absolutely feral about Salby's research and the most recent paper by Dr Roy Spencer, at the University of Alabama (On the Misdiagnosis of Surface Temperature Feedbacks from Variations in Earth's Radiant Energy Balance), for one simple reason: both are based on empirical, undoctored satellite observations, which, depending on the measure required, now extend into the past by up to 32 years, i.e. long enough to begin evaluating real climate trends; whereas much of the Team's science in AR4 (2007) is based on primitive climate models generated from primitive and potentially unreliable land measurements and proxies, which have been «filtered» to achieve certain artificial realities (There are other more scathing descriptions of this process I won't use).

However if you go deeper and notice that each model uses constant coefficients that are fitted to the observations, then you may ask what is the mechanism that makes these coefficients to be what they seem to be or whether they even are constant in the real world.

So the real question here is will the use of regional climate projections improve decisions made when compared to the use of historical climate observations?

Satellite data providers in Member States can contact us to obtain real - time and archive products for use in their operational forecast system in exchange for real - time satellite observations.

While one may applaud Popper's conviction that real argument is preferable to the kind of suggestive observations that Wittgenstein and his followers used to throw out, Popper himself has debased the currency of argument by his indiscriminate employment of any argument that comes to hand.

But almost universally, when they try to explain it, they all use the purely radiative approach, which is incorrect, misleading, contrary to observation, and results in a variety of inconsistencies when people try to plug real atmospheric physics into a bad model

Spencer and Braswell freely admit that using their simple model is just the first step in a complicated diagnosis, but also point out that the results from simple models provide insight that should help guide the development of more complex models, and ultimately could help unravel some of the mystery as to why full climate models produce high estimates of the earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity, while estimates based in real - world observations are much lower.

Every time the models have been adjusted using guesswork (or informed judgement as some would say) to bring them back into line with ongoing real world observations a new divergence between model expectations and real world events has begun to develop.

He is using real world observations, not models whose assumptions are likely wrong.

Every time the models have been adjusted using guesswork (or informed judgment as some would say) to bring them back into line with ongoing real world observations a new divergence between model expectations and real world events has begun to develop.