Sentences with phrase «usual emission trajectory»

Rather than have long - term emissions stay around 2030 levels, however, Lomborg assumes that countries continue on a near business - as - usual emission trajectory after 2030.
We've released already about 300 GTn of carbon, business as usual estimates are about 1600 GTn of carbon released by 2100 with business - as - usual emission trajectories and some feedbacks.
The researchers found that a similar event «is more likely than not to occur at least once between 2018 and 2060, and that multiple occurrences are plausible by 2100 on a business - as - usual emissions trajectory

Not exact matches

The Conservative majority suggests a business - as - usual trajectory for Canada's climate change ambitions: rapid oil sands expansions, soaring greenhouse gas emissions, reductions targets on paper, if nowhere else.
This compares with a business - as - usual trajectory of a 35 percent increase in emissions over the next four years.
In using the model to assess the ocean - carbon sink, the researchers assumed a «business as usual» carbon dioxide emissions trajectory, the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario found in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for 2006 - 2010, where emissions continue to rise throughout the 21st century.
«Lower emissions» are in line with Paris agreement targets; «higher emissions» represent current, business - as - usual trajectories.
The entire water column in the Arctic is projected to become undersaturated within this century if anthropogenic carbon emissions continue to grow along the SRES A2 business - as - usual trajectory.
Hall said that by mid-century the region may see 4 to 5 degrees F. of warming — as well as more frequent stretches of dangerously hot summer days — under a «business as usual» emissions trajectory.
«That result is not sensitive to emissions scenarios, whether we continue to emit CO2 along a business - as - usual trajectory [RCP8.5] or begin to curb emissions [RCP4.5].
As shown in the chart below, the LEAP model shows a «business as usual» forecast in red, the previous forecast before using LEAP in orange, historical emissions in Oregon in blue, and the needed trajectory to meet the 2050 goal in yellow.
However, as the Stern Review itself notes, this is unrealistic under business as usual since global greenhouse gas emissions can be expected to continue to increase on a «rapidly rising trajectory
CO2 emissions continue to follow the same trajectory they've been following for more than a century, atmospheric CO2 will have reached 936 ppmv according to the RCP8.5 concentration pathway formerly known as «business as usual».
In contrast, many developing countries — including India and China — offered only to peak their emissions by a certain date, or to cut their emissions compared to a business - as - usual (BAU) trajectory.
Juries have heard - and been deeply moved - by his first hand authoritative testimony to the dangerous trajectory the business - as - usual model to CO2 emissions is taking mankind and the planet.
Climatic changes will accelerate if emissions continue on a «business - as - usual» trajectory.
Read more: Adaptation Emerges as Key Part of Any Climate Change Plan Global Climate Change 39 % Increase in CO2 by 2030: Latest Grim Business - as - Usual Emissions Projection Financing Needed But Scarce for Climate Change Adaptation in Africa â $ ¨ Worst Case IPCC Climate Change Trajectories Are Being Realized Climate Change Will Costs US States Billions of Dollars
«We see probabilities of Harvey - type rainfalls going up by factors of 10 by the late 20th century and early 21st» under a «business as usual» greenhouse emissions trajectory, he says.
The exact warming resulting from this delay depends on the trajectory of future CO2 emissions but using one business - as usual - projection we estimate an increase of 3/4 °C for every 15 - year delay in CO2 mitigation.
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