Sentences with phrase «usual scenario»

[Response: By the end of the century temperatures could be higher by 3 or 4 or more degrees C under reasonable (i.e. not worst case) business as usual scenarios.

This is a worst - case business - as - usual scenario with a growing coal usage through 2100.

According to their new report, in a business - as - usual scenario global shipping emissions could double or even triple by 2050.

With a business as usual scenario, aviation emissions are expected to grow by up to 300 % by 2050!

Riahi, K., and R.A. Roehrl, 2000: Greenhouse gas emissions in a dynamics as usual scenario of economic and energy development.

To conduct their analysis, they performed lifecycle air - emissions and economic assessments of two scenarios: a business - as - usual scenario in which the coal continues to be burned domestically for power generation at power plants in the U.S. Northwest after they have been retrofitted to meet EPA emissions standards, and an export scenario in which the coal is shipped to South Korea.

The study warns that the new carbon market is unlikely to deliver South Korea's target of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 30 per cent below a business as usual scenario by 2020.

Suggesting that we should continue in a business - as - usual scenario because climate change so far hasn't been bad is like saying that because lightly poking a sleeping bear with a stick didn't awaken it, we should try throwing rocks at it.

A review by the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (C2ES) of five detailed studies published recently by various NGOs and federal energy forecasters (M.J. Bradley, the Energy Information Administration, the Bipartisan Policy Center, the Rhodium Group for the Center for Strategic and International Studies, and the Nicholas Institute) finds that the CPP will only require about an 18 percent emissions reduction beyond business - as - usual scenarios from now through 2030.

For a business - as - usual scenario climate models predict 2 - 4 degrees C. (3.5 - 7 degrees F.) warming.

They found that the business - as - usual scenario comes with large climate changes the world over and would create entirely new patterns of temperature and precipitation for 12 to 39 percent of Earth's land area.

Raw climate model results for a business - as - usual scenario indicate that we can expect global temperatures to increase anywhere in the range of 5.8 and 10.6 degrees Fahrenheit (3.2 to 5.9 degrees Celsius) over preindustrial levels by the end of the century — a difference of about a factor of two between the most - and least - severe projections.

Marcott et al. (2013) also showed that the warming we've witnessed in the last 100 years is unlike anything that happened in the previous 11,300 years, and that the warming yet to come in a business - as - usual scenario looks downright scary.

Yusuke Satoh, of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, warned that under the notorious business - as - usual scenario − where nations ignore such warnings and just go on burning fossil fuels − 13 of 26 global regions would see «unprecedented hydrological drought levels» by 2050.

In the IEA's Energy Technology Perspectives 2012 2 °C Scenario (2DS), CCS contributes about one ‐ seventh of cumulative emissions reductions from a business ‐ as - usual scenario through 2050.

Projections are shown for scenarios from 1.5 C of warming (green line) up to the business - as - usual scenario RCP8.5 (red).

Thus, «likely» doesn't mean «likely» in an absolute sense, it means «likely» if (a) business as usual turns out to produce even greater amounts of CO2 than most business as usual scenarios expect, and (b) the model spread accurately represents the uncertainty given a particular evolution of concentrations.

«Even if we were able to use productive plants such as poplar trees or switchgrass and store 50 percent of the carbon contained in their biomass,» says Boysen, «in the business - as - usual scenario of continued, unconstrained fossil fuel use the sheer size of the plantations for staying at or below 2 °C of warming would cause devastating environmental consequences.»

Synapse modeled a path to compliance with the Clean Power Plan (called the «Clean Energy Future») and compared the difference in consumers» bills to a business - as - usual scenario in which no new investments are made.

In the business as usual scenario for the GHG emissions per barrel of bitumen, the total oil sand GHG emissions until 2020 are as follows: (Herweyer 2007).

The aggregate of these provincial measures will reduce the country's coal consumption by 655 million tonnes from a business as usual scenario by 2020.

While some transportation researchers have suggested autonomous cars could cut emissions by boosting driver efficiency, others, including Fulton and his colleagues, project that energy use and carbon emissions would increase over a business - as - usual scenario because more people will travel farther.

With the necessary level of support, as detailed in the INDC, Indonesia will reduce emissions by 41 % against the business as usual scenario by 2030.

The analysis presented in the companion technical report published with our Clean Economy and Jobs Plan also clearly compares job growth relative to a business - as - usual scenario.

This is actually a little more than a feeling; it's the usual scenario when someone has coerced me into going skiing.

But on the reform issue that drew the most attention in Albany this year — adding new oversight and transparency to the state's contracting process — the usual scenario actually was reversed.

Here is how the Business as Usual scenario would meet those priorities.

There's a 50 percent chance that temperatures will rise 4 degrees Celsius under a business - as - usual scenario

The results show that, due to earlier efforts to reduce nitrogen loads, maintaining these efforts under a business - as - usual scenario would reduce nitrogen loads by an additional 11 % by 2050.

The report also found a 50 percent chance that temperatures would rise to 4 C under a business - as - usual scenario, a less extreme but still highly dangerous level.

Zhang then ran simulations representative of the end of the 21st century, assuming a moderate business - as - usual scenario for greenhouse gas emissions projections, to establish how long Hawai'i might enjoy its occasional glimpses of white - topped mountains.

And they calculated that power prices would be lower, on average, than a business - as - usual scenario.

Instead of the usual scenario, in which dad wants more growth while mom wants less, each parent's genes favor a different kind of growth.

By 2050, the team projects that, under a business - as - usual scenario, in which no action is taken to reduce greenhouse gases, a number of water basins in the U.S. will start experiencing water shortages.

Under the same business - as - usual scenario, the researchers projected higher yields for irrigated crops such as wheat, soybean, and sorghum.

In addition to a business - as - usual scenario, the team ran its simulations under two mitigation scenarios, previously proposed by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, in which efforts are made to mitigate global warming to 2 and 3 degrees Celsius, relative to pre-industrial times.

However, under business - as - usual scenarios, without significant reductions in carbon emissions, the study shows these deadly heat waves could begin within as little as a few decades to strike regions of India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh, including the fertile Indus and Ganges river basins that produce much of the region's food supply.

The analysis follows previous studies that show that a business - as - usual scenario, which assumes a continued growth of global emissions, would deliver a warming increase of 4.5 °C by 2100.

They found that both mitigation scenarios should increase yields for all crops compared to the business - as - usual scenario, including cotton and forage, and that the more ambitious scenario has the potential to reduce the number of water - stressed basins.

Worldwide, that combination would generate 0.7 gigaton of carbon emissions annually by midcentury, as opposed to 1.7 gigatons in the second one and 4.6 gigatons in a business - as - usual scenario.