Suggesting that we should continue in a business - as -
usual scenario because climate change so far hasn't been bad is like saying that because lightly poking a sleeping bear with a stick didn't awaken it, we should try throwing rocks at it.
While some transportation researchers have suggested autonomous cars could cut emissions by boosting driver efficiency, others, including Fulton and his colleagues, project that energy use and carbon emissions would increase over a business - as -
usual scenario because more people will travel farther.
Not exact matches
David Rutledge, an engineering professor at the California Institute of Technology who studies world coal production, said the IPCC's «business as
usual»
scenario is unrealistic
because it essentially assumes that growth of fossil fuels like coal will continue apace, which is unlikely.
That's
because «even in the worst - case
scenario, which is business - as -
usual, we still expect that ozone is going to decrease in the future
because of ozone regulations in these particular countries,» Tai said in the phone interview.
They begin with the
usual bad horror movie and end up in an unfamiliar
scenario which makes you laugh your ass off
because it's just too silly.
In part, that is
because Pacala and Socolow built their
scenario on a business as
usual (BAU) emissions baseline based on assumptions that do not appear to be coming true.
Today we are already in the process to trigger a large scale climate change
because of the quantities of CO2 equivalent emissions released and what is projected under business as
usual scenarios.
Neither AR5 nor the paper describing RCP8.5 call it a «business as
usual»
scenario,
because it is not.
«With another decade of «business - as -
usual» it becomes impractical to achieve the «alternative
scenario»
because of the energy infrastructure that would be in place,» says Hansen.
This reference
scenario, also known as «business as
usual,» is now lower (leading to 4.2 °C instead of 4.5 °C), in part
because the world is already pursuing a lower emissions path than what was anticipated several years ago.
The IPCC does not characterize this as «business as
usual» and it was selected
because it was near the high end (90th percentile) of various non-mitigation
scenarios, all of which could be considered to be business as
usual scenarios.
That is much lower in part
because it includes baseline, or «business as
usual»,
scenarios that made no pro-renewables policy assumptions.
For example, a recent study by the International Renewable Energy Agency found that pursuing both efficiency and renewables will increase the share of load supplied by renewables (
because total loads are reduced) and reduce system costs and carbon emissions relative to both business - as -
usual and renewable - only
scenarios.
But the
usual scenario at most firms is a last - minute scramble to meet the deadline, largely
because no one wanted to make the decision to nominate someone.