Not exact matches
They
looked at each of those conditions through, first, a business - as -
usual lens that assumes a lack of international climate - policy action with continued high rates of greenhouse gas emissions and, second, an optimistic
scenario of reduced emissions with climate change policy interventions.
Rather, the study
looks at a range of possible future
scenarios, says Garner, including the business - as -
usual emissions path we are still on.
«From a regional perspective, the differences in projected future changes are minor when you
look at how much each projection says climate will change for the business - as -
usual scenario,» said Yueyang Jiang, lead author and a postdoctoral scientist at OSU.
You have to
look at business as
usual growth
scenarios, resource limits, and recycling and how its most likely to play out over time.
We also
looked at carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, finding that 2040 CO2 emissions would be reduced by 35 % relative to the 2040 business - as -
usual scenario, and also put carbon emissions on a 50 % reduction path by 2050.
Researchers report in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences that they
looked at the history of sea level and storm surges from the year 1800 to 2300, and then simulated the pattern of events in a world in which humans abandoned the vows made in Paris in 2015 and went on burning fossil fuels under the notorious «business as
usual»
scenario.
Those include recognizing three realities: first that billions of people are on an irreversible course toward living something that
looks like a modern life, replete with the choices, comfort, and security that those of us in the rich world take for granted; second, that everyone on the planet and billions more likely to come can and should follow that path if they choose it; and third, that achieving that outcome while limiting global temperatures to something likely above two degrees but well below the business - as -
usual scenario will require developing zero - carbon technologies capable of powering that world.