Riahi, K., and R.A. Roehrl, 2000: Greenhouse gas emissions in a dynamics - as -
usual scenario of economic and energy development.
Riahi, K., and R.A. Roehrl, 2000: Greenhouse gas emissions in a dynamics as
usual scenario of economic and energy development.
«Even if we were able to use productive plants such as poplar trees or switchgrass, and store 50 % of the carbon contained in their biomass, in the business - as -
usual scenario of continued, unconstrained fossil fuel use, the sheer size of the plantations for staying at or below 2 °C of warming would cause devastating environmental consequences,» Boysen says.
I absolutely loved this game when I was younger, I liked having a story different to
the usual scenario of starting your Pokemon journey at a
The script flips
the usual scenario of having a cast of innocent characters available to be picked off, one by one, by the menacing antagonist.
Then there's the surprisingly (yet broody) OK Tarzan from Alexander Skarsgård, and
the usual scenario of Samuel L. Jackson playing Sameul L. Jackson (this time trying his best to be an early 19th century set Samuel L. Jackson).
The usual scenario of Megamind being bested once again by Metro Man goes awry.
Not exact matches
I expect neither
of these to be true for long, but as
usual, we'll respond to the evidence as it unfolds - without the need to forecast any particular
scenario.
Arsenal think that the game is already won and have started thier
usual day dreaming
scenario of beating Chelsea just like Monaco who thought gunners would rip into them where alexis will score a worldly by beating defensively frail Monaco, players who have left arsenal and played against the gunners have won 90 %
of the matches with Wenger the joker who sold them.
(In a «business as
usual»
scenario, I think Jackson would have spent most
of this season in the G - League).
He cited several studies showing that a large number
of species on the planet would become extinct in a «business as
usual» global warming
scenario.
«When we modeled future shoreline change with the increased rates
of sea level rise (SLR) projected under the IPCC's «business as
usual»
scenario, we found that increased SLR causes an average 16 - 20 feet
of additional shoreline retreat by 2050, and an average
of nearly 60 feet
of additional retreat by 2100,» said Tiffany Anderson, lead author and post-doctoral researcher at the UH Mānoa School
of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology.
«The larval period is a critical stage in the marine fish lifecycle and the ability
of cobia larvae to withstand «business - as -
usual»
scenarios of ocean acidification provides an optimistic outlook for this species.
40 %: expected loss by 2050
of the region's original biodiversity under a «business as
usual»
scenario for climate change (with loss
of 35 - 36 % expected under the three «pathways to sustainability»)
Instead
of the
usual scenario, in which dad wants more growth while mom wants less, each parent's genes favor a different kind
of growth.
«The consequences
of sticking to a «business - as -
usual»
scenario are unthinkable,» says Zhaohai Bai, an associate professor at the Chinese Academy
of Sciences and lead author
of a paper from a multinational team
of environmental scientists published today in Global Change Biology.
Scientists expect this doubling to occur later this century if nations continue to burn fossil fuels as they do now — the «business as
usual»
scenario — instead
of curtailing fossil - fuel use.
However, under business - as -
usual scenarios, without significant reductions in carbon emissions, the study shows these deadly heat waves could begin within as little as a few decades to strike regions
of India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh, including the fertile Indus and Ganges river basins that produce much
of the region's food supply.
The analysis follows previous studies that show that a business - as -
usual scenario, which assumes a continued growth
of global emissions, would deliver a warming increase
of 4.5 °C by 2100.
They found that both mitigation
scenarios should increase yields for all crops compared to the business - as -
usual scenario, including cotton and forage, and that the more ambitious
scenario has the potential to reduce the number
of water - stressed basins.
Worldwide, that combination would generate 0.7 gigaton
of carbon emissions annually by midcentury, as opposed to 1.7 gigatons in the second one and 4.6 gigatons in a business - as -
usual scenario.
David Rutledge, an engineering professor at the California Institute
of Technology who studies world coal production, said the IPCC's «business as
usual»
scenario is unrealistic because it essentially assumes that growth
of fossil fuels like coal will continue apace, which is unlikely.
Rutledge said
of the four IPCC
scenarios, he found the second RCP
scenario, RCP 4.5, where carbon dioxide emissions flatten out around 2080, to be more plausible under a business - as -
usual scenario for coal exploitation.
The team's results suggest that by the end
of the century under a business - as -
usual scenario, rainfall in Jordan will decrease by 30 percent, temperatures will increase by 6 degrees Celsius, and the number and duration
of droughts will double.
They looked at each
of those conditions through, first, a business - as -
usual lens that assumes a lack
of international climate - policy action with continued high rates
of greenhouse gas emissions and, second, an optimistic
scenario of reduced emissions with climate change policy interventions.
They found that the business - as -
usual scenario comes with large climate changes the world over and would create entirely new patterns
of temperature and precipitation for 12 to 39 percent
of Earth's land area.
The benefits
of this management
scenario become even clearer when compared to business as
usual, which is projected to reduce catch and profit by 59 percent and 64 percent, respectively, over the same time frame.
By using simulations that were created by running the same model multiple times, with only tiny differences in the initial starting conditions, the scientists could examine the range
of summertime temperatures we might expect in the future for the «business - as -
usual» and reduced - emissions
scenarios.
«You have
scenarios assuming very strong decisions, very quick and sharp reduction
of greenhouse gases, and you have other
scenarios with business as
usual, where you end up with predictions
of additional warming
of 5, 6 degrees, maybe even more.
In the «business as
usual»
scenario, the auto industry followed its current rate
of vehicle diversification — utilizing efficient internal combustion, electric and hybrid models, and the power sector utilized mostly natural gas and renewable plants.
In the midst
of an unseasonably warm winter in the Pacific Northwest, a comparison
of four publicly available climate projections has shown broad agreement that the region will become considerably warmer in the next century if greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere rise to the highest levels projected in the the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) «business - as -
usual»
scenario.
Rather, the study looks at a range
of possible future
scenarios, says Garner, including the business - as -
usual emissions path we are still on.
Peabody also agreed to disclose a range
of scenarios from the International Energy Agency suggesting declining future demand for coal, changing course from earlier financial statements where the company only disclosed IEA's business - as -
usual scenario.
A «business - as -
usual» climate
scenario (RCP8.5) will lead to another 74 centimeters
of global average sea - level rise by 2100.
First, the IPCC SRES (2000) states explicitly that «There is no business - as -
usual scenario» (p. 27); and secondly, the population assumptions underlying A2 are totally unrealistic: the
scenario assumes an end - century global population
of 15.1 billion.
Probability distributions
of sea - level change in the year 2100, relative to 2006, in four Scandinavian capitals on the Baltic Sea under the «business - as -
usual» (RCP8.5) climate
scenario.
That's because «even in the worst - case
scenario, which is business - as -
usual, we still expect that ozone is going to decrease in the future because
of ozone regulations in these particular countries,» Tai said in the phone interview.
To derive the climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general circulation models to consider two
scenarios of global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric greenhouse gases are stabilized by the end
of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as -
usual [RCP8.5] emission
scenarios, respectively).
In end -
of - century projections, summers have the largest increases in average temperature: 6.5 °F (3.6 °C) for the stabilization emission
scenario, 11.8 °F (6.6 °C) for the business - as -
usual emission
scenario.
Gladstone et al. (2012) also investigated the future
of PIG, and they too found ongoing ice mass loss to be likely under a «business as
usual scenario» (IPCC), with full collapse
of the main trunk
of PIG during the 22nd century still a possibility.
Average daily minimum and maximum temperatures increase in the mid-century and end -
of - century projections for both stabilization and business - as -
usual emission
scenarios (Figure 2 - 10 shows output for annual average daily maximum temperature).
Differences exist in projections for the stabilization and business - as -
usual emission
scenarios, with the former consistently showing lower magnitudes
of change than the latter.
But China and many other developing countries struggling to tackle poverty are adamant that any negotiated emissions reductions should not be absolute, but relative to a «business - as -
usual»
scenario of projected growth.
This finding suggests that by the end
of the century, following a business as
usual CO2 emission
scenario, these animals might avoid functional environmental cues and become attracted to cues that provide no adaptive advantage or are potentially deleterious.
A1B is the «Business as
Usual»
scenario, with emissions continuing to increase in line with present - day rates
of increase.
In Figure 4, Huber and Knutti break down the anthropogenic and natural forcings into their individual components to quantify the amount
of warming caused by each since the 1850s (Figure 4b), 1950s (4c), and projected from 2000 to 2050 using the IPCC SRES A2 emissions
scenario as business - as -
usual (4d).
Today's textiles economy is so wasteful that in a business - as -
usual scenario, by 2050 we will have released over 20 million tonnes
of plastic micro-fibres into the ocean.
In
usual dating
scenarios, couples are subjected to an array
of third parties and their opinions whereas online dating allows a couple to solely focus on each other beforehand.
These are all introduced and tied together by a plot which, while not extremely creative or deep, does a good job
of setting up such a
scenario, with a new villain named Cia to rival the
usual antagonist, Ganondorf.
Comparing the two is instructive: Whereas that execrable grindhouse throwback did little more than put a tropical twist on the Hostel formula, Knock Knock breaks the cycle
of repetition that's plagued Roth's career, effectively inverting his
usual slaughter - the - tourist
scenario.