This is a worst - case business - as -
usual scenario with a growing coal usage through 2100.
Only the Business As
Usual scenario with regulation CO2 is worrisome.
And I can sum up
the usual scenario with the following statements:
The model produces different jobs and growth projections for a business - as -
usual scenario with no technology breakthroughs or major new policies, and then generates different outcomes by factoring in new policies such as a national clean energy standards such as proposed by President Obama; increases in corporate average fuel economy standards; tougher environmental controls on coal - fired power generators; extended investment and production tax credits for clean energy sources and an expanded federal energy loan guarantee program.
Not exact matches
The analysis presented in the companion technical report published
with our Clean Economy and Jobs Plan also clearly compares job growth relative to a business - as -
usual scenario.
Plus this whole wanting a move
scenario provokes the
usual guff from fans who come out
with «he's not all that» etc..
Second
scenario is we suffer crushing defeat first leg and we win second leg
with impressive footbal, but still out on goal difference (as
usual) Third
scenario we trash them both legs and than bottle it in the final.
Arsenal think that the game is already won and have started thier
usual day dreaming
scenario of beating Chelsea just like Monaco who thought gunners would rip into them where alexis will score a worldly by beating defensively frail Monaco, players who have left arsenal and played against the gunners have won 90 % of the matches
with Wenger the joker who sold them.
«When we modeled future shoreline change
with the increased rates of sea level rise (SLR) projected under the IPCC's «business as
usual»
scenario, we found that increased SLR causes an average 16 - 20 feet of additional shoreline retreat by 2050, and an average of nearly 60 feet of additional retreat by 2100,» said Tiffany Anderson, lead author and post-doctoral researcher at the UH Mānoa School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology.
40 %: expected loss by 2050 of the region's original biodiversity under a «business as
usual»
scenario for climate change (
with loss of 35 - 36 % expected under the three «pathways to sustainability»)
According to the commission's own impact assessment, the union is on track to meet the current target: Under a «business - as -
usual»
scenario, total greenhouse gas emissions are already expected to drop by 24 % in 2020 and 32 % in 2030 compared
with 1990 levels.
They looked at each of those conditions through, first, a business - as -
usual lens that assumes a lack of international climate - policy action
with continued high rates of greenhouse gas emissions and, second, an optimistic
scenario of reduced emissions
with climate change policy interventions.
They found that the business - as -
usual scenario comes
with large climate changes the world over and would create entirely new patterns of temperature and precipitation for 12 to 39 percent of Earth's land area.
By using simulations that were created by running the same model multiple times,
with only tiny differences in the initial starting conditions, the scientists could examine the range of summertime temperatures we might expect in the future for the «business - as -
usual» and reduced - emissions
scenarios.
«You have
scenarios assuming very strong decisions, very quick and sharp reduction of greenhouse gases, and you have other
scenarios with business as
usual, where you end up
with predictions of additional warming of 5, 6 degrees, maybe even more.
But let's suppose events follow the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's «business as
usual»
scenario,
with greenhouse emissions continuing...
Gladstone et al. (2012) also investigated the future of PIG, and they too found ongoing ice mass loss to be likely under a «business as
usual scenario» (IPCC),
with full collapse of the main trunk of PIG during the 22nd century still a possibility.
Differences exist in projections for the stabilization and business - as -
usual emission
scenarios,
with the former consistently showing lower magnitudes of change than the latter.
A1B is the «Business as
Usual»
scenario,
with emissions continuing to increase in line
with present - day rates of increase.
Just as suddenly, what began as a nifty premise morphs into a cluttered
scenario chockablock
with the
usual riff - raff.
They begin
with the
usual bad horror movie and end up in an unfamiliar
scenario which makes you laugh your ass off because it's just too silly.
These are all introduced and tied together by a plot which, while not extremely creative or deep, does a good job of setting up such a
scenario,
with a new villain named Cia to rival the
usual antagonist, Ganondorf.
Perhaps concerned that intelligent — albeit eccentric — parents wouldn't sell movie tickets, the screenwriters have updated this family of twelve plus two parents
with the
usual new age
scenario: Dumb dad, career aggressive mother, and a few know - it - all children who, in this case, are led by teen daughter Lorraine (Hillary Duff).
Best - case
scenario: Shot using anamorphic lenses that haven't been used since the»60s and
with an original score by Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight could see Tarantino surpass his
usual exploitation influences and make an old - fashioned Western epic worthy of Sergio Leone.
Scenario planners will be asked to remember everything they know about great teaching, but clear their minds of the
usual image of a school: 25 kids sitting at desks
with a teacher in front — and all those teachers working by themselves to serve their 25.
There is lack of any ad agency in the mobile market and Apple as
usual wants to be the first to take advantage of such a
scenario with this pioneering launch.
As
usual with this
scenario, there must be a heavy dollop of user preference involved.
Not only does it fail to achieve a satisfying crescendo from a gameplay perspective, tasking you
with simply battling the same enemies as before in a
scenario no more challenging than
usual, it also can't bring the story to a climax, either, answering absolutely nothing while still managing to set itself up for a sequel.
Beyond the career, there's the
usual options of a single race, a straight up championship, time trials and reliving last season and the heyday of the 2 - stroke bikes
with the Real Events 2014 and 2 Strokes Champions
scenario modes.
As
usual, you can compete
with friends locally or through online multiplayer in a one - on - one
scenario.
The game does have a few different modes outside of its Campaign and
usual death match modes, and while the real meat of the gameplay exists in its deathmatches, playing things like Puzzle Mode can offer a nice change of pace — giving you
scenarios with limited resources or special conditions that you have to meet by using the tools at your disposal efficiently.
You should be familiar
with the
usual fantasy RPG
scenario.
Attempting to stabilise atmospheric CO2 as soon as possible is therefore rational and prudent, especially since mucyh of what one would do to achieve that also carries
with it other tangible public benefits that a business as
usual scenario would forfeit.
Action of emerging economies could take several forms, such as sustainable development policies and measures, an improved and strengthened clean development mechanism, the setting up of plans for the sectors that generate most pollution so as to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions compared
with a business as
usual scenario.
One might argue that such organizations are backing into the future: they are pursuing a «business as
usual»
scenario when it comes to coping
with multifaceted, multidimensional climate and climate change impact issues.
The IPCC Summary For Policymakers shows the graph below for a business - as -
usual carbon emissions
scenario, comparing temperatures in the 1980s
with temperatures in the 2020s (orange) and 2090s (red).
It compared coal owners» business as
usual plans and member state phase - out policies
with the International Energy Agency's Beyond 2 °C
Scenario (IEA B2DS), which phases out all coal power in the EU by 2030 and gives a 50 % chance of limiting global warming to 1.75 °C.
Using the business - as -
usual scenario for GHG radiative forcing (RCP8.5) and their novel estimate of Earth's warm - phase climate sensitivity the authors find that the resulting warming during the 21st century overlaps
with the upper range of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) climate simulations.
The science is clear to me and to most experts in the various fields associated
with climate science: Humans are causing most of the observed global warming in the past several decades and, if we continue emitting GHGs under a «business as
usual»
scenario, it will become increasingly difficult and costly to adapt to the changes that are likely to occur.
These have been identified in this report along
with a potential of 18 % and 40 % reduction of emissions between below «Business As
Usual»
scenario which is possible
with a shift towards cleaner technologies.
With this «business as
usual» projections o 1,5 % / year emissions increase for his
scenario A, his models predicted a CO2 atmospheric content of 384 ppmV for 2006 (R. Pielke Jr's graph in # 44).
When these past megadroughts are compared side - by - side
with computer model projections of the 21st century, both the moderate and business - as -
usual emissions
scenarios are drier, and the risk of droughts lasting 30 years or longer increases significantly.
To counter this business - as -
usual scenario, the Stern Review proposes a climate stabilization regime in which greenhouse gas emissions would peak by 2015 and then drop 1 percent per year after that, so as to stabilize at a 550 ppm CO2e (
with a significant chance that the global average temperature increase would thereby be kept down to 3 °C).
Labeling the worst modeled
scenario as «business as
usual» only served to make national pledges to comply
with the Paris accord seem more ambitious than they actually were.
IPCC estimates that atmospheric CO2 levels will increase from today's 392 ppmv to around 600 ppmv by 2100
with a modest «business as
usual»
scenario (somewhere between case B2 and A1T).
With a business as
usual scenario, aviation emissions are expected to grow by up to 300 % by 2050!
Under a business as
usual scenario,
with rising prices, investment ramps up again.
IPCC «business as
usual» case (between «
scenario and storyline» B1 and A1T1) estimates a CO2 level in 2100 of around 600 ppmv, so
with the «nuclear option» we would only have 496 ppmv CO2.
Compared
with a «business - as -
usual»
scenario, it shows how a green investment
scenario would allow the sector to continue to expand steadily over the coming decades while ensuring significant environmental benefits such as reductions in water consumption, energy use and CO2 emissions.
The first simulation is an 1860 pre-industrial conditions 500 - year control run and the second is the SRESA1B, which is a «business as
usual»
scenario with CO2 levels stabilizing at 720 ppmv at the close of the 21st century [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2001].