By Roger Yohem INSIDE TUCSON BUSINESS February 9, 2010 All categories of commercial real estate saw
vacancy rates rise to double - digit levels in 2009.
Properties that house workers — such as apartment complexes, mobile - home parks and hotels — are likely to be the first to see
vacancy rates rise as oil rigs idle and jobs vanish, according to Nomura debt analysts Lea Overby and Steven Romasko.
As
vacancy rates rise at malls across the United States, with the increasing numbers of retailers announcing bankruptcies, deferring expansion plans and closing stores the energy management system could help operators reduce fixed utility costs.
Barile and other experts cite several reasons for the unexpected twist in the real estate market, including low interest rates, which help boost returns in highly leveraged deals even if
vacancy rates rise.
The economics of investing will likely continue to deteriorate with the rental market well supplied, the rental
vacancy rate rising and rents stagnating.
Conditions in the office market continued to be soft over the first half of the year, with the national
vacancy rate rising and effective office rents declining.
Data tell another story: Job growth in Erie and Niagara counties last year lagged behind the nation and rest of the state, the downtown office
vacancy rate rose last year and poverty in the city of Buffalo — like its sister city Rochester — is climbing and ranks among the worst in the United States.
Job
vacancy rates rose in each of the last five years and in 2016 the rate stood at 1.8 per cent.
The vacancy rate rose to 10.4 percent from 9.6 percent in 2015.
San Francisco's office -
vacancy rate rose to 7.3 percent in the second quarter from 5.7 percent in the previous three months, Cushman & Wakefield data show.
Washington's
vacancy rate rose by 20 basis points this quarter (suburban Virginia / Northern Virginia's vacancy also rose by 20 basis points, to 15.9 percent).
Reports by real estate services firms JLL and CBRE show that the national
vacancy rate rose to an average of 13.2 percent, a 10 basis point increase from the fourth quarter of 2015.
The downtown office
vacancy rate rose sharply during the fourth quarter, to 15.1 percent, as downtown businesses continue to contract.
When shadow space is included, the year - end
vacancy rate rises to 22.2 %, according to Grubb & Ellis.
Not exact matches
The
rising cost of homeownership is pushing more people to rent, and the
vacancy rate in Toronto has tightened over the past few years to 1.3 per cent, according to CMHC.
Rents have
risen 20 % over the past five years while they city's
vacancy rate is below 1 %, meaning investors should not have to work very hard to find a tenant.
Offshore buyers are increasingly interested in Perth office stock, but limited assets for sale and the city's
rising vacancy rate are stifling opportunities.
The Fed noted that rental
vacancy rates in northern New Jersey and upstate New York remained near multiyear lows, while rents
rose by about 4 % year - on - year.
That could cause the national
vacancy rate to
rise slightly for the first time since 2009.
«On the other hand, investors are planning to hold onto their rental properties for at least eight to ten years and realize the benefits of
rising rents and low
vacancy rates.
Rental housing
vacancy rates are already low, and rents are
rising.
An increase in the rent threshold at which apartments become market -
rate, indexed to
rise each year, is a step forward, but it only slows the bleeding — and is well short of de Blasio's target, ending
vacancy decontrol completely.
The state's expiring rent regulations could get the same treatment — though the new Assembly speaker, Carl Heastie, says he's going to make a stand for tenant - friendly changes like the repeal of «
vacancy decontrol,» which allows landlords to charge market -
rate rents after an apartment's price
rises above $ 2,500 per month.
The number of new teachers entering the profession in England has dropped to its lowest
rate in five years — while
vacancy rates continue to
rise.
A 2011 CHMC report stated that
vacancy rates across Canada were falling and that rental
rates were
rising as a result.
Amazing to see
vacancy rates on office space in San Diego
rising.
Rents have
risen 20 % over the past five years while they city's
vacancy rate is below 1 %, meaning investors should not have to work very hard to find a tenant.
The
rising cost of homeownership is pushing more people to rent, and the
vacancy rate in Toronto has tightened over the past few years to 1.3 per cent, according to CMHC.
Rising rental
rates signal a market where demand is strong enough to absorb the increased prices, while low
vacancy rates suggest there is enough pent up demand, which should make it easy to attract renters.
Rising interest
rates and growing inventory are offset by low
vacancy rates and strong employment levels.
Severino said that the
rising vacancy rate is largely due to builders being ahead of the game.
That creates a big demand for rental properties, resulting in one of the lowest
vacancy rates in the country and slowly
rising rent prices.
Based on the most recent monthly statistics available,
vacancies increase in October, resulting in a more modest
rise in rental
rates at 4.5 % year - over-year, down from 5.3 % in September, according to real estate information agency Zillow.
An increase in the
rate of unfilled
vacancies combined with a
rising long - term unemployment
rate indicates that employers are finding it harder to source workers with the right skills.
A sign of labour market challenges can be found in job
vacancy rates, which
rose in Australia in 2015 and 2016, suggesting employers find it increasingly difficult to attract and retain talented workers.
The apparent contradiction of a strong investment market at a time of high
vacancy rates is at odds with a commercial real estate rule of thumb: Property sales
rise when leasing is strong.
The deal, with an estimated annual yield of about 6.4 percent, reflects the surprising strength of the investment market for suburban office properties, despite
rising vacancy rates.
As a result, apartment
vacancy rates are declining and rents are
rising at faster
rates.»
The average
vacancy rate will
rise to the mid-4-percent range by the end of 2017, CoStar researchers project.
Asking rents are forecast to
rise 2.6 percent this year to about $ 20 per square foot, while the overall
vacancy rate is expected to
rise 50 basis points to 10.2 percent, according to Encino, Calif. - based Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investments.
On the commercial side, all sectors are expected to see lower
vacancy rates as occupancy demand
rises with job growth.
«We don't expect
vacancy rates to
rise over 5 percent.»
«With corporate decision - making picking up speed as business confidence grows, we are beginning to see decreasing
vacancy and
rising rental
rates in many markets,» says Mark E.
Rose, chair and CEO of Avison Young.
However, Whyte noted that office and industrial
vacancy rates are ticking down while retail and apartment
rates are still
rising.
Many apartment analysts, including MPF, had predicted that
vacancy rates would
rise slightly this year, approaching 5 percent.
National
vacancy rates are currently more than 15 % for office space and 10 % for industrial properties, and have
risen notably for apartments.
The national office
vacancy rate for all classes of space in the central business districts (CBDs)
rose to 14.4 % in the third quarter, up from 10.6 % during the third quarter of 2001, according to New York - based Cushman & Wakefield.
Income would perhaps have increased but expenses and / or
vacancy rates might have
risen.
Despite high
vacancy rates in a large part of the country, both asking and effective rents are
rising.
And while occupancy
rates and rental prices have
risen, the pipeline of new housing has been lacking, so
vacancy rates have dropped to all - time lows in many parts of the country.