That module is rigourously
validated against observations BEFORE integration into other GCMs.
None of current models have a sufficient number of runs to overcome chaotic uncertainty and therefore can not be
validated against observations.
Meteorology is extensively
validated against observations from a dozen of weather stations and more than 50 coastal stations.
«Climate models need to be
validated against observations,» she said.
This result has been quantitatively
validated against observations at Fogo Volcano, Cabo Verde.
Not exact matches
By
validating model results
against geological
observations, the study indicates that changes in runoff, sea level and wave energy have profoundly affected the past evolution of the Great Barrier Reef not only in regard to reefs evolution but also sediment fate from source - to - sink.
And are those predictions in different cases then tested
against observations again and again to either
validate those models or generate ideas for potential improvements?
• Lack of formal model verification & validation, which is the norm for engineering and regulatory science • Circularity in arguments
validating climate models
against observations, owing to tuning & prescribed boundary conditions • Concerns about fundamental lack of predictability in a complex nonlinear system characterized by spatio - temporal chaos with changing boundary conditions • Concerns about the epistemology of models of open, complex systems
Note that the Russians
validated their model tuning
against observations — I think this is a major breakthrough.
This mere speculation (or near theory) is untested
against validated methods and verified
observation in the real world, it is only tested in a poorly made computer generated virtual world.
So using the criteria of «noticeable» climate change that would affect humanity and nature, that can be reasonably
validated against the benchmark of the 1920 - 40 period by such records as instrumental and crop, or
observations, and as being of a duration of at least one decade, we have some 15 decadal episodes of «noticeable» climate change, (up and down) between1538 and 2012.
The model had to be
validated against past
observations.
When compared (
validated)
against historical sea ice
observations it was found that the reconstruction not only had a dominant temperature - related signal, but that the proxy - based reconstruction also had a second signal which corresponded with variations in sea ice cover (extent), therefore confirming the 2nd network signal was a proxy for Arctic sea ice cover (as shown in figure 1).
Sure, typically one
validates * forecasts *
against subsequent
observation, TE.
Finally I just note in passing that climate change models all seem to start with a specification that they
validate against contemporary climate
observations, and then use that model to predict (perhaps not statistically, more's the pity) into the future.
The current study aimed to develop a reliable laboratory measure of socially indiscriminate forms of attachment behavior based on direct
observation and to
validate the measure
against assessments of early care and later behavior problems among home - reared infants.